HORNBACH Holding (0RC9) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of HORNBACH Holding €145, price €84.50, upside +71.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €50.92 – €119.59 · fair‑value band €108.95 – €181.59 · the €84.50 price screens below the €145.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
HORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaA, through its subsidiaries, develops and operates do-it-yourself (DIY) megastores with garden centers in Germany and other European countries. The company offers hardware/electrical, paint/wallpaper/flooring, construction materials/timber/prefabricated components, sanitary/tiles, and garden products.
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HORNBACH Holding AG & Co. KGaA, through its subsidiaries, develops and operates do-it-yourself (DIY) megastores with garden centers in Germany and other European countries. The company offers hardware/electrical, paint/wallpaper/flooring, construction materials/timber/prefabricated components, sanitary/tiles, and garden products. It also stocks and supplies various construction materials and tools; and offers professional advice for various product ranges and lines of trade, including shell construction and roofing, interior fittings and facades, and civil engineering, and garden and landscape construction materials for construction, or refurbishment renovation and modernization projects. In addition, the company develops retail real estate properties, as well as sell building materials. Further, it operates HORNBACH online stores. The company was founded in 1877 and is based in Bornheim, Germany.
Stock analysis
HORNBACH Holding (0RC9) currently trades at €84.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €145.27, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €229.84 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the €84.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €23.24, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €108.95 (bear) to €181.59 (bull), the price of €84.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HORNBACH Holding reported revenue of €5.5B in FY2021 versus €3.9B in FY2017, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was €165M in FY2021, compounding +20.9%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
Market cap €2.1B · P/S ratio 0.32 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 8.0% · Revenue (TTM) €6.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 72%, 0RC9 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €108.95Fair Value €145.27Bull €181.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
’17
’18
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’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2017) → 5.7% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HORNBACH Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RC9
Frequently asked questions
Is HORNBACH Holding (0RC9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €145.27 versus a price of €84.50, about +72% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RC9?
Our model-based fair value for HORNBACH Holding is €145.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €84.50.
What is the quality score of 0RC9?
HORNBACH Holding has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €145.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €108.95, optimistic scenario €181.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HORNBACH Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €145.27, about +72% upside versus a price of €84.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €108.95, optimistic scenario €181.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
HORNBACH Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does HORNBACH Holding pay a dividend?
HORNBACH Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HORNBACH Holding it is €145.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €84.50. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HORNBACH Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RC9 trades below its calculated fair value: price €84.50, fair value €145.27, a gap of about +72% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RC9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€84.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€145.27). For HORNBACH Holding the two are €60.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HORNBACH Holding worth?
The market values HORNBACH Holding at about €2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €84.50; our models calculate a fair value of €145.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RC9?
Our models span a range for HORNBACH Holding: cautious scenario €108.95, base €145.27, optimistic €181.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €84.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0RC9 from its 52-week high?
HORNBACH Holding trades at €84.50, about 7% below its 52-week high of €91.19 and 15% above the low of €73.78 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €145.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HORNBACH Holding?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Wesfarmers Limited, Floor & Decor Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HORNBACH Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €84.50, calculated fair value €145.27 (+72%), Quality Score 63/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RC9 calculated?
We run HORNBACH Holding through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €145.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HORNBACH Holding currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €84.50. Our model-based fair value is €145.27, about +72% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HORNBACH Holding right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€108.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of HORNBACH Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The market capitalisation of HORNBACH Holding is €2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HORNBACH Holding is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The dividend yield of HORNBACH Holding is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The net margin of HORNBACH Holding is 3.0% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HORNBACH Holding is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HORNBACH Holding is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
The operating margin of HORNBACH Holding is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
Revenue at HORNBACH Holding is growing +4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HORNBACH Holding (0RC9)?
Earnings per share at HORNBACH Holding are growing −5.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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