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Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft €117, price €67.89, upside +72.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · GB · Home Germany · ISIN DE0005439004

CA Some data Oct 3, 2026

Continental Aktiengesellschaft

0LQ1 · LSE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €117.04 · Strongly undervalued (+72.4%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −5.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓4.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€76.06 €29.66 Fair Value €117.04 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €29.66 – €76.06 · fair‑value band €86.89 – €149.18 · the €67.89 price screens below the €117.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Continental manufactures tire and develops and produces solutions for automotive manufacturers, industrial, and end customers worldwide. It provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel, and specialist vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems; and engages in the retail of tires.

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Continental manufactures tire and develops and produces solutions for automotive manufacturers, industrial, and end customers worldwide. It provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel, and specialist vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems; and engages in the retail of tires. The company also develops solutions for industrial applications made from rubber, metal, and textiles; hoses, conveyor belts, air springs, and drive belts; and surface materials for energy, mining, agriculture, construction, as well as interior and exterior design, and automotive sectors. The company was formerly known as Continental-Caoutchouc- und Gutta-Percha Compagnie. Continental was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Hanover, Germany.

Stock analysis

Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1) currently trades at €67.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €117.04, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €144.03 per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the €67.89 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €22.11, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €86.89 (bear) to €149.18 (bull), the price of €67.89 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Continental Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €37.7B in FY2020 versus €40.5B in FY2016, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€962M in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €13.9B · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) €6.27 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 72%, 0LQ1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €86.89 Fair Value €117.04 Bull €149.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €105.11 €148.90 €230.00 76
Growth DCF €110.31 €152.81 €225.50 75
5Y EBITDA Exit €72.68 €102.07 €141.02 72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €105.11 €148.90 €230.00 76
5Y Revenue Exit €95.41 €141.42 €208.27 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €72.68 €102.07 €141.02 72
10Y Revenue Exit €95.60 €130.26 €167.34 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €84.55 €105.93 €127.86 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €20.20 €22.11 €25.02 67
DDM Multi-Stage €20.20 €25.34 €32.55 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €62.28 €85.17 €108.07 67
EV/Revenue €98.03 €142.78 €187.54 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €30.65 €41.07 €61.30 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €110.31 €152.81 €225.50 75
Rev-Margin DCF €95.41 €144.03 €203.74 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 10/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.1% (2016) → −1.9% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €99.20 €72.88 −27%
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Genuine Parts Company GPC $126.95 $57.98 −54%
Magna International Inc MGA $64.46 $69.37 +8%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Continental Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LQ1

Frequently asked questions

Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €117.04 versus a price of €67.89, about +72% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0LQ1?
Our model-based fair value for Continental Aktiengesellschaft is €117.04 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €67.89.
What is the quality score of 0LQ1?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €117.04 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €86.89, optimistic scenario €149.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €117.04, about +72% upside versus a price of €67.89 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €86.89, optimistic scenario €149.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Continental Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.98% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Continental Aktiengesellschaft it is €117.04 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €67.89. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0LQ1 trades below its calculated fair value: price €67.89, fair value €117.04, a gap of about +72% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LQ1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€67.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€117.04). For Continental Aktiengesellschaft the two are €49.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Continental Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values Continental Aktiengesellschaft at about €13.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €67.89; our models calculate a fair value of €117.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LQ1?
Our models span a range for Continental Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €86.89, base €117.04, optimistic €149.18 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €67.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0LQ1 from its 52-week high?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft trades at €67.89, about 11% below its 52-week high of €76.06 and 32% above the low of €51.46 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €117.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Continental Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €67.89, calculated fair value €117.04 (+72%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LQ1 calculated?
We run Continental Aktiengesellschaft through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €117.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Continental Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €67.89. Our model-based fair value is €117.04, about +72% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Continental Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€86.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Continental Aktiengesellschaft

How large is the market capitalisation of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The market capitalisation of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is €13.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 0.1 (as of Jul 26, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Earnings per share at Continental Aktiengesellschaft are €6.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The dividend yield of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 4.0% (payout 43.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The net margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is −2.5% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
The operating margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Revenue at Continental Aktiengesellschaft is growing −10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Continental Aktiengesellschaft (0LQ1)?
Earnings per share at Continental Aktiengesellschaft are growing +194% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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