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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $122B

PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation logo Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH · US
Price$1,070
Fair Value$406.50
Upside-62.0%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.76% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range $248.43 – $595.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $404.40 to $406.50 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($595.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($248.43 to $595.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,070 $224.93 Fair Value $406.50 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $224.93 – $1,070 · fair‑value band $248.43 – $595.10 · the $1,070 price screens above the $406.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) currently trades at $1,070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $406.50, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Parker-Hannifin Corporation generated revenue of $21.0B at a net margin of 16.6%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.8%. Net debt stands at $9.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $248.43 (bear case) to $595.10 (bull case); at $1,070, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -62%, PH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $243.61 $377.82 $566.23 80
Residual Income $188.60 $260.53 $1,596 76
Rev-Margin DCF $216.42 $368.93 $539.40 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $237.05 $385.63 $605.95 38
Owner Earnings $295.06 $473.09 $737.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit $216.42 $367.22 $556.09 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $267.12 $460.05 $680.52 41
5Y P/E Exit $287.64 $497.63 $713.11 38
10Y Revenue Exit $213.07 $351.14 $529.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $253.31 $414.87 $622.36 37
10Y P/E Exit $266.28 $440.66 $646.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $190.43 $530.12 $696.75 54
Lynch FV $106.45 $152.07 $197.68 50
PEG = 1.0 $106.45 $152.07 $197.68 46
EPV $207.50 $251.38 $289.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $62.70 $130.37 $206.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage $62.70 $98.90 $136.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $420.07 $560.09 $700.12 63
P/S Multiple $295.18 $393.58 $491.97 58
P/B Multiple $244.15 $325.54 $406.92 55
EV/EBIT $378.97 $523.87 $668.77 53
EV/EBITDA $328.36 $456.39 $584.41 54
EV/Revenue $219.77 $337.85 $455.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $54.26 $72.70 $108.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $243.61 $377.82 $566.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF $216.42 $368.93 $539.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $188.60 $260.53 $1,596 76
ROIC Compounder $222.18 $292.86 $374.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $336.18 $480.26 $624.34 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($480.26) versus Asset-Based ($72.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.6%
Net margin 16.6%
Return on equity 24.8%
Free cash flow $3.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 32.2
More key figures
Operating margin 21.5%
EPS (TTM) $27.13
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.2%
Net debt $9.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Parker-Hannifin Corporation manufactures and sells motion and control technologies and systems for aerospace and defense, in-plant and industrial equipment, transportation, off-highway, energy, and HVAC and refrigeration markets in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

Full company description

Parker-Hannifin Corporation manufactures and sells motion and control technologies and systems for aerospace and defense, in-plant and industrial equipment, transportation, off-highway, energy, and HVAC and refrigeration markets in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through two segments: Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems. It offers various motion-control systems and components, such as active and passive vibration control, high purity sealing, coatings, high temperature sealing, cryogenic valves and fittings, HVAC/R controls and monitoring, elastomeric, fabric reinforced, metal, precision cut seals, hydrogen and natural gas filters, electric and hydraulic pumps and motors, industrial air, gas filtration, electric and hydraulic valves, miniature pumps and valves, electromagnetic interface shielding, pneumatic actuators, regulators and valves, electromechanical and hydraulic actuators, power take offs, electronics, drives and controllers, process filtration solutions, engine filtration solutions, rubber to substrate adhesives, fluid condition monitoring, sensors and diagnostics, fluid conveyance hose and tubing, structural adhesives, high pressure connectors, fittings, valves and regulators, thermal management, high purity fittings. The company also provides products for use in commercial and defense airframe and engine programs, such as avionics, electric and hydraulic braking systems, electric power, electromechanical actuators, engine exhaust systems and components, fire detection and suppression, flight control systems, fluid conveyance, fuel systems and components, fuel tank inserting systems, hydraulic pumps and motors, hydraulic valves and actuators, pneumatics, seals, sensors, and thermal management products. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, direct-sales employees. Parker-Hannifin Corporation was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Parker-Hannifin Corporation reported revenue of $19.9B in FY2025 versus $14.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5B in FY2025, compounding +19.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$19.9B
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+6.5%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 $14.3B
FY22 $15.9B
FY23 $19.1B
FY24 $19.9B
FY25 $19.9B
Net income +19.2%/yr
FY21 $1.7B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $3.5B

PH screens 62% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Parker-Hannifin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 36.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 53 · sector 23
PAST 99 · sector 28
HEALTH 73 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $406.50 versus a price of $1,070, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PH?
Our model-based fair value for Parker-Hannifin Corporation is $406.50 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,070.
What is the quality score of PH?
Parker-Hannifin Corporation has a Quality Score of 71/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)?
Parker-Hannifin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PH?
The net profit margin of Parker-Hannifin Corporation is about 16.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Parker-Hannifin Corporation pay a dividend?
Parker-Hannifin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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