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China Mobile Ltd (0941) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of China Mobile Ltd HK$131, price HK$78.95, upside +66.1%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 17, 2026
China Mobile Ltd
0941 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value HK$131.13 · Strongly undervalued (+66%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·6.87% dividend yield
!Moderate moat 61/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$32.89 – HK$86.21 · fair‑value band HK$85.41 – HK$163.84 · the HK$78.95 price screens below the HK$131.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Company profile
China Mobile Limited provides communication, computing, and AI services in Mainland China and Hong Kong.
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China Mobile Limited provides communication, computing, and AI services in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It offers communications services, including mobile communications, broadband networks, cellular IoT, and satellite Internet; computing services comprising data centers, cloud computing services, and cloud computing applications; and AI services, such as data algorithms, embodied intelligence, digital intelligence culture, digital intelligence e-commerce, and industry digital intelligence services. The company was formerly known as China Mobile (Hong Kong) Limited and changed its name to China Mobile Limited in May 2006. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. China Mobile Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Mobile Hong Kong (BVI) Limited.
Stock analysis
China Mobile Ltd (0941) currently trades at HK$78.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$131.13, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$129.37 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$78.95 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$46.16, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$85.41 (bear) to HK$163.84 (bull), the price of HK$78.95 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Mobile Ltd reported revenue of 1.0T CNY in FY2025 versus 848B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 134B CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.7T (≈ $219B) · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 1.47 · EPS (TTM) HK$5.74 · Dividend yield 6.9% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 66%, 0941 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$85.41
Fair Value HK$131.13
Bull HK$163.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.2330 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
HK$49.32
HK$78.59
HK$126.82
79
Growth DCF
HK$50.03
HK$75.64
HK$115.02
78
Residual Income
HK$60.92
HK$67.13
HK$92.42
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
HK$49.32
HK$78.59
HK$126.82
79
Owner Earnings
HK$103.13
HK$167.31
HK$273.09
75
5Y Revenue Exit
HK$60.21
HK$99.74
HK$151.32
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
HK$106.79
HK$188.80
HK$287.10
74
5Y P/E Exit
HK$83.14
HK$143.58
HK$208.68
70
10Y Revenue Exit
HK$54.02
HK$90.10
HK$140.76
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
HK$86.74
HK$154.11
HK$248.98
67
10Y P/E Exit
HK$71.18
HK$121.61
HK$186.48
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
HK$43.78
HK$150.71
HK$202.36
64
Lynch FV
HK$34.79
HK$49.71
HK$64.62
61
PEG = 1.0
HK$34.79
HK$49.71
HK$64.62
57
EPV
HK$56.20
HK$65.37
HK$73.52
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
HK$47.96
HK$104.70
HK$176.16
65
DDM Multi-Stage
HK$47.96
HK$84.78
HK$109.11
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
HK$106.24
HK$141.65
HK$177.06
63
P/S Multiple
HK$82.09
HK$109.45
HK$136.82
58
P/B Multiple
HK$82.09
HK$109.45
HK$136.82
55
EV/EBIT
HK$88.20
HK$116.19
HK$144.19
66
EV/EBITDA
HK$149.65
HK$198.12
HK$246.60
67
EV/Revenue
HK$67.91
HK$95.20
HK$122.49
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
HK$34.45
HK$46.16
HK$68.90
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
HK$50.03
HK$75.64
HK$115.02
78
Rev-Margin DCF
HK$60.21
HK$99.11
HK$144.90
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
HK$60.92
HK$67.13
HK$92.42
76
ROIC Compounder
HK$56.20
HK$65.37
HK$79.76
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
HK$90.56
HK$129.37
HK$168.19
67
Notify me when 0941 reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
58/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Profitability
39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 14%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $180.47 | $270.48 | +50% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $51.45 | $64.43 | +25% |
| AT&T Inc T | $25.45 | $43.97 | +73% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,832 | ₹1,883 | +3% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.26 | ¥8.36 | +34% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $22.98 | $39.05 | +70% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.50 SGD | 1.91 SGD | −58% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 673.00 | CHF 463.92 | −31% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.87 | A$3.31 | −32% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co CHT | $45.37 | $58.36 | +29% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is China Mobile Ltd (0941) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$131.13 versus a price of HK$78.95, about +66% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0941?
Our model-based fair value for China Mobile Ltd is HK$131.13 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$78.95.
What is the quality score of 0941?
China Mobile Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$131.13 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$85.41, optimistic scenario HK$163.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Mobile Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$131.13, about +66% upside versus a price of HK$78.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$85.41, optimistic scenario HK$163.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
China Mobile Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does China Mobile Ltd pay a dividend?
China Mobile Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Mobile Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +3.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.9 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0941 use?
Our models discount China Mobile Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Mobile Ltd that is +3.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Mobile Ltd (0941) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Mobile Ltd grew +5.9 % a year. The price currently implies +3.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Mobile Ltd (0941) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Mobile Ltd (+3.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.42 %: that much free cash flow China Mobile Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Mobile Ltd it is HK$131.13 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of HK$78.95. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Mobile Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, 0941 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$78.95, fair value HK$131.13, a gap of about +66% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0941?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$78.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$131.13). For China Mobile Ltd the two are HK$52.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Mobile Ltd worth?
The market values China Mobile Ltd at about HK$1.7T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is HK$78.95; our models calculate a fair value of HK$131.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0941?
Our models span a range for China Mobile Ltd: cautious scenario HK$85.41, base HK$131.13, optimistic HK$163.84 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price HK$78.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0941?
China Mobile Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$131.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 51.9, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 0941?
The PEG ratio of China Mobile Ltd is 51.90 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Mobile Ltd (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0941 from its 52-week high?
China Mobile Ltd trades at HK$78.95, about 8% below its 52-week high of HK$86.26 and 7% above the low of HK$73.59 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$131.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Mobile Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, Bharti Airtel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Mobile Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price HK$78.95, calculated fair value HK$131.13 (+66%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0941 calculated?
We run China Mobile Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$131.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China Mobile Ltd currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$78.95. Our model-based fair value is HK$131.13, about +66% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Mobile Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$85.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$85.41 to HK$163.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Mobile Ltd (0941) come from?
Earnings per share at China Mobile Ltd grew +1.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.1 %, EBIT margin −0.5 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Mobile Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The market capitalisation of China Mobile Ltd is HK$1.7T (≈ $219B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Mobile Ltd is 1.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Earnings per share at China Mobile Ltd are HK$5.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The dividend yield of China Mobile Ltd is 6.9% (payout 94.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The net margin of China Mobile Ltd is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Mobile Ltd is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Mobile Ltd is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
The operating margin of China Mobile Ltd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Revenue at China Mobile Ltd is growing +1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Mobile Ltd (0941)?
Earnings per share at China Mobile Ltd are growing −4.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does China Mobile Ltd (0941) hold?
China Mobile Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$5.8B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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