Gecina (0OPE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Gecina €23.11, price €59.43, upside -61.1%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €59.42 – €99.97 · fair‑value band €23.11 – €28.89 · the €59.43 price screens above the €23.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Gecina is a leading operator that fully integrates all real estate expertise, owning, managing, and developing a unique prime portfolio valued at 17.6bn euros as at December 31, 2025. Strategically located in the most central areas of Paris and the Paris Region, Gecina's portfolio includes 1.2 million sq.m of office space and nearly 5,300 residential units.
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Gecina is a leading operator that fully integrates all real estate expertise, owning, managing, and developing a unique prime portfolio valued at 17.6bn euros as at December 31, 2025. Strategically located in the most central areas of Paris and the Paris Region, Gecina's portfolio includes 1.2 million sq.m of office space and nearly 5,300 residential units. By combining long-term value creation with operational excellence, Gecina offers high-quality, sustainable living and working environments tailored to the evolving needs of urban users. As a committed operator, Gecina enhances its assets with high-value services and dynamic property and asset management, fostering vibrant communities. Through its YouFirst brand, Gecina places user experience at the heart of its strategy. In line with its social responsibility commitments, the Foundation Gecina supports initiatives across four core pillars: disability inclusion, environmental protection, cultural heritage, and housing access. Gecina is a French real estate investment trust (SIIC) listed on Euronext Paris, and is part of the SBF 120, CAC Next 20 and CAC Large 60 indices. Gecina is also recognized as one of the top-performing companies in its industry by leading sustainability rankings (GRESB, Sustainalytics, MSCI, ISS-ESG, and CDP) and is committed to radically reducing its carbon emissions by 2030. Gecina was incorporated in 10th February 1959 in France.
Stock analysis
Gecina (0OPE) currently trades at €59.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €23.11, 61.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €58.83 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the €59.43 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €8.97, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €23.11 (bear) to €28.89 (bull), the price of €59.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gecina reported revenue of €669M in FY2020 versus €504M in FY2016, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was €155M in FY2020, compounding −33.9%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €8.4B · P/S ratio 9.55 · Dividend yield 9.3% · Net margin 23.2% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% · Operating margin 64.4% · Revenue (TTM) €884M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −61%, 0OPE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €23.11Fair Value €23.11Bull €28.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
’16
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
190.8% (2016) → 38.2% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gecina Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0OPE
Frequently asked questions
Is Gecina (0OPE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €23.11 versus a price of €59.43, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0OPE?
Our model-based fair value for Gecina is €23.11 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €59.43.
What is the quality score of 0OPE?
Gecina has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gecina (0OPE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €23.11 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €23.11, optimistic scenario €28.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gecina stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €23.11, about −61% upside versus a price of €59.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €23.11, optimistic scenario €28.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gecina (0OPE)?
Gecina reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €884M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Gecina pay a dividend?
Gecina currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.26% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gecina (0OPE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gecina it is €23.11 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €59.43. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gecina stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0OPE trades above its calculated fair value: price €59.43, fair value €23.11, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0OPE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€59.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€23.11). For Gecina the two are €36.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gecina worth?
The market values Gecina at about €8.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €59.43; our models calculate a fair value of €23.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0OPE?
Our models span a range for Gecina: cautious scenario €23.11, base €23.11, optimistic €28.89 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €59.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0OPE from its 52-week high?
Gecina trades at €59.43, about 26% below its 52-week high of €79.95 and at the low of €59.43 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €23.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gecina?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value BXP, Inc, Vornado Realty Trust, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc, MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gecina stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €59.43, calculated fair value €23.11 (−61%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0OPE calculated?
We run Gecina through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €23.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Gecina itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gecina (0OPE)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €59.43. Our model-based fair value is €23.11, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gecina right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€28.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Gecina
How large is the market capitalisation of Gecina (0OPE)?
The market capitalisation of Gecina is €8.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gecina (0OPE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gecina is 9.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Gecina (0OPE)?
The dividend yield of Gecina is 9.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gecina (0OPE)?
The net margin of Gecina is 23.2% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gecina (0OPE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gecina is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gecina (0OPE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gecina is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gecina (0OPE)?
The operating margin of Gecina is 64.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gecina (0OPE)?
Revenue at Gecina is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gecina (0OPE)?
Earnings per share at Gecina are growing −99.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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