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Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Embracer Group AB Series B SEK 76.22, price SEK 86.96, upside -12.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0016828511

EG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Embracer Group AB Series B

0GFE · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value kr 76.22 · Overvalued (−12.4%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/10)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 382.93 kr 44.35 Fair Value kr 76.22 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 44.35 – kr 382.93 · fair‑value band kr 46.16 – kr 133.45 · the kr 86.96 price screens above the kr 76.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Embracer Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops and publishes PC, console, mobile, VR, and board games for the games market internationally. It operates through, PC/Console Games, Mobile Games, and Entertainment and Services segments. The company also publishes films and comic books, as well as engages in the trading of card games.

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Embracer Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops and publishes PC, console, mobile, VR, and board games for the games market internationally. It operates through, PC/Console Games, Mobile Games, and Entertainment and Services segments. The company also publishes films and comic books, as well as engages in the trading of card games. It distributes games through retailers, physical stores, and digital distributors. The company was formerly known as THQ Nordic AB (publ) and changed its name to Embracer Group AB (publ) in October 2019. Embracer Group AB (publ) was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Karlstad, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) currently trades at kr 86.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 76.22, 12.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 607.42 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the kr 86.96 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 148.17, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 46.16 (bear) to kr 133.45 (bull), the price of kr 86.96 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Embracer Group AB Series B reported revenue of 15.9B SEK in FY2026 versus 17.1B SEK in FY2022, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −5.8B SEK in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 6.4B SEK (≈ $635M) · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) kr −4.15 · Net margin −36.6% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.6% · Operating margin 2.8% · Revenue (TTM) 5.9B SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −12%, 0GFE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 46.16 Fair Value kr 76.22 Bull kr 133.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 412.00 kr 648.34 kr 1,083 74
Owner Earnings kr 791.79 kr 1,583 kr 3,052 70
Rev-Margin DCF kr 345.50 kr 607.42 kr 1,097 67
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 791.79 kr 1,583 kr 3,052 70
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 110.57 kr 148.17 kr 221.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 412.00 kr 648.34 kr 1,083 74
Rev-Margin DCF kr 345.50 kr 607.42 kr 1,097 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +48.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.6% (2021) → −48.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.4% a year for the price and +3.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.1%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2031 (sales)+5.0%

0GFE screens overvalued: fair value 12% below the price. Compare with Princess Private Equity Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Industrial Conglomerates” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.8% · Above median
Return on assets 1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 36.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Embracer Group AB Series B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0GFE

Frequently asked questions

Is Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 76.22 versus a price of kr 86.96, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0GFE?
Our model-based fair value for Embracer Group AB Series B is kr 76.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 86.96.
What is the quality score of 0GFE?
Embracer Group AB Series B has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 76.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 46.16, optimistic scenario kr 133.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Embracer Group AB Series B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 76.22, about −12% upside versus a price of kr 86.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 46.16, optimistic scenario kr 133.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Embracer Group AB Series B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Embracer Group AB Series B would have to grow free cash flow by +48.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0GFE use?
Our models discount Embracer Group AB Series B at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Embracer Group AB Series B that is +48.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Embracer Group AB Series B grew +12.0 % a year. The price currently implies +48.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Embracer Group AB Series B (+48.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.92 %: that much free cash flow Embracer Group AB Series B produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Embracer Group AB Series B it is kr 76.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 86.96. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Embracer Group AB Series B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0GFE trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 86.96, fair value kr 76.22, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0GFE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 86.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 76.22). For Embracer Group AB Series B the two are kr 10.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Embracer Group AB Series B worth?
The market values Embracer Group AB Series B at about 6.4B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 86.96; our models calculate a fair value of kr 76.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0GFE?
Our models span a range for Embracer Group AB Series B: cautious scenario kr 46.16, base kr 76.22, optimistic kr 133.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 86.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Embracer Group AB Series B (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0GFE from its 52-week high?
Embracer Group AB Series B trades at kr 86.96, about 21% below its 52-week high of kr 109.83 and 96% above the low of kr 44.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 76.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Embracer Group AB Series B?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Princess Private Equity Holding, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Embracer Group AB Series B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 86.96, calculated fair value kr 76.22 (−12%), Quality Score 58/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0GFE calculated?
We run Embracer Group AB Series B through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 76.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Embracer Group AB Series B itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 86.96. Our model-based fair value is kr 76.22, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Embracer Group AB Series B right now?
The model range is unusually wide (kr 46.16 to kr 133.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Embracer Group AB Series B

How large is the market capitalisation of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The market capitalisation of Embracer Group AB Series B is 6.4B SEK (≈ $635M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Embracer Group AB Series B is 1.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Earnings per share at Embracer Group AB Series B are kr −4.15. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The net margin of Embracer Group AB Series B is −36.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Embracer Group AB Series B is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Embracer Group AB Series B is −8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
The operating margin of Embracer Group AB Series B is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Revenue at Embracer Group AB Series B is growing +36.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE)?
Earnings per share at Embracer Group AB Series B are growing +24.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Embracer Group AB Series B (0GFE) hold?
Embracer Group AB Series B holds more cash than debt, 3.3B SEK net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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