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ONEOK, Inc (OKE) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $58.9B

OI ONEOK, Inc logo ONEOK, Inc OKE · US
Price$87.93
Fair Value$64.05
Upside-27.2%
Quality43/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.52% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $47.10 – $101.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($47.10 to $101.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$108.40 $38.05 Fair Value $64.05 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $38.05 – $108.40 · fair‑value band $47.10 – $101.64 · the $87.93 price screens above the $64.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

ONEOK, Inc (OKE) currently trades at $87.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.05, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ONEOK, Inc generated revenue of $35.2B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $32.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.10 (bear case) to $101.64 (bull case); at $87.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -27%, OKE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.38 $65.68 $161.74 80
Residual Income $35.87 $44.51 $90.12 76
Rev-Margin DCF $35.75 $120.32 $240.83 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.21 $54.17 $173.55 38
Owner Earnings $37.18 $125.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit $35.75 $125.24 $256.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $56.83 $172.83 $331.19 41
5Y P/E Exit $22.74 $95.91 $186.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.32 $108.21 $250.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $41.43 $145.03 $327.49 37
10Y P/E Exit $17.94 $85.46 $195.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $36.64 $225.61 $314.84 54
Lynch FV $64.73 $92.47 $120.21 50
PEG = 1.0 $64.73 $92.47 $120.21 46
EPV $41.09 $56.05 $69.14 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $37.64 $78.27 $124.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage $37.64 $66.00 $82.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $80.83 $107.77 $134.72 63
P/S Multiple $68.70 $91.61 $114.51 58
P/B Multiple $68.70 $91.61 $114.51 55
EV/EBIT $100.59 $150.36 $200.12 53
EV/EBITDA $82.56 $126.30 $170.05 54
EV/Revenue $44.72 $84.75 $124.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.84 $23.91 $35.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.38 $65.68 $161.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF $35.75 $120.32 $240.83 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $35.87 $44.51 $90.12 76
ROIC Compounder $45.44 $86.03 $122.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $91.02 $130.03 $169.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($130.03) versus Asset-Based ($23.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $35.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.6%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 15.9%
Free cash flow $2.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) $5.61
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net debt $32.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ONEOK, Inc. operates as a midstream service provider of gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services in the United States. It operates in four segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing; Natural Gas Liquids; Natural Gas Pipelines; and Refined Products and Crude.

Full company description

ONEOK, Inc. operates as a midstream service provider of gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export services in the United States. It operates in four segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing; Natural Gas Liquids; Natural Gas Pipelines; and Refined Products and Crude. The company owns natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants in the Mid-Continent, Permian Basin, North Texas, Gulf Coast region, and Rocky Mountain regions; and provides midstream services to producers of NGLs. It also owns NGL gathering and distribution pipelines, fractionation, terminal and storage facilities; and transports refined products, including gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, kerosene, and heating oil. In addition, the company transports and stores natural gas through regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines, and natural gas storage facilities; it owns and operates a parking garage in downtown Tulsa, Oklahoma; and leases buildings, warehouses, office space, land, and equipment, including pipeline equipment, pipeline capacity, rail cars, and information technology equipment. Further, the company transports, stores, and distributes refined products, purity NGLs, and crude oil, as well as conducts commodity-related activities, including liquids blending and marketing activities. It serves integrated and independent exploration and production companies; other NGL and natural gas gathering and processing companies; crude oil and natural gas production companies; utilities; industrial companies; natural gasoline distributors; propane distributors; municipalities; ethanol producers; petrochemical, refining, and marketing companies; and diluent users, refineries, and exporters. ONEOK, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ONEOK, Inc reported revenue of $33.6B in FY2025 versus $17.3B in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4B in FY2025, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$33.6B
Latest YoY
+55.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+9.1%
Revenue +18.1%/yr
FY21 $17.3B
FY22 $22.9B
FY23 $17.7B
FY24 $21.6B
FY25 $33.6B
Net income +22.7%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $1.7B
FY23 $2.7B
FY24 $3.0B
FY25 $3.4B

OKE screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ONEOK, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OKE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.37× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 24.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.21× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 98 · sector 42
PAST 64 · sector 41
HEALTH 32 · sector 55
DIVIDEND 90 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%
Venture Global, Inc VG $13.80 $14.42 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ONEOK, Inc (OKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.05 versus a price of $87.93, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OKE?
Our model-based fair value for ONEOK, Inc is $64.05 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $87.93.
What is the quality score of OKE?
ONEOK, Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ONEOK, Inc (OKE)?
ONEOK, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OKE?
The net profit margin of ONEOK, Inc is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ONEOK, Inc pay a dividend?
ONEOK, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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