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Bufab AB (0QRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bufab AB SEK 338, price SEK 144, upside +135.1%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Bufab AB
0QRA · LSEClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value kr 337.63 · Strongly undervalued (+135.1%)
✓Quality 66/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 55/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 30.78 – kr 145.20 · fair‑value band kr 225.59 – kr 438.59 · the kr 143.60 price screens below the kr 337.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers C-parts, such as bolts, screws, nails, pins, clamps, rivets, nuts and washers, as well as other small metal and rubber or plastic parts, including cables, springs, and electronic fasteners. It also provides machining, turning, cold-formed parts, hot-forged parts; access hardware comprising hinges, locks, and latches; casted parts; magnets; sheet metal; tools and equipment; and wire products. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of security labels, industrial labels, masking and insulators, foams and gaskets, polyamide labels for SMT, labels for wires and cables, decal and membrane, and adhesive transfer tapes services; and magnet services, such as magnetization, assembly, bonding of magnets, and packaging. Further, it provides stainless steel fasteners under the BUMAX brand. The company serves aerospace, agricultural, automotive, construction, defense, energy, furniture and interior, general, pharma and biopharma, and railway industries. The company was formerly known as Bufab Holding AB (publ) and changed its name to Bufab AB (publ) in June 2015. Bufab AB (publ) was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Bufab AB (0QRA) currently trades at kr 143.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 337.63, implying the stock looks roughly 57.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 390.85 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 143.60 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 67.92, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 225.59 (bear) to kr 438.59 (bull), the price of kr 143.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bufab AB reported revenue of 8.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 5.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 626M SEK in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.4B SEK (≈ $437M) · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) kr 13.56 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% · Operating margin 13.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 135%, 0QRA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 225.59
Fair Value kr 337.63
Bull kr 438.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 9.27 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
kr 244.38
kr 409.85
kr 654.98
79
Growth DCF
kr 241.59
kr 389.83
kr 597.53
77
Owner Earnings
kr 246.31
kr 412.94
kr 659.82
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
kr 244.38
kr 409.85
kr 654.98
79
Owner Earnings
kr 246.31
kr 412.94
kr 659.82
75
5Y Revenue Exit
kr 214.26
kr 371.63
kr 579.75
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 259.05
kr 461.78
kr 710.23
74
5Y P/E Exit
kr 223.81
kr 390.85
kr 576.25
70
10Y Revenue Exit
kr 216.19
kr 359.58
kr 568.29
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
kr 249.49
kr 419.13
kr 665.78
67
10Y P/E Exit
kr 228.32
kr 372.28
kr 565.68
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
kr 113.61
kr 485.53
kr 663.22
64
Lynch FV
kr 124.09
kr 177.27
kr 230.45
61
PEG = 1.0
kr 124.09
kr 177.27
kr 230.45
57
EPV
kr 133.26
kr 155.07
kr 173.25
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
kr 41.27
kr 74.36
kr 102.36
68
DDM Multi-Stage
kr 41.27
kr 67.92
kr 79.43
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
kr 263.15
kr 350.87
kr 438.59
63
P/S Multiple
kr 213.03
kr 284.04
kr 355.05
58
P/B Multiple
kr 213.03
kr 284.04
kr 355.05
55
EV/EBIT
kr 295.26
kr 402.57
kr 509.88
66
EV/EBITDA
kr 299.14
kr 407.75
kr 516.35
67
EV/Revenue
kr 203.10
kr 301.57
kr 400.04
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
kr 53.74
kr 72.01
kr 107.48
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
kr 241.59
kr 389.83
kr 597.53
77
Rev-Margin DCF
kr 214.26
kr 369.99
kr 566.18
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
kr 102.67
kr 127.26
kr 182.94
75
ROIC Compounder
kr 141.72
kr 185.36
kr 240.13
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
kr 208.44
kr 297.77
kr 387.09
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Profitability
52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
’14
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’20
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.6% vs 17.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.7% a year for the price and +5.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+9.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.7%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,256 | $623.81 | −50% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $50.23 | $41.28 | −18% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $222.74 | $32.49 | −85% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $367.44 | $151.88 | −59% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$226.98 | C$127.90 | −44% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $317.23 | $250.18 | −21% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $332.29 | $205.13 | −38% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$106.19 | C$74.26 | −30% |
| Indutrade AB INDT | kr 258.60 | kr 284.46 | +10% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $42.64 | $50.21 | +18% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bufab AB (0QRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 337.63 versus a price of kr 143.60, about +135% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0QRA?
Our model-based fair value for Bufab AB is kr 337.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 143.60.
What is the quality score of 0QRA?
Bufab AB has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 337.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 225.59, optimistic scenario kr 438.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bufab AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 337.63, about +135% upside versus a price of kr 143.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 225.59, optimistic scenario kr 438.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Bufab AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.3B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bufab AB pay a dividend?
Bufab AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bufab AB (0QRA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bufab AB would have to grow free cash flow by +27.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QRA use?
Our models discount Bufab AB at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.35, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bufab AB that is +27.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bufab AB (0QRA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bufab AB grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +27.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bufab AB (0QRA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bufab AB (+27.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.11 %: that much free cash flow Bufab AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bufab AB it is kr 337.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 143.60. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bufab AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QRA trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 143.60, fair value kr 337.63, a gap of about +135% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 143.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 337.63). For Bufab AB the two are kr 194.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bufab AB worth?
The market values Bufab AB at about 4.4B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 143.60; our models calculate a fair value of kr 337.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QRA?
Our models span a range for Bufab AB: cautious scenario kr 225.59, base kr 337.63, optimistic kr 438.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 143.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QRA from its 52-week high?
Bufab AB trades at kr 143.60, about 1% below its 52-week high of kr 145.20 and 64% above the low of kr 87.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 337.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bufab AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bufab AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 143.60, calculated fair value kr 337.63 (+135%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QRA calculated?
We run Bufab AB through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 337.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bufab AB currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 143.60. Our model-based fair value is kr 337.63, about +135% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bufab AB right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 225.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 225.59 to kr 438.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Bufab AB (0QRA) come from?
Earnings per share at Bufab AB grew +17.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.2 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bufab AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The market capitalisation of Bufab AB is 4.4B SEK (≈ $437M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Bufab AB is 0.1 (as of Jul 30, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Earnings per share at Bufab AB are kr 13.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The dividend yield of Bufab AB is 0.9% (payout 9.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The net margin of Bufab AB is 7.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bufab AB is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bufab AB is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bufab AB (0QRA)?
The operating margin of Bufab AB is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Revenue at Bufab AB is growing +11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bufab AB (0QRA)?
Earnings per share at Bufab AB are growing +34.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bufab AB (0QRA) carry?
The net debt of Bufab AB is 3.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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