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Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lundin Mining Corp. SEK 117, price SEK 244, upside -52.0%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Canada

LM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lundin Mining Corp.

0RQ9 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 117.14 · Strongly overvalued (−52.0%)
✓Quality 71/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 33.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
·0.1% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
✓Ranks above peers (7/10)
✓Wide moat 80/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 295.81 kr 47.46 Fair Value kr 117.14 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 47.46 – kr 295.81 · fair‑value band kr 87.86 – kr 146.43 · the kr 244.00 price screens above the kr 117.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, and Argentina. It explores for copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metal deposits. The company was formerly known as South Atlantic Ventures Ltd.

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Lundin Mining Corporation, a diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, and Argentina. It explores for copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metal deposits. The company was formerly known as South Atlantic Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Lundin Mining Corporation in August 2004. Lundin Mining Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9) currently trades at kr 244.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 117.14, 52.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 240.34 per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 244.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 32.99, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 87.86 (bear) to kr 146.43 (bull), the price of kr 244.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Lundin Mining Corp. reported revenue of 2.0B SEK in FY2020 versus 1.5B SEK in FY2016, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 169M SEK in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 8.0B SEK (≈ $793M) · P/S ratio 1.86 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 22.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% · Operating margin 43.5% · Revenue (TTM) 4.3B SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −52%, 0RQ9 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 87.86 Fair Value kr 117.14 Bull kr 146.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 253.50 kr 363.64 kr 509.66 77
Growth DCF kr 255.30 kr 351.22 kr 470.63 76
EPV kr 64.49 kr 72.95 kr 80.01 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 253.50 kr 363.64 kr 509.66 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 147.83 kr 197.84 kr 257.28 70
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 234.92 kr 359.99 kr 503.32 72
5Y P/E Exit kr 146.25 kr 194.90 kr 243.38 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 187.08 kr 240.34 kr 304.95 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 239.77 kr 342.94 kr 475.73 65
10Y P/E Exit kr 188.16 kr 238.48 kr 295.31 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 35.16 kr 107.48 kr 142.68 62
Lynch FV kr 23.09 kr 32.99 kr 42.88 58
PEG = 1.0 kr 23.09 kr 32.99 kr 42.88 55
EPV kr 64.49 kr 72.95 kr 80.01 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 50.21 kr 90.47 kr 124.55 65
DDM Multi-Stage kr 50.21 kr 77.48 kr 96.65 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 81.43 kr 108.58 kr 135.72 63
P/S Multiple kr 65.92 kr 87.89 kr 109.87 58
P/B Multiple kr 65.92 kr 87.89 kr 109.87 55
EV/EBIT kr 153.94 kr 204.46 kr 254.98 66
EV/EBITDA kr 251.50 kr 334.54 kr 417.58 67
EV/Revenue kr 81.16 kr 114.93 kr 148.70 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 60.92 kr 81.63 kr 121.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 255.30 kr 351.22 kr 470.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 147.83 kr 201.99 kr 265.59 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 87.09 kr 86.41 kr 88.61 73
ROIC Compounder kr 64.49 kr 72.95 kr 80.01 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 66.92 kr 95.60 kr 124.28 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.0% (2016) → 19.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0RQ9 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with PX →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metals & Mining · 30 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 22.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 43.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 26.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)89 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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MARC MARC 0.7700 PHP 0.8600 PHP +12%
Tplex Co 081150 2,605 KRW 1,887 KRW −28%
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Gyeongnam Steel Co 039240 1,949 KRW 3,263 KRW +67%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lundin Mining Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RQ9

Frequently asked questions

Is Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 117.14 versus a price of kr 244.00, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0RQ9?
Our model-based fair value for Lundin Mining Corp. is kr 117.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 244.00.
What is the quality score of 0RQ9?
Lundin Mining Corp. has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 117.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 87.86, optimistic scenario kr 146.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lundin Mining Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 117.14, about −52% upside versus a price of kr 244.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 87.86, optimistic scenario kr 146.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Lundin Mining Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Lundin Mining Corp. pay a dividend?
Lundin Mining Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lundin Mining Corp. it is kr 117.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 244.00. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lundin Mining Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RQ9 trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 244.00, fair value kr 117.14, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RQ9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 244.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 117.14). For Lundin Mining Corp. the two are kr 126.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lundin Mining Corp. worth?
The market values Lundin Mining Corp. at about 8.0B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 244.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 117.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RQ9?
Our models span a range for Lundin Mining Corp.: cautious scenario kr 87.86, base kr 117.14, optimistic kr 146.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 244.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lundin Mining Corp. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RQ9 from its 52-week high?
Lundin Mining Corp. trades at kr 244.00, about 18% below its 52-week high of kr 295.81 and 79% above the low of kr 136.16 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 117.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lundin Mining Corp.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value PX, AT, LCB, LC, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lundin Mining Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 244.00, calculated fair value kr 117.14 (−52%), Quality Score 71/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RQ9 calculated?
We run Lundin Mining Corp. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 117.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lundin Mining Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 244.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 117.14, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lundin Mining Corp. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 146.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Lundin Mining Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The market capitalisation of Lundin Mining Corp. is 8.0B SEK (≈ $793M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lundin Mining Corp. is 1.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The dividend yield of Lundin Mining Corp. is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The net margin of Lundin Mining Corp. is 8.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lundin Mining Corp. is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lundin Mining Corp. is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
The operating margin of Lundin Mining Corp. is 43.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Revenue at Lundin Mining Corp. is growing +26.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lundin Mining Corp. (0RQ9)?
Earnings per share at Lundin Mining Corp. are growing +128% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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