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Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Koninklijke KPN N.V €3.32, price €3.90, upside -14.9%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · ISIN NL0000009082

KK Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Koninklijke KPN N.V

0O8F · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €3.32 · Overvalued (−14.9%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt
·2.8% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
✓Wide moat 72/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€4.67 €2.06 Fair Value €3.32 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.06 – €4.67 · fair‑value band €2.37 – €4.61 · the €3.90 price screens above the €3.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Koninklijke KPN N.V. provides telecommunications and information technology (IT) services in the Netherlands. The company operates through Consumer, Business, Wholesale and Network, and Operations & IT segments.

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Koninklijke KPN N.V. provides telecommunications and information technology (IT) services in the Netherlands. The company operates through Consumer, Business, Wholesale and Network, and Operations & IT segments. It offers fixed and mobile telephony, fixed and mobile broadband internet, and TV to retail and business consumers; infrastructure and network-related IT solutions to business customers; and wholesale network services to third parties. The company also provides network-related ICT solutions, such as security, internet of things, cloud, connectivity, and smart combinations; interconnect traffic, visitor roaming, digital products, and NL-ix interconnect exchange services; and sale of handsets and peripheral equipment, as well as software licenses. It offers its products and services under the KPN, XS4ALL, Simyo, KPN Security, KPN Health, Solcon, Inspark, and KPN Partner Network, KPN IoT, and youfone brands. The company was formerly known as Koninklijke PTT Nederland NV and changed its name to Koninklijke KPN N.V. in June 1998. Koninklijke KPN N.V. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F) currently trades at €3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.32, 14.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €4.19 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the €3.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.5400, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €2.37 (bear) to €4.61 (bull), the price of €3.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Koninklijke KPN N.V reported revenue of €5.3B in FY2020 versus €6.8B in FY2016, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was €561M in FY2020, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €12.6B · P/S ratio 2.16 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 26.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin 23.0% · Revenue (TTM) €5.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −15%, 0O8F screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €2.37 Fair Value €3.32 Bull €4.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €4.89 €7.47 €12.26 75
Growth DCF €5.19 €7.70 €11.99 74
Residual Income €1.04 €1.21 €1.65 73
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €4.89 €7.47 €12.26 75
5Y Revenue Exit €2.00 €3.02 €4.50 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.96 €6.42 €9.68 71
5Y P/E Exit €2.28 €3.51 €4.99 67
10Y Revenue Exit €3.03 €3.89 €4.76 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.27 €5.99 €7.80 66
10Y P/E Exit €3.25 €4.19 €5.05 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.18 €1.44 €1.62 65
EPV €0.3200 €0.6600 €0.9600 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.67 €1.83 €2.07 67
DDM Multi-Stage €1.67 €2.10 €2.69 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.74 €3.65 €4.56 63
P/S Multiple €2.21 €2.95 €3.69 58
P/B Multiple €2.21 €2.95 €3.69 55
EV/EBIT €1.90 €3.10 €4.30 64
EV/EBITDA €4.24 €6.22 €8.19 67
EV/Revenue €0.3600 €1.24 €2.13 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4100 €0.5400 €0.8100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.19 €7.70 €11.99 74
Rev-Margin DCF €2.00 €3.18 €4.69 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.04 €1.21 €1.65 73
ROIC Compounder €0.3200 €0.6600 €1.00 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.93 €2.76 €3.59 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.0% (2016) → 17.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0O8F screens overvalued: fair value 15% below the price. Compare with INLCM →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 26.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.22× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.51× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Koninklijke KPN N.V · Fair Value
€3.32 −15%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koninklijke KPN N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0O8F

Frequently asked questions

Is Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.32 versus a price of €3.90, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0O8F?
Our model-based fair value for Koninklijke KPN N.V is €3.32 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.90.
What is the quality score of 0O8F?
Koninklijke KPN N.V has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.32 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.37, optimistic scenario €4.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koninklijke KPN N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.32, about −15% upside versus a price of €3.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.37, optimistic scenario €4.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
Koninklijke KPN N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Koninklijke KPN N.V pay a dividend?
Koninklijke KPN N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.79% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koninklijke KPN N.V it is €3.32 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €3.90. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Koninklijke KPN N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0O8F trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.90, fair value €3.32, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0O8F?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.32). For Koninklijke KPN N.V the two are €0.5830 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koninklijke KPN N.V worth?
The market values Koninklijke KPN N.V at about €12.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €3.90; our models calculate a fair value of €3.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0O8F?
Our models span a range for Koninklijke KPN N.V: cautious scenario €2.37, base €3.32, optimistic €4.61 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €3.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
Balance-sheet figures for Koninklijke KPN N.V (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 26.1%, debt of 2.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0O8F from its 52-week high?
Koninklijke KPN N.V trades at €3.90, about 16% below its 52-week high of €4.67 and 7% above the low of €3.63 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koninklijke KPN N.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koninklijke KPN N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €3.90, calculated fair value €3.32 (−15%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0O8F calculated?
We run Koninklijke KPN N.V through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Koninklijke KPN N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €3.90. Our model-based fair value is €3.32, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koninklijke KPN N.V right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€2.37 to €4.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Koninklijke KPN N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The market capitalisation of Koninklijke KPN N.V is €12.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 2.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The dividend yield of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The net margin of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 10.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 26.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 6.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
The operating margin of Koninklijke KPN N.V is 23.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koninklijke KPN N.V (0O8F)?
Revenue at Koninklijke KPN N.V is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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