China National Culture Group Ltd (0745) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what China National Culture Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0982 – HK$6.90 · fair‑value band HK$1.67 – HK$2.67 · the HK$4.98 price screens above the HK$2.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
China National Culture Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides advertising and value-added services through mobile devices primarily in Hong Kong. The company operates through Advertising and E-commerce segments.
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China National Culture Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides advertising and value-added services through mobile devices primarily in Hong Kong. The company operates through Advertising and E-commerce segments. It also produces and distributes films and other related services; and sells products through Internet, website, mobile application, and electronic social platforms. In addition, the company is involved in the food and beverages industry advertising business and movie production; and provision of communication marketing platform services. The company was formerly known as China Railsmedia Corporation Limited and changed its name to China National Culture Group Limited in March 2014. China National Culture Group Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China National Culture Group Ltd (0745) currently trades at HK$4.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.13, implying the stock looks roughly 133.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$1.67 (bear) to HK$2.67 (bull), the price of HK$4.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China National Culture Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$43.7M in FY2025 versus HK$78.1M in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.0B (≈ $130M) · P/E ratio 145.3 · P/S ratio 22.5 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −10.9% · Return on equity 31.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −57%, 0745 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.67Fair Value HK$2.13Bull HK$2.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0400 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.6% (2020) → 10.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare China National Culture Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 198 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.81× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)145.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B22.92× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)22.50× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)33· sector 7
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 2
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China National Culture Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0745
Frequently asked questions
Is China National Culture Group Ltd (0745) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.13 versus a price of HK$4.98, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0745?
Our model-based fair value for China National Culture Group Ltd is HK$2.13 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.98.
What is the quality score of 0745?
China National Culture Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.13 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.67, optimistic scenario HK$2.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China National Culture Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.13, about −57% upside versus a price of HK$4.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.67, optimistic scenario HK$2.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
China National Culture Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$45.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does China National Culture Group Ltd pay a dividend?
China National Culture Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China National Culture Group Ltd it is HK$2.13 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$4.98. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China National Culture Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 0745 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$4.98, fair value HK$2.13, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0745?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.13). For China National Culture Group Ltd the two are HK$2.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China National Culture Group Ltd worth?
The market values China National Culture Group Ltd at about HK$1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.98; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0745?
Our models span a range for China National Culture Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.67, base HK$2.13, optimistic HK$2.67 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$4.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0745?
China National Culture Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 145.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 22.9, P/S 22.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
Balance-sheet figures for China National Culture Group Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 31.7%, debt of 4.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0745 from its 52-week high?
China National Culture Group Ltd trades at HK$4.98, about 2% below its 52-week high of HK$4.90 and 1,743% above the low of HK$0.2700 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China National Culture Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China National Culture Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$4.98, calculated fair value HK$2.13 (−57%), Quality Score 49/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0745 calculated?
We run China National Culture Group Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China National Culture Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with China National Culture Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of China National Culture Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The market capitalisation of China National Culture Group Ltd is HK$1.0B (≈ $130M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China National Culture Group Ltd is 22.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
Earnings per share at China National Culture Group Ltd are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 145.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The dividend yield of China National Culture Group Ltd is 1.5% (payout 183%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The net margin of China National Culture Group Ltd is −10.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China National Culture Group Ltd is 31.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China National Culture Group Ltd is −25.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
The operating margin of China National Culture Group Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China National Culture Group Ltd (0745)?
Revenue at China National Culture Group Ltd is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China National Culture Group Ltd (0745) generate?
The free cash flow of China National Culture Group Ltd is −HK$955K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China National Culture Group Ltd (0745) hold?
China National Culture Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$15.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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