NOV Inc (0K58) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of NOV Inc $8.49, price $16.00, upside -46.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.99 – $22.68 · fair‑value band $6.37 – $8.49 · the $16.00 price screens above the $8.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
NOV Inc. designs, constructs, manufactures, and sells systems, components, and products for oil and gas drilling and production, and industrial and renewable energy sectors in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Energy Equipment, and Energy Products and Services.
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NOV Inc. designs, constructs, manufactures, and sells systems, components, and products for oil and gas drilling and production, and industrial and renewable energy sectors in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Energy Equipment, and Energy Products and Services. The Energy Products and Services segment offers drill bits and borehole enlargement products; independent drilling and intervention downhole tools equipment; frac plugs, frac sleeves, toe initiation burst port systems, and recyclable setting tools; electric submersible pumps, high viscosity pumps, and surface pumps; tubular coating and inspection services for drill-pipe and other oil country tubular goods; solids control and waste management equipment and services; data and digital solutions; precision-engineered drill pipe and drill-stem equipment; connectors and integral thread solutions, including conductor strings, surface casing, and liners; and composite pipe, tanks, and structures. Its Energy Equipment segment provides drilling equipment, such as land rigs, complete offshore drilling packages, and rig components; capital equipment, related consumables, and digital products for hydraulic stimulation, coiled tubing, and wireline services; marine and construction solutions; processing solutions for the separation and treatment of oil, gas, solids, seawater, and produced water production; flexible subsea pipe systems; cavity pumps, specialized mixers and heat exchangers; and reciprocating, multistage, and progressive cavity pumps, midstream products, including closures, transfer pumps, chokes and valves, as well as artificial lift support systems that include production BOPs and stuffing boxes. The company was formerly known as National Oilwell Varco, Inc. and changed its name to NOV Inc. in January 2021. NOV Inc. was founded in 1862 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
NOV Inc (0K58) currently trades at $16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.49, 46.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $8.91 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the $16.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.36, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $6.37 (bear) to $8.49 (bull), the price of $16.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NOV Inc reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2022 versus $8.5B in FY2018, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $155M in FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.3B · EPS (TTM) $−0.4800 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin 2.3% · Revenue (TTM) $8.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −47%, 0K58 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.37Fair Value $8.49Bull $8.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.16/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NOV Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0K58
Frequently asked questions
Is NOV Inc (0K58) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.49 versus a price of $16.00, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0K58?
Our model-based fair value for NOV Inc is $8.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.00.
What is the quality score of 0K58?
NOV Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NOV Inc (0K58)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.37, optimistic scenario $8.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NOV Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.49, about −47% upside versus a price of $16.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.37, optimistic scenario $8.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NOV Inc (0K58)?
NOV Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NOV Inc pay a dividend?
NOV Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NOV Inc (0K58)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NOV Inc it is $8.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NOV Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0K58 trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.00, fair value $8.49, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0K58?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.49). For NOV Inc the two are $7.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NOV Inc worth?
The market values NOV Inc at about $6.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.00; our models calculate a fair value of $8.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0K58?
Our models span a range for NOV Inc: cautious scenario $6.37, base $8.49, optimistic $8.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0K58 from its 52-week high?
NOV Inc trades at $16.00, about 24% below its 52-week high of $21.19 and 28% above the low of $12.49 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NOV Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NOV Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.00, calculated fair value $8.49 (−47%), Quality Score 59/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0K58 calculated?
We run NOV Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NOV Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $16.00. Our model-based fair value is $8.49, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NOV Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of NOV Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The market capitalisation of NOV Inc is $6.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of NOV Inc (0K58)?
Earnings per share at NOV Inc are $−0.4800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The dividend yield of NOV Inc is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The net margin of NOV Inc is 2.1% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NOV Inc is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NOV Inc (0K58)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NOV Inc is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NOV Inc (0K58)?
The operating margin of NOV Inc is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NOV Inc (0K58)?
Revenue at NOV Inc is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NOV Inc (0K58)?
Earnings per share at NOV Inc are growing −73.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NOV Inc (0K58) generate?
The free cash flow of NOV Inc is −$393M (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does NOV Inc (0K58) hold?
NOV Inc holds more cash than debt, $1.1B net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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