Hong Kong Finance Group (1273) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$299M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
A strong business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2577 – HK$0.7500 · fair‑value band HK$1.05 – HK$1.75 · the HK$0.7000 price screens below the HK$1.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hong Kong Finance Group (1273) currently trades at HK$0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hong Kong Finance Group generated revenue of HK$145M at a net margin of 48.3%. Revenue grew 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at HK$202M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.05 (bear case) to HK$1.75 (bull case); at HK$0.7000, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1273 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$4.63) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hong Kong Finance Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides property mortgages and personal loans under the Hong Kong Finance brand in Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Secured Property Mortgage Loans and Unsecured Property Owner Loans.
Full company description
Hong Kong Finance Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides property mortgages and personal loans under the Hong Kong Finance brand in Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Secured Property Mortgage Loans and Unsecured Property Owner Loans. It offers personal loans for HOS and public housing homeowners; large property loans for SMEs; SME financing; unsecured loans for property owners; mortgage further advance; carpark mortgage; mortgage loan transfer services; village house, tenement flat, shop, revolving, and industrial building mortgage loans; and yacht loans. The company is also involved in property investment holding activities. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong. Hong Kong Finance Group Limited is a subsidiary of Tin Ching Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hong Kong Finance Group reported revenue of HK$164M in FY2026 versus HK$155M in FY2022, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$70.1M in FY2026, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 1273: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Mortgage Finance · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT | $14.62 | $29.24 | +100% |
| Rocket Companies, Inc RKT | $14.05 | $10.56 | -25% |
| Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS | $10.02 | $2.02 | -80% |
| Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL | ₹84.75 | ₹39.96 | -53% |
| LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN | ₹502.00 | ₹1,004 | +100% |
| PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING | ₹1,165 | ₹762.89 | -35% |
| Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC | ₹502.00 | ₹325.75 | -35% |
| Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited APTUS | ₹254.75 | ₹244.80 | -4% |
| Home First Finance Company HOMEFIRST | ₹1,181 | ₹455.73 | -61% |
| Aavas Financiers Limited AAVAS | ₹1,416 | ₹675.38 | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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