China Telecom (0728) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of China Telecom HK$8.08, price HK$4.50, upside +79.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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China Telecom
0728 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.71 – HK$6.27 · fair‑value band HK$6.18 – HK$10.01 · the HK$4.50 price screens below the HK$8.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
China Telecom Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications, wireline and satellite communications, internet access, cloud computing and computing power, AI, big data, quantum, ICT integration in the People's Republic of China.
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China Telecom Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications, wireline and satellite communications, internet access, cloud computing and computing power, AI, big data, quantum, ICT integration in the People's Republic of China. The company offers mobile communications; wireline and smart family; industrial digitalisation; and other services. The company also develops and deploys industry-specific large models and digital platforms, including the Xingchen platform series, to support digital transformation in sectors such as manufacturing, education, healthcare, government, and smart city management. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Beijing, China. China Telecom Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Telecom Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
China Telecom (0728) currently trades at HK$4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.08, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$11.29 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$4.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.22, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$6.18 (bear) to HK$10.01 (bull), the price of HK$4.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Telecom reported revenue of 510B CNY in FY2025 versus 440B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 32.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$411B (≈ $52.4B) · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3400 · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 80%, 0728 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- The 16th Smart City and Intelligent Economy Expo Opens in Ningbo, China
- Nvidia and AMD Face China Chip Pressure
Compare China Telecom with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $47.08 | $70.27 | +49% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $165.43 | $272.88 | +65% |
| AT&T Inc T | $25.38 | $51.11 | +101% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,785 | ₹1,883 | +5% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 657.00 | CHF 505.18 | −23% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.78 | A$4.43 | −7% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co CHT | $45.98 | $55.69 | +21% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 345.00 THB | 286.77 THB | −17% |
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