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SK Innovation Co (096770) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · KR · Market cap 19.8T KRW

SI SK Innovation Co 096770 · KO
Price108,600 KRW
Fair Value117,730 KRW
Upside+8.4%
Quality23/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range 71,577 KRW – 117,730 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 71,577 KRW (bear) to 117,730 KRW (bull), base 117,730 KRW. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 23/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

273,700 KRW 81,100 KRW Fair Value 117,730 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 81,100 KRW – 273,700 KRW · fair‑value band 71,577 KRW – 117,730 KRW · the 108,600 KRW price screens below the 117,730 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SK Innovation Co (096770) currently trades at 108,600 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 117,730 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 8.4% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SK Innovation Co generated revenue of 83.5T KRW at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. Net debt stands at 22.8T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 71,577 KRW (bear case) to 117,730 KRW (bull case); at 108,600 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 8%, 096770 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 9,362 KRW 16,266 KRW 25,072 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 9,362 KRW 14,049 KRW 19,486 KRW 61
EV/EBITDA 41,766 KRW 58,865 KRW 75,964 KRW 54
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 9,362 KRW 16,266 KRW 25,072 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 9,362 KRW 14,049 KRW 19,486 KRW 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 2,004 KRW 4,887 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 41,766 KRW 58,865 KRW 75,964 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 1,299 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15,560 KRW 20,851 KRW 31,121 KRW 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (20,851 KRW) versus Multiples (2,004 KRW). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 83.5T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.2%
Net margin -2.6%
Return on equity -10.5%
Free cash flow −3.4T KRW FY2025
Operating margin 8.6%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +770%
Net debt 22.8T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SK Innovation Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of petroleum, natural gas, petrochemical, lubricants, and base oil products. It operates in six segments: Petroleum and Petrochemicals, Lubricants, Battery and LiBS , E&P, E&S and Others.

Full company description

SK Innovation Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of petroleum, natural gas, petrochemical, lubricants, and base oil products. It operates in six segments: Petroleum and Petrochemicals, Lubricants, Battery and LiBS , E&P, E&S and Others. The company is also involved in insurance, power, district energy, renewable, city gas, LNG, manufacturing, trading, and oil exploration businesses; storage and sale of petroleum products; manufacturing of industrial gas and separator for secondary batteries; operating gas station and sports club; selling asphalt; issuance and redemption of floating securities; evaluation, certification, manufacturing, and selling of lithium battery; collection and disposal of waste batteries; invests in carbon capture and storage, as well as in equity; and installation of electric wire. In addition, it provides business consulting, resource development, information and communication, transporting, and software development services. Further, the company offers energy solution; and operates in hydrogen industry. It operates in South Korea, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as SK Energy Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SK Innovation Co., Ltd. in January 2011. SK Innovation Co., Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SK Innovation Co reported revenue of 80.3T KRW in FY2025 versus 46.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −3.3T KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
80.3T KRW
Latest YoY
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+7.9%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 46.8T KRW
FY22 78.1T KRW
FY23 77.3T KRW
FY24 74.3T KRW
FY25 80.3T KRW
Net income
FY21 305B KRW
FY22 1.6T KRW
FY23 256B KRW
FY24 −2.3T KRW
FY25 −3.3T KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SK Innovation Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/096770

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.05× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 16
FUTURE 76 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 32
HEALTH 48 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
Sunoco LP, SUN $74.00 $53.36 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SK Innovation Co (096770) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 117,730 KRW versus a price of 108,600 KRW, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 096770?
Our model-based fair value for SK Innovation Co is 117,730 KRW (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 108,600 KRW.
What is the quality score of 096770?
SK Innovation Co has a Quality Score of 23/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SK Innovation Co (096770)?
SK Innovation Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 83.5T KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 096770?
The net profit margin of SK Innovation Co is about -2.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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