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The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of The PNC Financial Services Group $249, price $221, upside +12.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
The PNC Financial Services Group
0KEF · LSEUndervaluedQuality growthThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $248.57 · Undervalued (+12.3%)
✓Quality 66/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 31.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.1% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 70/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $67.69 – $256.44 · fair‑value band $174.00 – $323.14 · the $221.34 price screens below the $248.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments.
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The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments. The Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, and time deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education loans, and personal and small business loans and lines of credit; and brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services. This segment serves consumer and small business customers through a network of branches, digital channels, ATMs, and through phone-based customer contact centers. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment provides secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases; cash and investment management, receivables and disbursement management, funds transfer, international payment, and access to online/mobile information management and reporting services; asset-backed financing, securities underwriting, loan syndications, mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets advisory, and customer related services; and commercial loan servicing and technology solutions. It serves mid-sized and large corporations, and government and not-for-profit entities. The Asset Management Group segment offers investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, credit and cash management solutions, and trust management and administration services for high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals, and their families; and multi-generational family planning services. It also offers outsourced chief investment officer, custody, cash and fixed income client solutions, and retirement plan fiduciary investment services for institutional clients. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) currently trades at $221.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $248.57, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $393.70 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the $221.34 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $87.97, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $174.00 (bear) to $323.14 (bull), the price of $221.34 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
The PNC Financial Services Group reported revenue of $34.1B in FY2025 versus $19.4B in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $87.7B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $11.81 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 20.2% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 12%, 0KEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $174.00
Fair Value $248.57
Bull $323.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.79 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$397.04
$682.05
$1,125
78
Growth DCF
$398.65
$670.75
$1,085
77
Residual Income
$118.25
$134.20
$175.67
76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$397.04
$682.05
$1,125
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$159.26
$238.52
$333.27
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$209.12
$335.86
$482.24
75
5Y P/E Exit
$238.74
$393.70
$558.81
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$238.73
$335.39
$458.25
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$273.20
$403.02
$573.95
68
10Y P/E Exit
$291.98
$443.20
$633.42
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$101.58
$383.86
$519.49
64
Lynch FV
$92.96
$132.80
$172.64
61
PEG = 1.0
$92.96
$132.80
$172.64
57
EPV
$79.52
$101.28
$120.06
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$56.02
$111.62
$169.02
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$56.02
$96.46
$117.82
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$235.28
$313.71
$392.14
63
P/S Multiple
$110.88
$147.85
$184.81
58
P/B Multiple
$190.47
$253.95
$317.44
55
EV/EBIT
$176.15
$254.31
$332.47
65
EV/EBITDA
$126.45
$188.04
$249.64
66
EV/Revenue
$34.81
$74.73
$114.64
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$65.65
$87.97
$131.30
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$398.65
$670.75
$1,085
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$159.26
$244.48
$333.09
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$118.25
$134.20
$175.67
76
ROIC Compounder
$79.52
$101.28
$120.06
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$170.39
$243.41
$316.44
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Profitability
33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.6% vs 8.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 25%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.2% a year for the price and −4.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−23.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.0%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $248.57 versus a price of $221.34, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0KEF?
Our model-based fair value for The PNC Financial Services Group is $248.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $221.34.
What is the quality score of 0KEF?
The PNC Financial Services Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $248.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $174.00, optimistic scenario $323.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The PNC Financial Services Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $248.57, about +12% upside versus a price of $221.34 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $174.00, optimistic scenario $323.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The PNC Financial Services Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does The PNC Financial Services Group pay a dividend?
The PNC Financial Services Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The PNC Financial Services Group would have to grow free cash flow by +1.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0KEF use?
Our models discount The PNC Financial Services Group at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The PNC Financial Services Group that is +1.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at The PNC Financial Services Group grew +13.3 % a year. The price currently implies +1.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The PNC Financial Services Group (+1.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.78 %: that much free cash flow The PNC Financial Services Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The PNC Financial Services Group it is $248.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $221.34. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The PNC Financial Services Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0KEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $221.34, fair value $248.57, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0KEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($221.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($248.57). For The PNC Financial Services Group the two are $27.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The PNC Financial Services Group worth?
The market values The PNC Financial Services Group at about $87.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $221.34; our models calculate a fair value of $248.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0KEF?
Our models span a range for The PNC Financial Services Group: cautious scenario $174.00, base $248.57, optimistic $323.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $221.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0KEF from its 52-week high?
The PNC Financial Services Group trades at $221.34, about 14% below its 52-week high of $256.44 and 27% above the low of $174.89 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $248.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The PNC Financial Services Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The PNC Financial Services Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $221.34, calculated fair value $248.57 (+12%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0KEF calculated?
We run The PNC Financial Services Group through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $248.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The PNC Financial Services Group currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $221.34. Our model-based fair value is $248.57, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The PNC Financial Services Group right now?
A fairly wide model range ($174.00 to $323.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) come from?
Earnings per share at The PNC Financial Services Group grew +8.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.7 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of The PNC Financial Services Group
How large is the market capitalisation of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The market capitalisation of The PNC Financial Services Group is $87.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of The PNC Financial Services Group is 0.2 (as of Jul 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The PNC Financial Services Group is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
Earnings per share at The PNC Financial Services Group are $11.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The dividend yield of The PNC Financial Services Group is 3.1% (payout 57.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The net margin of The PNC Financial Services Group is 20.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The PNC Financial Services Group is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The PNC Financial Services Group is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
The operating margin of The PNC Financial Services Group is 38.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
Revenue at The PNC Financial Services Group is growing +23.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF)?
Earnings per share at The PNC Financial Services Group are growing +25.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The PNC Financial Services Group (0KEF) carry?
The net debt of The PNC Financial Services Group is $57.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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