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Data-driven stock valuation

Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Nokia Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · US · Market cap $75.3B · ISIN US6549022043

At a glance

NC Nokia Corp ADR logo Nokia Corp ADR NOK · US
Price$10.03
Fair Value$6.84
Upside−31.8%
Quality61/100

A solid business, but trading 47% above our fair value of $6.84.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Nokia Corp ADR is $6.84 per share against a price of $10.03, so the fair value sits 32% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.40% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 12 out of 100
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.13 to $8.53

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $3.78 to $6.84 (+81.0%) since Aug 31, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.85 $2.79 Fair Value $6.84 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.79 – $16.85 · fair‑value band $5.13 – $8.53 · the $10.03 price screens above the $6.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) currently trades at $10.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.84, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.81 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $10.03 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.37, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nokia Corp ADR generated revenue of $20.0B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $252M. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $5.13 (bear) to $8.53 (bull), the price of $10.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −32%, NOK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0138 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $3.22 $4.17 $5.97 81
Growth DCF $3.32 $4.25 $5.86 79
Owner Earnings $2.67 $3.43 $4.86 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $3.22 $4.17 $5.97 81
Owner Earnings $2.67 $3.43 $4.86 77
5Y Revenue Exit $2.30 $2.88 $3.71 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.04 $5.85 $8.23 75
5Y P/E Exit $2.88 $3.87 $5.05 72
10Y Revenue Exit $2.59 $3.15 $3.77 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.70 $5.12 $6.76 69
10Y P/E Exit $2.99 $3.81 $4.66 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7900 $1.37 $1.67 67
EPV $1.42 $1.57 $1.69 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.25 $1.58 $1.92 69
DDM Multi-Stage $1.25 $1.69 $2.22 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.45 $3.27 $4.08 63
P/S Multiple $1.49 $1.98 $2.48 58
P/B Multiple $1.49 $1.98 $2.48 55
EV/EBIT $3.08 $3.92 $4.76 66
EV/EBITDA $5.16 $6.69 $8.22 67
EV/Revenue $1.84 $2.38 $2.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.88 $2.52 $3.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.32 $4.25 $5.86 79
Rev-Margin DCF $2.30 $2.93 $3.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.75 $2.72 $2.35 76
ROIC Compounder $1.42 $1.57 $1.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.71 $2.45 $3.18 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.81) versus Earnings-Based ($1.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 62.7
P/S ratio 2.05 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.1600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.7
Dividend yield 1.4% payout 87.5%
Net margin 3.3% FY2025
Return on equity 3.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $20.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.4% 3y avg −5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −40.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.5B FY2025
Net cash $252M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies.

Full company description

Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The company offers fixed network solutions, such as fiber and copper technologies, access infrastructure, in-home Wi-Fi solutions, and cloud and virtualization services; IP network solutions, which delivers IP edge routing and data center networking solutions for residential, mobile, enterprise, and cloud applications; and optical networks solutions, which provides optical transport networks for metro, regional, and long-haul applications. It also provides mobile technology products and services for radio access networks and microwave radio links for transport networks; and network management solutions, as well as network planning, optimization, network deployment, and technical support services. In addition, the company offers cloud and network services, including open, secure, automated, and scalable software and solutions; and 5G core, secure autonomous networks, private wireless and industrial edge, and network APIs. Further, it licenses intellectual property, including patents, technologies, and the Nokia brand. The company serves its products and services to defense communications energy and resources, enterprise and industrial campus, private networks, public sector, and transportation industries. Nokia Oyj was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nokia Corp ADR reported revenue of €19.9B in FY2025 versus €22.2B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €651M in FY2025, compounding −20.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$19.9B
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−8.2%
Dividend yield1.4%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −3.8% vs 10Y −16.7%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.0% (2020) → 3.9% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop284% (2012) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue −2.7%/yr
FY21 €22.2B
FY22 €23.8B
FY23 €21.1B
FY24 €19.2B
FY25 €19.9B
Net income −20.4%/yr
FY21 €1.6B
FY22 €4.3B
FY23 €665M
FY24 €1.3B
FY25 €651M

NOK screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nokia Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 299 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −32% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.77× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 51.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 28.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.29× · Pricier than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Nokia Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+13.3 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-1.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.2 %
FCF yield on price2.65 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.7 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE12 · sector 37
PAST15 · sector 15
HEALTH94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND28 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $109.20 $61.53 −44%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOKIA €8.66 €3.15 −64%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.13 $19.85 +96%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.84 versus a price of $10.03, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NOK?
Our model-based fair value for Nokia Corp ADR is $6.84 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.03.
What is the quality score of NOK?
Nokia Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nokia Corp ADR (NOK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.84 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.13, optimistic scenario $8.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nokia Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.84, about −32% upside versus a price of $10.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.13, optimistic scenario $8.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nokia Corp ADR (NOK)?
Nokia Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOK?
The net profit margin of Nokia Corp ADR is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nokia Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Nokia Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nokia Corp ADR (NOK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nokia Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +13.3 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.7 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.9 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NOK use?
Our models discount Nokia Corp ADR at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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