Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Hunya Foods Co Ltd TWD 21.51, price TWD 25.50, upside -15.7%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.52 TWD – 30.02 TWD · fair‑value band 14.71 TWD – 28.31 TWD · the 25.50 TWD price screens above the 21.51 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Hunya Foods Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading of confectionery, biscuits, chocolates, mooncakes, pastries, bread, and cakes. It operates through 77 Operations, Rivon Operations, and Croissant Operations segments. The company offers nougats, chocolates, wafers, and puff pastries.
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Hunya Foods Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading of confectionery, biscuits, chocolates, mooncakes, pastries, bread, and cakes. It operates through 77 Operations, Rivon Operations, and Croissant Operations segments. The company offers nougats, chocolates, wafers, and puff pastries. It is involved in covering department stores, supermarkets, convenience stores, etc. for chocolate products; managing wedding cakes and bakery products through online direct sales; and production and sale of western pastries, bread, frozen dough, and cakes. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) currently trades at 25.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.51 TWD, 15.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 22.67 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 25.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 2.45 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 14.71 TWD (bear) to 28.31 TWD (bull), the price of 25.50 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hunya Foods Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −36.9M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B TWD (≈ $69.6M) · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) −0.0700 TWD · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity −0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −16.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −16%, 1236 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 14.71 TWDFair Value 21.51 TWDBull 28.31 TWD
Price 25.50 TWD · Upside -15.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.4% (2020) → −2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−15.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−16.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunya Foods Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1236
Frequently asked questions
Is Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.51 TWD versus a price of 25.50 TWD, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1236?
Our model-based fair value for Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 21.51 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1236?
Hunya Foods Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.51 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.31 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunya Foods Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.51 TWD, about −16% upside versus a price of 25.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.31 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Hunya Foods Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Hunya Foods Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hunya Foods Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.47% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunya Foods Co Ltd it is 21.51 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 25.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunya Foods Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1236 trades above its calculated fair value: price 25.50 TWD, fair value 21.51 TWD, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1236?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.51 TWD). For Hunya Foods Co Ltd the two are 3.99 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunya Foods Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hunya Foods Co Ltd at about 2.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 25.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 21.51 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1236?
Our models span a range for Hunya Foods Co Ltd: cautious scenario 14.71 TWD, base 21.51 TWD, optimistic 28.31 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 25.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunya Foods Co Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −0.2%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1236 from its 52-week high?
Hunya Foods Co Ltd trades at 25.50 TWD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 28.15 TWD and 11% above the low of 22.95 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.51 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunya Foods Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunya Foods Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 25.50 TWD, calculated fair value 21.51 TWD (−16%), Quality Score 48/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1236 calculated?
We run Hunya Foods Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.51 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunya Foods Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 25.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 21.51 TWD, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunya Foods Co Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (14.71 TWD to 28.31 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Hunya Foods Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The market capitalisation of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 2.2B TWD (≈ $69.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Earnings per share at Hunya Foods Co Ltd are −0.0700 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The dividend yield of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 6.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The net margin of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
The operating margin of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Revenue at Hunya Foods Co Ltd is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236)?
Earnings per share at Hunya Foods Co Ltd are growing +284% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is −6.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hunya Foods Co Ltd (1236) carry?
The net debt of Hunya Foods Co Ltd is 493M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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