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Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Trigiant Group Ltd HK$1.49, price HK$2.86, upside -47.9%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK · ISIN KYG905191022

TG Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Trigiant Group Ltd

1300 · HK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value HK$1.49 · Strongly overvalued (−47.9%)
✓Quality 69/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/13)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$4.70 HK$0.2750 Fair Value HK$1.49 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2750 – HK$4.70 · fair‑value band HK$1.04 – HK$2.02 · the HK$2.86 price screens above the HK$1.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Trigiant Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells feeder cables, optical fiber cables and related products, flame-retardant flexible cables, and other accessories for mobile communications and telecommunication equipment in China.

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Trigiant Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells feeder cables, optical fiber cables and related products, flame-retardant flexible cables, and other accessories for mobile communications and telecommunication equipment in China. It operates through Feeder Cable Series, Flame-Retardant Flexible Cable Series, Optical Fibre Cable Series and Related Products, New-Type Electronic Components, and Others segments. The Feeder Cable Series segment offers cables used in transmitting and receiving radio signals, and components for telecommunications transmission equipment; and leaky cables primarily used for wireless mobile communications, remote control, and alarm systems that transmit radio frequency signals, as well as send and receive antenna data for areas of weak signal coverage such as subways, tunnels, underground passage, and interior of buildings. The Flame-Retardant Flexible Cable Series segment offers cables that are used as internal connection cables for power systems or mobile cable transmission and distribution systems, and communications switch systems requiring uninterrupted power. The Optical Fibre Cable Series and Related Products segment provide cables for long haul telecommunication transmission in fixed and wireless telecommunications networks. The New-Type Electronic Components segment provides sensing products, optical splitters, jumpers for connection of wireless antennas with feeder cables and various communications equipment, connectors for connection of radio frequency circuits to radio equipment and electronic devices, and antenna lightning arresters installed between a high frequency device and a feeder cable. The Others segment offers couplers, combiners, feeder wall plates, adjustable stands, waterproof clay, insulating tape, cable ties, and feeder hoisting grips. It also research, develops, manufactures, and sales other electronic components. Trigiant Group Limited was founded in 2007 and is based in Yixing, China.

Stock analysis

Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) currently trades at HK$2.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.49, 47.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.97 per share, and 8 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$2.86 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.6200, and 14 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.04 (bear) to HK$2.02 (bull), the price of HK$2.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Trigiant Group Ltd reported revenue of 2.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was 105M CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$5.1B (≈ $644M) · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 0.60 · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin 13.8% · Revenue (TTM) 3.2B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 853% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −48%, 1300 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.04 Fair Value HK$1.49 Bull HK$2.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$3.21 HK$4.03 HK$5.43 82
Growth DCF HK$3.29 HK$4.07 HK$5.30 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.19 HK$1.41 HK$1.79 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.21 HK$4.03 HK$5.43 82
Owner Earnings HK$1.19 HK$1.41 HK$1.79 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.18 HK$2.64 HK$3.31 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.42 HK$3.05 HK$3.90 77
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.35 HK$2.94 HK$3.65 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.59 HK$2.97 HK$3.35 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.75 HK$3.21 HK$3.67 70
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.71 HK$3.14 HK$3.54 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.4700 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7100 67
EPV HK$1.20 HK$1.31 HK$1.40 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.46 HK$1.95 HK$2.43 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.8900 HK$1.18 HK$1.48 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.8900 HK$1.18 HK$1.48 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.46 HK$3.13 HK$3.81 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.03 HK$2.56 HK$3.09 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.46 HK$1.90 HK$2.33 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.19 HK$1.60 HK$2.39 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.29 HK$4.07 HK$5.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.18 HK$2.71 HK$3.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.65 HK$1.60 HK$1.59 71
ROIC Compounder HK$1.20 HK$1.31 HK$1.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.02 HK$1.46 HK$1.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.8% vs −11.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.7% a year for the price.

1300 screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 300 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.9% · Above median
Return on assets 4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 41.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $107.63 $118.39 +10%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.00 ¥13.99 −77%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥895.86 ¥342.18 −62%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥435.00 ¥289.12 −34%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.12 $3.70 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $445.97 $249.04 −44%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $356.91 $48.70 −86%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥267.93 ¥87.34 −67%
Ubiquiti Inc UI $560.67 $616.74 +10%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$186.50 HK$32.66 −82%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trigiant Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1300

Frequently asked questions

Is Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.49 versus a price of HK$2.86, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1300?
Our model-based fair value for Trigiant Group Ltd is HK$1.49 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.86.
What is the quality score of 1300?
Trigiant Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.49 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.04, optimistic scenario HK$2.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trigiant Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.49, about −48% upside versus a price of HK$2.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.04, optimistic scenario HK$2.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Trigiant Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Trigiant Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.7 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1300 use?
Our models discount Trigiant Group Ltd at 14.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.17, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Trigiant Group Ltd that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Trigiant Group Ltd grew -1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Trigiant Group Ltd (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.08 %: that much free cash flow Trigiant Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trigiant Group Ltd it is HK$1.49 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of HK$2.86. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trigiant Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 1300 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$2.86, fair value HK$1.49, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1300?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.49). For Trigiant Group Ltd the two are HK$1.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trigiant Group Ltd worth?
The market values Trigiant Group Ltd at about HK$5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.86; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1300?
Our models span a range for Trigiant Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.04, base HK$1.49, optimistic HK$2.02 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price HK$2.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1300?
Trigiant Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trigiant Group Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1300 from its 52-week high?
Trigiant Group Ltd trades at HK$2.86, about 39% below its 52-week high of HK$4.70 and 853% above the low of HK$0.3000 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Trigiant Group Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trigiant Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price HK$2.86, calculated fair value HK$1.49 (−48%), Quality Score 69/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1300 calculated?
We run Trigiant Group Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Trigiant Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$2.86. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.49, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trigiant Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.04 to HK$2.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Trigiant Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The market capitalisation of Trigiant Group Ltd is HK$5.1B (≈ $644M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Trigiant Group Ltd is 0.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The net margin of Trigiant Group Ltd is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trigiant Group Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trigiant Group Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
The operating margin of Trigiant Group Ltd is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Revenue at Trigiant Group Ltd is growing +41.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Trigiant Group Ltd (1300)?
Earnings per share at Trigiant Group Ltd are growing +741% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Trigiant Group Ltd (1300) carry?
The net debt of Trigiant Group Ltd is 956M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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