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Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp TWD 53.75, price TWD 40.10, upside +34.0%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0001229003

LH Some data Sep 24, 2026

Lien Hwa Industrial Corp

1229 · TW

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value 53.75 TWD · Undervalued (+34%)
!Quality 51/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 34.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·4.40% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

71.60 TWD 38.30 TWD Fair Value 53.75 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 38.30 TWD – 71.60 TWD · fair‑value band 33.29 TWD – 74.71 TWD · the 40.10 TWD price screens below the 53.75 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lien Hwa Industrial Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of flour products. It operates through five segments: Rental Business, Flour Business, Flour Business Overseas, Administrative Resource Center, and System Integration Service business.

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Lien Hwa Industrial Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of flour products. It operates through five segments: Rental Business, Flour Business, Flour Business Overseas, Administrative Resource Center, and System Integration Service business. The company engages in the houses and land rental and provision of real estate management development services; manufacture and sale of flour and processed foods, including wheat bran, wheat bran grains, and wheat gram; and investments management and other electronic businesses. It also offers system integration services, automatic systems, and applied software design solutions, as well as sells industrial computers. In addition, the company is involved in the wholesaling and retailing business; restaurant business; business management and business information consulting activities; manufacture of machinery and equipment for power generation, transmission, and distribution, and energy technology service; rental, sale, and maintenance of telephone switching systems and data communication products; contracting of communication system projects; semiconductor facility monitoring and control system engineering; network communication system engineering; railway E and M system engineering; environmental protection solutions engineering; and research and development of radio frequency identification technology. Further, it offers information software services; manufactures computer and peripheral equipment, and other electrical engineering and electronic machinery equipment; and offers software and technology services. The company also serves distributors, chained stores, and food companies. Lien Hwa Industrial Holdings Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) currently trades at 40.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.75 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 25.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 59.19 TWD per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the 40.10 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 21.00 TWD, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 33.29 TWD (bear) to 74.71 TWD (bull), the price of 40.10 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Lien Hwa Industrial Corp reported revenue of 13.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 11.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 87.0B TWD (≈ $2.7B) · P/E ratio 15.9 · P/S ratio 5.39 · EPS (TTM) 2.52 TWD · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 33.9% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 34%, 1229 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 33.29 TWD Fair Value 53.75 TWD Bull 74.71 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5516 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 39.59 TWD 62.58 TWD 97.59 TWD 77
Residual Income 25.74 TWD 27.45 TWD 30.47 TWD 76
Owner Earnings 32.02 TWD 51.46 TWD 81.67 TWD 75
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 32.02 TWD 51.46 TWD 81.67 TWD 75
5Y P/E Exit 37.75 TWD 61.96 TWD 88.24 TWD 70
10Y P/E Exit 37.98 TWD 59.19 TWD 86.73 TWD 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 17.14 TWD 64.93 TWD 87.89 TWD 64
Lynch FV 15.74 TWD 22.49 TWD 29.23 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 39.71 TWD 52.94 TWD 66.18 TWD 63
P/B Multiple 32.14 TWD 42.86 TWD 53.57 TWD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.67 TWD 21.00 TWD 31.35 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 39.59 TWD 62.58 TWD 97.59 TWD 77
Rev-Margin DCF 19.36 TWD 26.54 TWD 35.44 TWD 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 25.74 TWD 27.45 TWD 30.47 TWD 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 378 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +34% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.52× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.36× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 32.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)79 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)20 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)88 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lien Hwa Industrial Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1229

Frequently asked questions

Is Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 53.75 TWD versus a price of 40.10 TWD, about +34% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1229?
Our model-based fair value for Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 53.75 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 40.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1229?
Lien Hwa Industrial Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 53.75 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 33.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 74.71 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lien Hwa Industrial Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 53.75 TWD, about +34% upside versus a price of 40.10 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 33.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 74.71 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Lien Hwa Industrial Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Lien Hwa Industrial Corp pay a dividend?
Lien Hwa Industrial Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lien Hwa Industrial Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +3.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1229 use?
Our models discount Lien Hwa Industrial Corp at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lien Hwa Industrial Corp that is +3.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +3.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (+3.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.84 %: that much free cash flow Lien Hwa Industrial Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lien Hwa Industrial Corp it is 53.75 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 40.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lien Hwa Industrial Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1229 trades below its calculated fair value: price 40.10 TWD, fair value 53.75 TWD, a gap of about +34% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1229?
No. The price is what the market pays today (40.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (53.75 TWD). For Lien Hwa Industrial Corp the two are 13.65 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lien Hwa Industrial Corp worth?
The market values Lien Hwa Industrial Corp at about 87.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 40.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 53.75 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1229?
Our models span a range for Lien Hwa Industrial Corp: cautious scenario 33.29 TWD, base 53.75 TWD, optimistic 74.71 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 40.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1229?
Lien Hwa Industrial Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 53.75 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 6.4, EV/EBITDA 32.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1229 from its 52-week high?
Lien Hwa Industrial Corp trades at 40.10 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 50.40 TWD and 5% above the low of 38.30 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 53.75 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lien Hwa Industrial Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lien Hwa Industrial Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 40.10 TWD, calculated fair value 53.75 TWD (+34%), Quality Score 51/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1229 calculated?
We run Lien Hwa Industrial Corp through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 53.75 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lien Hwa Industrial Corp currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 40.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 53.75 TWD, about +34% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lien Hwa Industrial Corp right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (33.29 TWD to 74.71 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) come from?
Earnings per share at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp grew +8.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin −11.8 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The market capitalisation of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 87.0B TWD (≈ $2.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 5.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Earnings per share at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp are 2.52 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The dividend yield of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 4.4% (payout 70.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The net margin of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 33.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
The operating margin of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Revenue at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229)?
Earnings per share at Lien Hwa Industrial Corp are growing +5.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lien Hwa Industrial Corp (1229) carry?
The net debt of Lien Hwa Industrial Corp is 6.2B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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