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Schindler Holding (0QO1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Schindler Holding £177, price £257, upside -30.9%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Schindler Holding
0QO1 · LSEOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value £177.41 · Overvalued (−30.9%)
✓Quality 71/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £150.30 – £314.41 · fair‑value band £136.60 – £232.84 · the £256.60 price screens above the £177.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide.
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Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide. It offers Schindler PORT, a transit management system; CleanMobility solutions; Schindler R.I.S.E, a robotic installation system; Schindler MetaCore which enables buildings to be repurposed and their functionality to be reconfigured; Schindler CLIMB Lift, a self-climbing system; Schindler X8; Digital Twin; and BuildingMinds, a cloud based SaaS platform that lets users monitor the performance of a real estate portfolio. In addition, the company provides digital services; and Building Information Modeling which provides traceability and insights throughout the project life cycle, including planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Hergiswil, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Schindler Holding (0QO1) currently trades at £256.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £177.41, 30.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £181.69 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the £256.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £29.60, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £136.60 (bear) to £232.84 (bull), the price of £256.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Schindler Holding reported revenue of £10.9B in FY2025 versus £11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was £1.0B in FY2025, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £27.5B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) £6.99 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 23.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −31%, 0QO1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £136.60
Fair Value £177.41
Bull £232.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.7516 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
£141.45
£186.24
£275.01
81
Growth DCF
£146.69
£190.51
£270.09
79
Owner Earnings
£129.17
£169.56
£249.62
77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
£141.45
£186.24
£275.01
81
Owner Earnings
£129.17
£169.56
£249.62
77
5Y Revenue Exit
£125.64
£172.04
£241.51
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
£140.85
£197.96
£275.83
75
5Y P/E Exit
£138.38
£193.74
£261.90
71
10Y Revenue Exit
£127.81
£167.61
£211.86
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
£140.04
£184.43
£233.53
70
10Y P/E Exit
£138.53
£181.69
£224.73
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
£60.32
£92.46
£110.33
67
EPV
£106.13
£121.11
£134.22
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
£51.59
£60.30
£70.38
69
DDM Multi-Stage
£51.59
£67.79
£88.47
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
£139.71
£186.27
£232.84
63
P/S Multiple
£113.10
£150.79
£188.49
58
P/B Multiple
£113.10
£150.79
£188.49
55
EV/EBIT
£167.77
£218.29
£268.80
66
EV/EBITDA
£160.58
£208.69
£256.80
67
EV/Revenue
£124.39
£170.74
£217.10
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
£22.09
£29.60
£44.18
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
£146.69
£190.51
£270.09
79
Rev-Margin DCF
£125.64
£174.90
£237.25
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
£54.08
£64.28
£88.71
76
ROIC Compounder
£107.04
£124.26
£141.97
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
£98.65
£140.93
£183.21
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
71/100
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Profitability
59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.2% vs 2.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.6% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%
0QO1 screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with INLCM →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks
Beats the sector median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| INLCM INLCM | ₹258.90 | ₹56.93 | −78% |
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 | ¥291.11 | ¥695.24 | +139% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA | 263.00 THB | 38.64 THB | −85% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,738 | ₹1,041 | −40% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 1,021,000 KRW | 678,284 KRW | −34% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 372.25 TRY | 63.11 TRY | −83% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 441,000 KRW | 485,100 KRW | +10% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company AOT | 62.25 THB | 54.20 THB | −13% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Schindler Holding (0QO1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £177.41 versus a price of £256.60, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QO1?
Our model-based fair value for Schindler Holding is £177.41 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £256.60.
What is the quality score of 0QO1?
Schindler Holding has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £177.41 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £136.60, optimistic scenario £232.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Schindler Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £177.41, about −31% upside versus a price of £256.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £136.60, optimistic scenario £232.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Schindler Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £10.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Schindler Holding pay a dividend?
Schindler Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Schindler Holding would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QO1 use?
Our models discount Schindler Holding at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Schindler Holding that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Schindler Holding (0QO1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Schindler Holding grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Schindler Holding (0QO1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Schindler Holding (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.03 %: that much free cash flow Schindler Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Schindler Holding it is £177.41 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of £256.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Schindler Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0QO1 trades above its calculated fair value: price £256.60, fair value £177.41, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QO1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£256.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£177.41). For Schindler Holding the two are £79.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Schindler Holding worth?
The market values Schindler Holding at about £27.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is £256.60; our models calculate a fair value of £177.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QO1?
Our models span a range for Schindler Holding: cautious scenario £136.60, base £177.41, optimistic £232.84 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price £256.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QO1?
Schindler Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £177.41 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Schindler Holding (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 23.1%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QO1 from its 52-week high?
Schindler Holding trades at £256.60, about 18% below its 52-week high of £311.47 and 3% above the low of £249.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £177.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Schindler Holding?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value INLCM, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Schindler Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price £256.60, calculated fair value £177.41 (−31%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QO1 calculated?
We run Schindler Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £177.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Schindler Holding itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £256.60. Our model-based fair value is £177.41, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Schindler Holding right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£232.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Where does the earnings growth of Schindler Holding (0QO1) come from?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding grew +2.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin −0.4 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Schindler Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The market capitalisation of Schindler Holding is £27.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Schindler Holding is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding are £6.99 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The dividend yield of Schindler Holding is 2.3% (payout 85.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The net margin of Schindler Holding is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Schindler Holding is 23.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Schindler Holding is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
The operating margin of Schindler Holding is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Revenue at Schindler Holding is growing −0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Schindler Holding (0QO1)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding are growing +2.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Schindler Holding (0QO1) hold?
Schindler Holding holds more cash than debt, £1.6B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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