Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TW · Market cap 2.0B TWD
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +8.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (14.71 TWD to 28.31 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.52 TWD – 30.02 TWD · fair‑value band 14.71 TWD – 28.31 TWD · the 25.55 TWD price screens above the 21.51 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) currently trades at 25.55 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.51 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hunya Foods Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.8B TWD at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.9%. Net debt stands at 493M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.71 TWD (bear case) to 28.31 TWD (bull case); at 25.55 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -16%, 1236 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (22.67 TWD) versus DCF Models (3.30 TWD). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hunya Foods Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading of confectionery, biscuits, chocolates, mooncakes, pastries, bread, and cakes. It operates through 77 Operations, Rivon Operations, and Croissant Operations segments. The company offers nougats, chocolates, wafers, and puff pastries.
Full company description
Hunya Foods Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading of confectionery, biscuits, chocolates, mooncakes, pastries, bread, and cakes. It operates through 77 Operations, Rivon Operations, and Croissant Operations segments. The company offers nougats, chocolates, wafers, and puff pastries. It is involved in covering department stores, supermarkets, convenience stores, etc. for chocolate products; managing wedding cakes and bakery products through online direct sales; and production and sale of western pastries, bread, frozen dough, and cakes. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hunya Foods Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −36.9M TWD in FY2025.
1236 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.66 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,136 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | -51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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