Sunoco LP, (SUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $11.8B
Sunoco LP,
SUN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from $41.66 (bear) to $69.54 (bull), base $45.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 27/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.17 – $76.69 · fair‑value band $41.66 – $69.54 · the $70.57 price screens above the $45.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Sunoco LP, (SUN) currently trades at $70.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.36, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sunoco LP, generated revenue of $30.7B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 106.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at $15.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $41.66 (bear case) to $69.54 (bull case); at $70.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -36%, SUN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($77.26) versus Growth DCF ($18.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sunoco LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy infrastructure and distribution of motor fuels in the United States. It operates in four segments: Fuel Distribution, Pipeline Systems, Refinery, and Terminals.
Full company description
Sunoco LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy infrastructure and distribution of motor fuels in the United States. It operates in four segments: Fuel Distribution, Pipeline Systems, Refinery, and Terminals. The Fuel Distribution segment distributes motor fuels and other petroleum products, such as propane and lubricating oil to third-party dealers and distributors, independent operators of commission agent locations, other commercial consumers of motor fuel, and retail locations; and leases real estate properties. This segment also offers non-fuel products, including in-store merchandise and company-operated retail stores food services, as well as credit card processing, car washes, lottery, and other services. The Pipeline Systems segment includes an integrated pipeline and terminal network comprising refined product, crude oil, and ammonia pipelines and terminals. The Terminals segment operates transmix processing facilities and refined product terminals; and provides blending, additive injections, handling, and filtering services. The company was formerly known as Susser Petroleum Partners LP and changed its name to Sunoco LP in 2014. Sunoco LP was founded in 1960 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sunoco LP, reported revenue of $25.2B in FY2025 versus $17.6B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was $527M in FY2025, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2021.
SUN screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sunoco LP Q2 Income Rises
- Sunoco LP and SunocoCorp LLC Report Strong Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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