Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Nintendo Co. Ltd. ¥8,910, price ¥7,849, upside +13.5%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2,493 – ¥14,026 · fair‑value band ¥6,080 – ¥13,421 · the ¥7,849 price screens below the ¥8,910 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content.
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Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content. In addition, it offers develop IP, including video content and mobile apps. The company was formerly known as Nintendo Playing Card Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nintendo Co., Ltd. in 1963. Nintendo Co., Ltd. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
Stock analysis
Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) currently trades at ¥7,849, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8,910, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥8,760 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥7,849 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2,045, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥6,080 (bear) to ¥13,421 (bull), the price of ¥7,849 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nintendo Co. Ltd. reported revenue of ¥2.3T in FY2026 versus ¥1.7T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥424B in FY2026, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ¥9.1T (≈ $57.9B) · P/S ratio 3.28 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 18.3% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% · Operating margin 14.7% · Revenue (TTM) ¥2.3T.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 14%, 0R1E screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6,080Fair Value ¥8,910Bull ¥13,421
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+98.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.0% vs 26.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 16%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Video Games” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3585 stocks
Beats the sector median on 10/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+13.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth95.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8,910 versus a price of ¥7,849, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0R1E?
Our model-based fair value for Nintendo Co. Ltd. is ¥8,910 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7,849.
What is the quality score of 0R1E?
Nintendo Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8,910 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6,080, optimistic scenario ¥13,421. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nintendo Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8,910, about +14% upside versus a price of ¥7,849 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥6,080, optimistic scenario ¥13,421. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Nintendo Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Nintendo Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Nintendo Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nintendo Co. Ltd. it is ¥8,910 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of ¥7,849. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nintendo Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0R1E trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7,849, fair value ¥8,910, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0R1E?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7,849); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8,910). For Nintendo Co. Ltd. the two are ¥1,061 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nintendo Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Nintendo Co. Ltd. at about ¥9.1T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is ¥7,849; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8,910 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0R1E?
Our models span a range for Nintendo Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥6,080, base ¥8,910, optimistic ¥13,421 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price ¥7,849). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nintendo Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 14.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0R1E from its 52-week high?
Nintendo Co. Ltd. trades at ¥7,849, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥14,020 and 19% above the low of ¥6,589 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8,910 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nintendo Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value ALWN, BYLOT, RAJPALAYAM, VIRAT, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nintendo Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price ¥7,849, calculated fair value ¥8,910 (+14%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0R1E calculated?
We run Nintendo Co. Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8,910, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nintendo Co. Ltd. currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was ¥7,849. Our model-based fair value is ¥8,910, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nintendo Co. Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥6,080 to ¥13,421) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) come from?
Earnings per share at Nintendo Co. Ltd. grew +25.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.7 %, EBIT margin +16.8 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nintendo Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The market capitalisation of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is ¥9.1T (≈ $57.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 3.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The dividend yield of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The net margin of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 18.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
The operating margin of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Revenue at Nintendo Co. Ltd. is growing +95.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E)?
Earnings per share at Nintendo Co. Ltd. are growing +57.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) generate?
The free cash flow of Nintendo Co. Ltd. is ¥263B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nintendo Co. Ltd. (0R1E) hold?
Nintendo Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, ¥1.3T net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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