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Sempra (0L5A) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sempra $94.44, price $78.60, upside +20.2%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · ISIN US8168511090

S Some data Sep 24, 2026

Sempra

0L5A · LSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $94.44 · Undervalued (+20.2%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!3.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$99.33 $40.65 Fair Value $94.44 Feb 2019 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.65 – $99.33 · fair‑value band $75.10 – $122.28 · the $78.60 price screens below the $94.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers.

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Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers. The Sempra California segment provides natural gas and electric services to Southern California and part of central California. As of December 31, 2025, it offered electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. This segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas. As of December 31, 2025, it served a population of 21.3 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated electricity transmission and distribution utility business. As of December 31, 2025, transmission system included approximately 18,418 circuit miles of transmission lines; 1,333 transmission and distribution substations; interconnection to 230 third-party generation facilities totaling 63,670 MW; and distribution system included more than 4.1 million points of delivery and consisted of 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground lines. The Sempra Infrastructure segment develops, constructs, operates, and invests in energy infrastructure to help enable the access to cleaner energy in markets in the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in May 2023. Sempra was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Sempra (0L5A) currently trades at $78.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $94.44, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $113.93 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the $78.60 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $16.76, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $75.10 (bear) to $122.28 (bull), the price of $78.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sempra reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $13.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $51.4B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $3.12 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 20%, 0L5A screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $75.10 Fair Value $94.44 Bull $122.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4000 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $90.23 $93.24 $99.64 74
EPV $4.28 $16.76 $27.52 67
Gordon GGM $52.73 $82.73 $114.89 66
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $45.57 $101.44 $129.55 63
PEG = 1.0 $16.37 $23.39 $30.41 55
EPV $4.28 $16.76 $27.52 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $52.73 $82.73 $114.89 66
DDM Multi-Stage $52.73 $75.45 $99.94 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $105.55 $140.74 $175.92 63
P/S Multiple $75.10 $100.14 $125.17 58
P/B Multiple $85.45 $113.93 $142.41 55
EV/EBIT $68.75 $116.58 $164.42 64
EV/EBITDA $126.30 $193.32 $260.33 66
EV/Revenue n/a $15.38 $42.41 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $57.76 $77.40 $115.52 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $90.23 $93.24 $99.64 74
ROIC Compounder $4.28 $16.76 $27.52 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $78.69 $112.41 $146.13 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−5.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.4% vs 0.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Values & ESG

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Sempra · Fair Value
$94.44 +17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sempra Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0L5A

Frequently asked questions

Is Sempra (0L5A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $94.44 versus a price of $78.60, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0L5A?
Our model-based fair value for Sempra is $94.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $78.60.
What is the quality score of 0L5A?
Sempra has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sempra (0L5A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $94.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $75.10, optimistic scenario $122.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sempra stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $94.44, about +20% upside versus a price of $78.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $75.10, optimistic scenario $122.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sempra (0L5A)?
Sempra reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sempra pay a dividend?
Sempra currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sempra (0L5A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sempra it is $94.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $78.60. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sempra stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0L5A trades below its calculated fair value: price $78.60, fair value $94.44, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0L5A?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($78.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($94.44). For Sempra the two are $15.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sempra worth?
The market values Sempra at about $51.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $78.60; our models calculate a fair value of $94.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0L5A?
Our models span a range for Sempra: cautious scenario $75.10, base $94.44, optimistic $122.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $78.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0L5A from its 52-week high?
Sempra trades at $78.60, about 21% below its 52-week high of $99.33 and 2% above the low of $77.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $94.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sempra?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sempra stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $78.60, calculated fair value $94.44 (+20%), Quality Score 41/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0L5A calculated?
We run Sempra through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $94.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sempra currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sempra (0L5A)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $78.60. Our model-based fair value is $94.44, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sempra right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Sempra (0L5A) come from?
Earnings per share at Sempra grew +5.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.9 %, EBIT margin +4.8 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Sempra

How large is the market capitalisation of Sempra (0L5A)?
The market capitalisation of Sempra is $51.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Sempra (0L5A)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Sempra is 0.3 (as of Jul 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Sempra (0L5A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sempra is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sempra (0L5A)?
Earnings per share at Sempra are $3.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sempra (0L5A)?
The dividend yield of Sempra is 3.3% (payout 83.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sempra (0L5A)?
The net margin of Sempra is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sempra (0L5A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sempra is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sempra (0L5A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sempra is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sempra (0L5A)?
The operating margin of Sempra is 30.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sempra (0L5A)?
Revenue at Sempra is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sempra (0L5A)?
Earnings per share at Sempra are growing +13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sempra (0L5A) generate?
The free cash flow of Sempra is −$6.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sempra (0L5A) carry?
The net debt of Sempra is $36.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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