Kotobuki Spirits Co (KBKIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.6B
Kotobuki Spirits Co
KBKIF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.08 to $14.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $10.50 – $10.50 · fair‑value band $7.08 – $14.68 · the $10.50 price screens above the $9.73 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Kotobuki Spirits Co (KBKIF) currently trades at $10.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.73, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kotobuki Spirits Co generated revenue of $78.8B at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.08 (bear case) to $14.68 (bull case); at $10.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -7%, KBKIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($11.29) versus Asset-Based ($1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. produces and sells sweets in Japan and internationally. It offers food and confectionary products, as well as operates as an insurance agent. The company was formerly known as Kotobuki Seika Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. in October 2006. Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. produces and sells sweets in Japan and internationally. It offers food and confectionary products, as well as operates as an insurance agent. The company was formerly known as Kotobuki Seika Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. in October 2006. Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Yonago, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kotobuki Spirits Co reported revenue of $72.3B in FY2025 versus $50.2B in FY2023, a compound +20.1%/yr. Reported net income was $12.1B in FY2025, compounding +31.4%/yr from FY2023.
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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