CJ CGV (079160) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CJ CGV KRW 7,178, price KRW 5,180, upside +38.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,220 KRW – 23,224 KRW · fair‑value band 5,876 KRW – 8,752 KRW · the 5,180 KRW price screens below the 7,178 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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CJ CGV Co., Ltd. engages in the operation of theaters in South Korea.
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CJ CGV Co., Ltd. engages in the operation of theaters in South Korea. The company operates The Private Cinema, a private theater; Suite Cinema, a hotel-type theater; Tempur Cinema, a reclining bed theater; Gold Class, a sofa theater; Cine de Chef, a movie theater with a chef; 4DX, a five-sense experience theater; ScreenX, a three-sided extended screen theater; IMAX, a theater that presents image; Cine & Foret, a healing theater with a nature concept; Cine & Living Room, a social theater; and SoundX, a 3D surrounded sound theater. It is also involved in advertising business, special technology, content platforms, and IT services. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
CJ CGV (079160) currently trades at 5,180 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,178 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 23,940 KRW per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the 5,180 KRW price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,479 KRW, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 5,876 KRW (bear) to 8,752 KRW (bull), the price of 5,180 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CJ CGV reported revenue of 2.3T KRW in FY2025 versus 736B KRW in FY2021, a compound +32.6%/yr. Reported net income was −144B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 858B KRW (≈ $600M) · P/S ratio 0.34 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin −6.3% · Return on equity −26.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 2.3T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 39%, 079160 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5,876 KRWFair Value 7,178 KRWBull 8,752 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−66.6% (2020) → 4.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.8% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+39% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CJ CGV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/079160
Frequently asked questions
Is CJ CGV (079160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,178 KRW versus a price of 5,180 KRW, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 079160?
Our model-based fair value for CJ CGV is 7,178 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5,180 KRW.
What is the quality score of 079160?
CJ CGV has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CJ CGV (079160)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7,178 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5,876 KRW, optimistic scenario 8,752 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CJ CGV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7,178 KRW, about +39% upside versus a price of 5,180 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5,876 KRW, optimistic scenario 8,752 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CJ CGV (079160)?
CJ CGV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CJ CGV pay a dividend?
CJ CGV currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CJ CGV (079160)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CJ CGV would have to grow free cash flow by +5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 079160 use?
Our models discount CJ CGV at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CJ CGV that is +5.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CJ CGV (079160) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CJ CGV grew +31.3 % a year. The price currently implies +5.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CJ CGV (079160) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CJ CGV (+5.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CJ CGV (079160)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.99 %: that much free cash flow CJ CGV produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CJ CGV (079160)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CJ CGV it is 7,178 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5,180 KRW. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CJ CGV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 079160 trades below its calculated fair value: price 5,180 KRW, fair value 7,178 KRW, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 079160?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5,180 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7,178 KRW). For CJ CGV the two are 1,998 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CJ CGV worth?
The market values CJ CGV at about 858B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5,180 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 7,178 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 079160?
Our models span a range for CJ CGV: cautious scenario 5,876 KRW, base 7,178 KRW, optimistic 8,752 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5,180 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CJ CGV (079160)?
Balance-sheet figures for CJ CGV (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −26.6%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 079160 from its 52-week high?
CJ CGV trades at 5,180 KRW, about 21% below its 52-week high of 6,570 KRW and 23% above the low of 4,220 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7,178 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CJ CGV?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CJ CGV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5,180 KRW, calculated fair value 7,178 KRW (+39%), Quality Score 38/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 079160 calculated?
We run CJ CGV through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7,178 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CJ CGV currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CJ CGV (079160)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 5,180 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 7,178 KRW, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CJ CGV right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (5,876 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of CJ CGV
How large is the market capitalisation of CJ CGV (079160)?
The market capitalisation of CJ CGV is 858B KRW (≈ $600M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CJ CGV (079160)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CJ CGV is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of CJ CGV (079160)?
The dividend yield of CJ CGV is 2.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CJ CGV (079160)?
The net margin of CJ CGV is −6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CJ CGV (079160)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CJ CGV is −26.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CJ CGV (079160)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CJ CGV is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CJ CGV (079160)?
The operating margin of CJ CGV is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CJ CGV (079160)?
Revenue at CJ CGV is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CJ CGV (079160)?
Earnings per share at CJ CGV are growing −90.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CJ CGV (079160) carry?
The net debt of CJ CGV is 626B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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