Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA €0.03, price €0.18, upside -83.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.1506 – €2,694 · the €0.1848 price screens above the €0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates as a food retailer in France, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, shopping malls, and e-commerce sites, as well as convenience, discount, and cash and carry stores.
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Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates as a food retailer in France, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, shopping malls, and e-commerce sites, as well as convenience, discount, and cash and carry stores. It also offers real estate management and rental, property development and trading, and energy-related services, as well as banking and franchise. The company was incorporated in 1898 and is based in Saint-Étienne, France. Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. is a subsidiary of Rallye SA.
Stock analysis
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1) currently trades at €0.1848, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0300, 83.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €0.0700 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the €0.1848 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.0300, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA reported revenue of €8.6B in FY2024 versus €31.9B in FY2020, a compound −28.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€295M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap €2.2B · P/S ratio 0.25 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −46.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −0.4% · Revenue (TTM) €8.4B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −84%, 0HB1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.0300Fair Value €0.0300Bull €0.0300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.4%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2019) → −9.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Casino Guichard Perrachon SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 71 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity5.60× · Highest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 53
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)39· sector 61
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Casino Guichard Perrachon SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0HB1
Frequently asked questions
Is Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0300 versus a price of €0.1848, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0HB1?
Our model-based fair value for Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is €0.0300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.1848.
What is the quality score of 0HB1?
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.0300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Casino Guichard Perrachon SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.0300, about −84% upside versus a price of €0.1848 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Casino Guichard Perrachon SA pay a dividend?
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Casino Guichard Perrachon SA it is €0.0300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €0.1848. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Casino Guichard Perrachon SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HB1 trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.1848, fair value €0.0300, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HB1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.1848); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.0300). For Casino Guichard Perrachon SA the two are €0.1548 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Casino Guichard Perrachon SA worth?
The market values Casino Guichard Perrachon SA at about €2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €0.1848; our models calculate a fair value of €0.0300 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −46.7%, debt of 5.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HB1 from its 52-week high?
Casino Guichard Perrachon SA trades at €0.1848, about 62% below its 52-week high of €0.4818 and 23% above the low of €0.1506 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Casino Guichard Perrachon SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Casino Guichard Perrachon SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €0.1848, calculated fair value €0.0300 (−84%), Quality Score 48/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HB1 calculated?
We run Casino Guichard Perrachon SA through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Casino Guichard Perrachon SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €0.1848. Our model-based fair value is €0.0300, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Casino Guichard Perrachon SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The market capitalisation of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is €2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The dividend yield of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The net margin of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is −3.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is −46.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
The operating margin of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1)?
Revenue at Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −34.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1) generate?
The free cash flow of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is −€1.4B (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Casino Guichard Perrachon SA (0HB1) carry?
The net debt of Casino Guichard Perrachon SA is €2.9B (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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