COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd (1138) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd HK$13.86, price HK$19.15, upside -27.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd
1138 · HKWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.50 – HK$21.24 · fair‑value band HK$6.91 – HK$20.48 · the HK$19.15 price screens above the HK$13.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the transportation of oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) in People's Republic of China and internationally. It is involved in chartering of vessels; shipment of liquefied petroleum gas; and provision of shipping agency services.
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COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the transportation of oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) in People's Republic of China and internationally. It is involved in chartering of vessels; shipment of liquefied petroleum gas; and provision of shipping agency services. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 155 oil tankers with a total capacity of 22.576 million deadweight tons (DWT); 18 tankers under construction awaiting delivery, with a total deadweight tonnage of 2.961 million tons; and 6 bareboat chartered VLCCs awaiting delivery, with a total deadweight tonnage of 1.842 million tons, as well as invested in 87 LNG vessels, which includes 63 LNG vessels with a capacity of 10.662 million cubic meters; 24 LNG vessels under construction awaiting delivery with a capacity of 4.375 million cubic meters, and one bareboat chartered LNG vessel with a capacity of 174,000 cubic meters; and 1 bareboat charter ship with a capacity of 174, 000 cubic meters. The company was formerly known as China Shipping Development Company Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. in October 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd (1138) currently trades at HK$19.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$13.86, 27.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$18.58 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$19.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$3.48, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$6.91 (bear) to HK$20.48 (bull), the price of HK$19.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.0B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$93.6B (≈ $11.9B) · P/E ratio 14.6 · P/S ratio 2.48 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.4000 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 17.0% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 123% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −28%, 1138 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
1138 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Compare COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 84 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $46.97 | $36.91 | −21% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $68.98 | $11.72 | −83% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $36.65 | $24.66 | −33% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $20.10 | $15.29 | −24% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $30.63 | $28.16 | −8% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | $58.78 | $24.51 | −58% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $277.84 | $65.24 | −77% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.66 | $70.77 | +23% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $88.62 | $80.15 | −10% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $267.29 | $294.02 | +10% |
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Key figures of COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd
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