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Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Franco-Nevada Corporation C$101, price C$341, upside -70.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Franco-Nevada Corporation
0QYZ · LSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value C$101.16 · Strongly overvalued (−70.3%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 65.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend
✓Wide moat 83/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$75.36 – C$381.63 · fair‑value band C$76.44 – C$125.89 · the C$340.80 price screens above the C$101.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments.
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Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. It also manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) currently trades at C$340.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$101.16, 70.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$172.10 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the C$340.80 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at C$24.18, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$76.44 (bear) to C$125.89 (bull), the price of C$340.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Franco-Nevada Corporation reported revenue of C$1.9B in FY2025 versus C$1.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.1B in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$65.8B (≈ $46.2B) · P/E ratio 0.6 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) C$5.02 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 61.1% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 18% fair-value upside, at −70%, 0QYZ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$76.44
Fair Value C$101.16
Bull C$125.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$2.60 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV
C$53.36
C$61.94
C$69.45
74
Residual Income
C$40.74
C$54.09
C$86.08
74
ROIC Compounder
C$64.47
C$92.93
C$115.13
72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
C$41.29
C$287.94
C$404.08
63
Lynch FV
C$99.97
C$142.81
C$185.65
61
PEG = 1.0
C$99.97
C$142.81
C$185.65
57
EPV
C$53.36
C$61.94
C$69.45
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
C$13.79
C$28.67
C$45.49
66
DDM Multi-Stage
C$13.79
C$24.18
C$30.09
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
C$77.42
C$103.22
C$129.03
63
P/S Multiple
C$11.19
C$14.92
C$18.65
58
P/B Multiple
C$77.42
C$103.22
C$129.03
55
EV/EBIT
C$76.06
C$100.78
C$125.50
66
EV/EBITDA
C$67.43
C$89.27
C$111.12
67
EV/Revenue
C$12.34
C$16.81
C$21.29
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
C$20.45
C$27.40
C$40.90
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
C$40.74
C$54.09
C$86.08
74
ROIC Compounder
C$64.47
C$92.93
C$115.13
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
C$120.47
C$172.10
C$223.73
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Profitability
55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+68.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.4% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.2%
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’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+15.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.26.2% vs 23.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.58% → 71%
2025 sits 80% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
0QYZ screens overvalued: fair value 70% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$143.10 | HK$238.73 | +67% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$101.16 versus a price of C$340.80, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QYZ?
Our model-based fair value for Franco-Nevada Corporation is C$101.16 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$340.80.
What is the quality score of 0QYZ?
Franco-Nevada Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$101.16 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$76.44, optimistic scenario C$125.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Franco-Nevada Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$101.16, about −70% upside versus a price of C$340.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$76.44, optimistic scenario C$125.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Franco-Nevada Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Franco-Nevada Corporation pay a dividend?
Franco-Nevada Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Franco-Nevada Corporation it is C$101.16 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of C$340.80. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Franco-Nevada Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0QYZ trades above its calculated fair value: price C$340.80, fair value C$101.16, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QYZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$340.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$101.16). For Franco-Nevada Corporation the two are C$239.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Franco-Nevada Corporation worth?
The market values Franco-Nevada Corporation at about C$65.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is C$340.80; our models calculate a fair value of C$101.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QYZ?
Our models span a range for Franco-Nevada Corporation: cautious scenario C$76.44, base C$101.16, optimistic C$125.89 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price C$340.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QYZ from its 52-week high?
Franco-Nevada Corporation trades at C$340.80, about 11% below its 52-week high of C$381.63 and 33% above the low of C$256.73 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$101.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Franco-Nevada Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Franco-Nevada Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price C$340.80, calculated fair value C$101.16 (−70%), Quality Score 66/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QYZ calculated?
We run Franco-Nevada Corporation through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$101.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Franco-Nevada Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$340.80. Our model-based fair value is C$101.16, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Franco-Nevada Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$125.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) come from?
Earnings per share at Franco-Nevada Corporation grew +25.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.0 %, EBIT margin +11.6 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Franco-Nevada Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The market capitalisation of Franco-Nevada Corporation is C$65.8B (≈ $46.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 0.6 (as of Jul 30, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 0.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Earnings per share at Franco-Nevada Corporation are C$5.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The dividend yield of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 0.5% (payout 31.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The net margin of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 61.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
The operating margin of Franco-Nevada Corporation is 79.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Revenue at Franco-Nevada Corporation is growing +77.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ)?
Earnings per share at Franco-Nevada Corporation are growing +123% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) generate?
The free cash flow of Franco-Nevada Corporation is −C$715M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Franco-Nevada Corporation (0QYZ) hold?
Franco-Nevada Corporation holds more cash than debt, C$425M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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