Karrie International Holdings Ltd (1050) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$4.2B (≈ $535M) · ISIN BMG5215H1051

What is Karrie International Holdings Ltd really worth?

KI Karrie International Holdings Ltd 1050 · HK

PriceHK$1.90

Fair ValueHK$2.15

Upside+13.2%

Quality51/100

A solid business, trading 12% below our fair value of HK$2.15.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Karrie International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.15 per share against a price of HK$1.90, so the fair value sits 13% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.0 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 7.8% net margin

!Moderate moat 57/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·3.16% dividend yield

Evidence: Low Range HK$1.61 – HK$3.63

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.90 to HK$2.15 (+13.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

A fairly wide model range (HK$1.61 to HK$3.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3705 – HK$3.32 · fair‑value band HK$1.61 – HK$3.63 · the HK$1.90 price screens below the HK$2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Karrie International Holdings Ltd (1050) currently trades at HK$1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 11.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.79 per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$1.90 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.4700, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Karrie International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. Net debt stands at HK$465M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.61 (bear case) to HK$3.63 (bull case); at HK$1.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at 13%, 1050 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0174 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$0.5900 HK$0.7900 HK$1.08 81

Growth DCF HK$0.6100 HK$0.8000 HK$1.06 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.15 HK$1.56 HK$2.15 77

All 22 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$0.5900 HK$0.7900 HK$1.08 81

Owner Earnings HK$1.15 HK$1.56 HK$2.15 77

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.23 HK$1.96 HK$2.90 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.98 HK$3.28 HK$4.77 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.71 HK$2.80 HK$3.92 70

10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.9300 HK$1.52 HK$2.25 66

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.43 HK$2.38 HK$3.54 67

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.26 HK$2.07 HK$2.96 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.8800 HK$1.77 HK$2.23 66

EPV HK$1.55 HK$1.78 HK$1.99 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$2.73 HK$3.63 HK$4.54 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.65 HK$2.21 HK$2.76 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.65 HK$2.21 HK$2.76 55

EV/EBIT HK$3.41 HK$4.53 HK$5.65 66

EV/EBITDA HK$3.27 HK$4.35 HK$5.43 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.74 HK$2.47 HK$3.20 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.7000 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$0.6100 HK$0.8000 HK$1.06 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.23 HK$1.96 HK$2.75 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.8200 HK$1.08 HK$3.55 64

ROIC Compounder HK$1.59 HK$1.89 HK$2.19 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.95 HK$2.79 HK$3.63 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$2.79) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4700). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.5 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 1.21 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5

Dividend yield 3.2% payout 60.0%

Net margin 7.8% FY2026

Return on equity 21.3% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% avg 5y

Operating margin 11.7% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.5B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2% 3y avg +4.0%

EPS growth (YoY) +46.6%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$116M FY2025

Net debt HK$465M FY2026 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 55

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 47

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 28

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 68

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 56

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 49

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 36

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 70

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 49

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Karrie International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells metal, plastic, and electronic products in Hong Kong, Japan, Mainland China, Asia, North America, and Western Europe. It operates through Metal and Plastic Business and Electronic Manufacturing Services Business segments. The company offers mechanical engineering solutions; and manufactures and sells metal and plastic parts including molds and the relevant plastic and metal parts products for information and communication technology industry, etc. It also involved in manufacturing and sale of magnetic tape data storage, point-of-sale system, and other computer peripherals, etc. In addition, the company sells server casings, office automation products, visual accessories, metal stamping dies, and plastic injection molds; and provides management services, as well as holds properties. Karrie International Holdings Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Karrie International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.5B in FY2026 versus HK$3.1B in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$271M in FY2026, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100

Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Latest Revenue (FY 2026)

HK$3.5B

Latest YoY

+7.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+4.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+0.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+6.4%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

−7.2% · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share−10.4%

Dividend yield3.2%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −10.4% vs 10Y 8.1%, flattening

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21.1% (2021) → 11.3% (2026) · falling

Worst earnings drop98% (2008) · in HKD

Revenue +3.1%/yr

FY22 HK$3.1B

FY23 HK$3.1B

FY24 HK$2.9B

FY25 HK$3.2B

FY26 HK$3.5B

Net income −16.2%/yr

FY22 HK$549M

FY23 HK$386M

FY24 HK$170M

FY25 HK$204M

FY26 HK$271M

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +6.3 % p.a.

Revenue per share +1.5 %

of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %

EBIT margin +5.6 %

Tax rate −0.3 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Karrie International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$2.15 +12%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Karrie International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1050.HK

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median

Fair Value upside +13% · Top 25%

Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%

Return on assets 8% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%

Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Top 25%

Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Cheaper than median

P/B 2.87× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 1.21× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 4.6× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE51 · sector 0

FUTURE46 · sector 35

PAST85 · sector 21

HEALTH91 · sector 95

DIVIDEND63 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Karrie International Holdings Ltd (1050) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.15 versus a price of HK$1.90, about +13% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1050?

Our model-based fair value for Karrie International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.90.

What is the quality score of 1050?

Karrie International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Karrie International Holdings Ltd (1050)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.61, optimistic scenario HK$3.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Karrie International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$2.15, about +13% upside versus a price of HK$1.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.61, optimistic scenario HK$3.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Karrie International Holdings Ltd (1050)?

Karrie International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1050?

The net profit margin of Karrie International Holdings Ltd is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Karrie International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?

Karrie International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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