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Diversified Energy Company (DEC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $940M

DE Diversified Energy Company logo Diversified Energy Company DEC · US
Price$12.93
Fair Value$50.38
Upside+289.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $20.05 – $156.17

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $55.91 to $50.38 (−9.9%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$16.74 $10.96 Fair Value $50.38 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $10.96 – $16.74 · fair‑value band $20.05 – $156.17 · the $12.93 price screens below the $50.38 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) currently trades at $12.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.38 — implying the stock looks roughly 289.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Diversified Energy Company generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 27.4%. Revenue grew 66.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 87.2%. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +66.0%
Net margin 27.4%
Return on equity 87.2%
Free cash flow $280M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.6
More key figures
Operating margin -60.6%
EPS (TTM) $7.97
Dividend yield 11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -97.6%
Net debt $3.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Diversified Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the production, transportation and marketing of natural gas, oil, and liquids primarily in the Appalachian and Central regions of the United States. It also operates in the Bossier and Haynesville shale formations and the Cotton Valley sandstones in East Texas and West Louisiana, the Barnett Shale in North Texas and the Mid-Continent producing areas across Central Texas, along with the Anadarko Basin across North Texas and Oklahoma and Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. Diversified Energy Company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Diversified Energy Company reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $977M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was $342M in FY2025.

Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 $977M
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $868M
FY24 $795M
FY25 $1.6B
Net income
FY21 −$325M
FY22 −$625M
FY23 $758M
FY24 −$88.3M
FY25 $342M

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6 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Diversified Energy Company (DEC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.38 versus a price of $12.93 — about +290% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of DEC?
Our 21-model fair value for Diversified Energy Company is $50.38 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.93.
What is the quality score of DEC?
Diversified Energy Company has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Diversified Energy Company (DEC)?
Diversified Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DEC?
The net profit margin of Diversified Energy Company is about 27.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Diversified Energy Company pay a dividend?
Diversified Energy Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.