Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK stock HK$9.38, price HK$10.72, that is 12.5% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.85 – HK$16.28 · fair‑value band HK$7.09 – HK$13.06 · the HK$10.72 price screens above the HK$9.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments.
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The company offers thermal, PCI, and coking coal; methanol, acetic acid, ethyl acetate, caprolactam, urea, ethylene glycol, naphtha, liquid paraffin, and crude liquid wax; coal mining and excavating equipment, cables, wires, cable accessories, and raw materials products; and chemicals, as well as involved in wholesale of petroleum and mineral products; and manufacturing of synthetic materials.
It also engages in potash mineral exploration; electricity and heat supply; coal mining technology development, transfer, and consultation; finance leasing; leasing, trading, and commercial factoring; engineering; investment and asset management; educational software development; event planning; construction and production solar and wind power; providing railway, river, and lakes transportation; commercial; and logistics and transportation services.
In addition, the company is involved in coal resource exploration development; port infrastructure construction; production and sales of mining equipment, electromechanical equipment, and rubber products; installation of mining equipment; coal and electrolytic copper trading; recycling of renewable resources; management of mineral resources, coal mining, and washing; operation of power generation; bonded area trade and warehousing; manufacturing of chemical products; and manufacturing of other metal processing machinery.
The company was formerly known as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited and changed its name to Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited in December 2021. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Zoucheng, the People's Republic of China.
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shan Dong Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) currently trades at HK$10.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.38, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$14.87 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$10.72 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$3.13, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$7.09 (bear) to HK$13.06 (bull), the price of HK$10.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK reported revenue of 130B CNY in FY2025 versus 152B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 8.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$108B (≈ $13.7B) Large · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 0.53 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 20.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −13%, 1171 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$7.09Fair Value HK$9.38BullHK$13.06
Price HK$10.72 · Downside -12.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −5.7% / 12.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +27.7% a year for the price and +3.8% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (29 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Thermal coal operations show limited durable advantage due to weak differentiation and low returns, constrained further by elevated leverage relative to equity.
Main risk: Stricter Chinese regulations promoting renewables and a low-carbon energy system could reduce demand for thermal coal and pressure the company's core sales volumes and margins.
Bull case: By accelerating its shift into coal chemicals, power generation and new energy assets the company could offset any coal demand decline and stabilise earnings through diversified revenue streams.
Bear case: If regulatory pressure accelerates the phase-out of coal while debt servicing costs rise the company might face sharply lower volumes, margin compression and constrained investment capacity.
Yankuang has posted stronger first-half results thanks to firmer coal prices and a large gain from an asset disposal, yet saleable coal output slipped and the firm is pouring capital into new chemical and power projects. Our models see the shares as overvalued given the quality of the underlying business. Will the push downstream deliver steadier margins and growth, or will it mainly add execution risk to a cyclical coal operation?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 82 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.5% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)12.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)20.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.12× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)7.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.28× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1171
Frequently asked questions
Is Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.38 versus a price of HK$10.72, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1171?
Our model-based fair value for Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is HK$9.38 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$10.72.
What is the quality score of 1171?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$9.38 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$7.09, optimistic scenario HK$13.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$9.38, about 13% lower versus a price of HK$10.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$7.09, optimistic scenario HK$13.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 157B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK pay a dividend?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK currently shows a dividend yield of 5.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK pays a dividend of HK$0.612 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 10, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1998. The payout ratio is 76.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.34 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK would have to grow free cash flow by +29.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1171 use?
Our models discount Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK that is +29.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK grew -9.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +29.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (+29.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.50 %: that much free cash flow Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK it is HK$9.38 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of HK$10.72. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 1171 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$10.72, fair value HK$9.38, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1171?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$10.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$9.38). For Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK the two are HK$1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK worth?
The market values Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK at about HK$108B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is HK$10.72; our models calculate a fair value of HK$9.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1171?
Our models span a range for Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK: cautious scenario HK$7.09, base HK$9.38, optimistic HK$13.06 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price HK$10.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1171?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$9.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 1171?
The PEG ratio of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 11.5%, debt of 1.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1171 from its 52-week high?
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK trades at HK$10.72, about 34% below its 52-week high of HK$16.28 and 15% above the low of HK$9.32 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$9.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, Adani Enterprises Limited, China Coal Energy Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price HK$10.72, calculated fair value HK$9.38 (−13%), Quality Score 37/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1171 calculated?
We run Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$9.38 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$10.72. Our model-based fair value is HK$9.38, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$7.09 to HK$13.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) come from?
Earnings per share at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK grew +22.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin +25.4 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK
How large is the market capitalisation of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The market capitalisation of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is HK$108B (≈ $13.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The dividend yield of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 5.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The net margin of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
The operating margin of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Revenue at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171)?
Earnings per share at Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK are growing +58.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK (1171) carry?
The net debt of Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd HK is 136B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 59.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026