Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Beazer Homes USA Inc. $23.76, price $33.38, upside -28.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Beazer Homes USA Inc. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.83 – $35.97 · fair‑value band $17.91 – $24.59 · the $33.38 price screens above the $23.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Beazer Homes USA in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Beazer Homes USA is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, constructs, and sells single-family, condominiums, villas, and duets homes under the Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans brands. It also sells its homes through commissioned new home sales counselors and independent realtors. Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Show more
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, constructs, and sells single-family, condominiums, villas, and duets homes under the Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans brands. It also sells its homes through commissioned new home sales counselors and independent realtors. Beazer Homes USA, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) currently trades at $33.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.76, 28.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $27.62 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $33.38 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $19.51, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $17.91 (bear) to $24.59 (bull), the price of $33.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Beazer Homes USA Inc. reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $45.6M in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) $5.37 · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin −4.3% · Revenue (TTM) $2.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −29%, 0HMG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $17.91Fair Value $23.76Bull $24.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.37 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−12.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.0% vs 3.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about 0.0% a year for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Homebuilding” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5353 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−28.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−27.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)0.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF287.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)58· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 36
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beazer Homes USA Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0HMG
Frequently asked questions
Is Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.76 versus a price of $33.38, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0HMG?
Our model-based fair value for Beazer Homes USA Inc. is $23.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.38.
What is the quality score of 0HMG?
Beazer Homes USA Inc. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $23.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.91, optimistic scenario $24.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beazer Homes USA Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $23.76, about −29% upside versus a price of $33.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $17.91, optimistic scenario $24.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Beazer Homes USA Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beazer Homes USA Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0HMG use?
Our models discount Beazer Homes USA Inc. at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 2.18, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Beazer Homes USA Inc. that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Beazer Homes USA Inc. grew +2.2 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Beazer Homes USA Inc. (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.26 %: that much free cash flow Beazer Homes USA Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beazer Homes USA Inc. it is $23.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $33.38. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beazer Homes USA Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HMG trades above its calculated fair value: price $33.38, fair value $23.76, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($23.76). For Beazer Homes USA Inc. the two are $9.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beazer Homes USA Inc. worth?
The market values Beazer Homes USA Inc. at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $33.38; our models calculate a fair value of $23.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HMG?
Our models span a range for Beazer Homes USA Inc.: cautious scenario $17.91, base $23.76, optimistic $24.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $33.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0HMG?
Beazer Homes USA Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $23.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beazer Homes USA Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HMG from its 52-week high?
Beazer Homes USA Inc. trades at $33.38, about 3% below its 52-week high of $34.31 and 80% above the low of $18.56 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $23.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beazer Homes USA Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SVPHOUSING, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beazer Homes USA Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $33.38, calculated fair value $23.76 (−29%), Quality Score 43/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HMG calculated?
We run Beazer Homes USA Inc. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $23.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beazer Homes USA Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $33.38. Our model-based fair value is $23.76, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beazer Homes USA Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Beazer Homes USA Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The market capitalisation of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Earnings per share at Beazer Homes USA Inc. are $5.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The net margin of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
The operating margin of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Revenue at Beazer Homes USA Inc. is growing −27.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG)?
Earnings per share at Beazer Homes USA Inc. are growing −39.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Beazer Homes USA Inc. (0HMG) carry?
The net debt of Beazer Homes USA Inc. is $842M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Beazer Homes USA Inc. in the live analysis
One click puts Beazer Homes USA Inc. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
