Kolon Industries Inc (120115) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kolon Industries Inc KRW 41,027, price KRW 25,250, upside +62.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Kolon Industries, Inc. engages in industrial materials, chemicals, films/electronic materials, and fashion businesses in South Korea and internationally. It operates through four segments: Industrial Materials, Chemistry, Fashion, and Others. The Industrial Materials segment produces tire cords, airbags, car seats, and related automotive materials.
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Kolon Industries, Inc. engages in industrial materials, chemicals, films/electronic materials, and fashion businesses in South Korea and internationally. It operates through four segments: Industrial Materials, Chemistry, Fashion, and Others. The Industrial Materials segment produces tire cords, airbags, car seats, and related automotive materials. The Chemistry segment is engaged in the manufacturing of synthetic resins and eastern products. The Fashion segment offers clothing and supplies, while the Others segment includes PET yarn and chip sales, as well as rental services. The company also provides services such as rental income generation from investment properties. The company produces and sells industrial materials, such as polyester and hybrid tire cords; airbags; technical yarn; aromatic polyamide fibers; artificial leather; spunbond nonwoven fabrics under the Finon brand; membrane humidifiers; polymer electrolyte membranes; membrane electrode assemblies; and vent components. It also offers polyester, nylon, barrier, metalized, prism, dry, and CPI; and panel materials. In addition, the company provides hydrocarbon, phenolic, epoxy, polyurethane, and PET resins. Further, it offers outdoor, sports, and golf clothing, as well as menswear and womenswear, kids clothing, lifestyle products, accessories, workwear, unisex and premium products, and cosmetics. Additionally, it operates on/off retail stores; and manufacturing and sales of car mats and artificial grass, manufacturing and dyeing of chemical fibers, production and processing of polyosimethylene resins, confectionery wholesale, golf course operations, film manufacturing, distribution of tire cords and films, manufacturing of airbags and automobile parts, production of synthetic resins and electronic materials, clothing distribution, and operation of trade businesses. Kolon Industries, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Kolon Industries Inc (120115) currently trades at 25,250 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41,027 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 80,482 KRW per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the 25,250 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 11,014 KRW, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 28,572 KRW (bear) to 54,704 KRW (bull), the price of 25,250 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Kolon Industries Inc reported revenue of 4.9T KRW in FY2025 versus 4.7T KRW in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 38.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding −32.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 826B KRW (≈ $615M) · P/S ratio 0.17 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 5.0% · Revenue (TTM) 4.9T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 62%, 120115 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 28,572 KRWFair Value 41,027 KRWBull 54,704 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−24.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.0%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.2% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 341 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−43.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kolon Industries Inc (120115) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41,027 KRW versus a price of 25,250 KRW, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 120115?
Our model-based fair value for Kolon Industries Inc is 41,027 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25,250 KRW.
What is the quality score of 120115?
Kolon Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 41,027 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28,572 KRW, optimistic scenario 54,704 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kolon Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 41,027 KRW, about +62% upside versus a price of 25,250 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 28,572 KRW, optimistic scenario 54,704 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Kolon Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kolon Industries Inc pay a dividend?
Kolon Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kolon Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +11.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 120115 use?
Our models discount Kolon Industries Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kolon Industries Inc that is +11.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kolon Industries Inc (120115) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kolon Industries Inc grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies +11.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kolon Industries Inc (120115) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kolon Industries Inc (+11.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.72 %: that much free cash flow Kolon Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kolon Industries Inc it is 41,027 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 25,250 KRW. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kolon Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 120115 trades below its calculated fair value: price 25,250 KRW, fair value 41,027 KRW, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 120115?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25,250 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (41,027 KRW). For Kolon Industries Inc the two are 15,777 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kolon Industries Inc worth?
The market values Kolon Industries Inc at about 826B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 25,250 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 41,027 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 120115?
Our models span a range for Kolon Industries Inc: cautious scenario 28,572 KRW, base 41,027 KRW, optimistic 54,704 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 25,250 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kolon Industries Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 120115 from its 52-week high?
Kolon Industries Inc trades at 25,250 KRW, about 23% below its 52-week high of 32,700 KRW and 15% above the low of 21,965 KRW (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 41,027 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kolon Industries Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kolon Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 25,250 KRW, calculated fair value 41,027 KRW (+62%), Quality Score 31/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 120115 calculated?
We run Kolon Industries Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 41,027 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kolon Industries Inc currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 25,250 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 41,027 KRW, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kolon Industries Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (28,572 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (28,572 KRW to 54,704 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kolon Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The market capitalisation of Kolon Industries Inc is 826B KRW (≈ $615M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kolon Industries Inc is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The dividend yield of Kolon Industries Inc is 5.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The net margin of Kolon Industries Inc is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kolon Industries Inc is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kolon Industries Inc is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
The operating margin of Kolon Industries Inc is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Revenue at Kolon Industries Inc is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kolon Industries Inc (120115)?
Earnings per share at Kolon Industries Inc are growing +628% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kolon Industries Inc (120115) carry?
The net debt of Kolon Industries Inc is 2.3T KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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