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Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Golik Holdings Ltd HK$4.48, price HK$1.17, upside +282.9%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · HK · ISIN BMG2618A1009

GH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Golik Holdings Ltd

1118 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$4.48 · Strongly undervalued (+282.9%)
✓Quality 72/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +4.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.6% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.25 HK$0.5436 Fair Value HK$4.48 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5436 – HK$1.25 · fair‑value band HK$3.36 – HK$5.60 · the HK$1.17 price screens below the HK$4.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Golik Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells metal products and building construction materials in Hong Kong, Mainland China, United States, and internationally. The company offers elevator, crane, and oilfield ropes.

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Golik Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells metal products and building construction materials in Hong Kong, Mainland China, United States, and internationally. The company offers elevator, crane, and oilfield ropes. It also provides steel wire products, such as carbon steel spring, piano, and bedding and seating spring wires; fibre optic cable strength members; aluminum conductor steel reinforced and galvanized low carbon steel wire for cable armouring products; galvanized steel wire strands; steel wire strand for fibre optic cables; wire ropes for port, harbour, and piling machines; plastic-coated wire rope; and zinc-coated steel strand support for telecommunication cables. In addition, the company distributes reinforcing steel bars, sheet piles, and H-beams; and offers reinforcing steel products, services, and accessories, including tailored and standard fabric reinforcements, cut and bent reinforcements, prefabricated large diameter bored pile cages, lattice girders, rebar couplers, Hy-Rib formworks, and concreting accessories, as well as construction metal products, such as expanded metal meshes, beads and laths, lintels, and corrugated sheets. Further, the company produces and supplies ready mixed concrete for the construction industry; and operates a decoiling center and concrete batching plants. Additionally, it provides concrete and metal products, and reinforcing mesh; operates medical imaging diagnostic centre; and warehousing and handling services, as well as engages in the property holding and money lending activities. Golik Holdings Limited was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) currently trades at HK$1.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.48, implying the stock looks roughly 73.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$15.47 per share, and 22 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$1.17 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.76, and 1 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$3.36 (bear) to HK$5.60 (bull), the price of HK$1.17 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Golik Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.6B in FY2025 versus HK$4.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$151M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$672M (≈ $85.6M) · P/E ratio 4.4 · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1200 · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 283%, 1118 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.36 Fair Value HK$4.48 Bull HK$5.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0416 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$22.54 HK$28.81 HK$36.03 80
Growth DCF HK$22.78 HK$28.45 HK$34.71 78
Owner Earnings HK$4.47 HK$5.40 HK$6.46 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$22.54 HK$28.81 HK$36.03 80
Owner Earnings HK$4.47 HK$5.40 HK$6.46 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$12.78 HK$14.98 HK$17.36 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$12.92 HK$15.23 HK$17.56 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$12.54 HK$14.55 HK$16.40 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$17.03 HK$19.67 HK$22.44 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$17.18 HK$19.81 HK$22.57 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$16.98 HK$19.42 HK$21.85 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.79 HK$4.14 HK$5.32 63
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.7000 HK$1.00 HK$1.30 55
EPV HK$3.69 HK$3.97 HK$4.20 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.36 HK$4.48 HK$5.60 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.36 HK$4.48 HK$5.60 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.36 HK$4.48 HK$5.60 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.51 HK$6.89 HK$8.27 66
EV/EBITDA HK$5.51 HK$6.90 HK$8.29 67
EV/Revenue HK$4.95 HK$6.49 HK$8.04 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.31 HK$1.76 HK$2.63 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$22.78 HK$28.45 HK$34.71 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$12.78 HK$15.47 HK$18.57 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.11 HK$2.25 HK$2.51 74
ROIC Compounder HK$3.76 HK$4.13 HK$4.49 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.57 HK$3.67 HK$4.77 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.1% vs 4.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 248 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)24 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)43 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $85.04 $74.79 −12%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 64.66 CHF 33.08 −49%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $484.30 $207.85 −57%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,155 ₹4,719 −58%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $245.00 $131.66 −46%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.06 ¥28.26 −34%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,191 ₹1,245 −61%
Amrize AG AMRZ $38.22 $35.08 −8%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$36.98 A$8.06 −78%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.51 ¥28.02 +60%

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HK$4.48 +74%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golik Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1118

Frequently asked questions

Is Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.48 versus a price of HK$1.17, about +283% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1118?
Our model-based fair value for Golik Holdings Ltd is HK$4.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.17.
What is the quality score of 1118?
Golik Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$4.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.36, optimistic scenario HK$5.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golik Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$4.48, about +283% upside versus a price of HK$1.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.36, optimistic scenario HK$5.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Golik Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Golik Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Golik Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golik Holdings Ltd it is HK$4.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.17. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Golik Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1118 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.17, fair value HK$4.48, a gap of about +283% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1118?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$4.48). For Golik Holdings Ltd the two are HK$3.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golik Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Golik Holdings Ltd at about HK$672M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.17; our models calculate a fair value of HK$4.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1118?
Our models span a range for Golik Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.36, base HK$4.48, optimistic HK$5.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1118?
Golik Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$4.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 1118?
The PEG ratio of Golik Holdings Ltd is 0.70 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golik Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1118 from its 52-week high?
Golik Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.17, about 7% below its 52-week high of HK$1.25 and 24% above the low of HK$0.9459 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$4.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golik Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golik Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.17, calculated fair value HK$4.48 (+283%), Quality Score 72/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1118 calculated?
We run Golik Holdings Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$4.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Golik Holdings Ltd currently trades 74 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$1.17. Our model-based fair value is HK$4.48, about +283% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golik Holdings Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) come from?
Earnings per share at Golik Holdings Ltd grew +5.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.7 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Golik Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The market capitalisation of Golik Holdings Ltd is HK$672M (≈ $85.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golik Holdings Ltd is 0.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Earnings per share at Golik Holdings Ltd are HK$0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The dividend yield of Golik Holdings Ltd is 5.6% (payout 54.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The net margin of Golik Holdings Ltd is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golik Holdings Ltd is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golik Holdings Ltd is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
The operating margin of Golik Holdings Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Revenue at Golik Holdings Ltd is growing +4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Golik Holdings Ltd (1118)?
Earnings per share at Golik Holdings Ltd are growing −16.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) generate?
The free cash flow of Golik Holdings Ltd is HK$1.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Golik Holdings Ltd (1118) hold?
Golik Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$195M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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