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Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd (1370) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$214M

HM Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd 1370 · HK
PriceHK$0.0920
Fair ValueHK$0.0604
Upside-34.4%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -37.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0604 – HK$0.2089 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0600 to HK$0.0604 (+0.7%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −16.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0604 to HK$0.2089). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.29 HK$0.0880 Fair Value HK$0.0604 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0880 – HK$1.29 · fair‑value band HK$0.0604 – HK$0.2089 · the HK$0.0920 price screens above the HK$0.0604 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd (1370) currently trades at HK$0.0920, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0604, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd generated revenue of HK$633M at a net margin of -37.4%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.4%. Net debt stands at HK$831M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0604 (bear case) to HK$0.2089 (bull case); at HK$0.0920, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -34%, 1370 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2900 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5300 54
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2900 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.4100) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1900). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$633M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7%
Net margin -37.4%
Return on equity -41.4%
Free cash flow −HK$4.5M FY2025
Operating margin 8.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -72.4%
Net debt HK$831M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aowei Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and trading of iron ore products in the People's Republic of China. Its principal products include iron ores, preliminary concentrates, and iron ore concentrates.

Full company description

Aowei Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and trading of iron ore products in the People's Republic of China. Its principal products include iron ores, preliminary concentrates, and iron ore concentrates. The company produces and sells green construction materials, construction sand, and gravel materials by recycling tailings and solid wastes. The company was formerly known as Hengshi Mining Investments Limited and changed its name to Aowei Holding Limited in November 2017. Aowei Holding Limited was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Baoding, the People's Republic of China. Aowei Holding Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hengshi International Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd reported revenue of HK$633M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$236M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 10/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$633M
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Revenue −14.6%/yr
FY21 HK$1.2B
FY22 HK$938M
FY23 HK$667M
FY24 HK$646M
FY25 HK$633M
Net income
FY21 HK$203M
FY22 HK$60.8M
FY23 −HK$549M
FY24 −HK$290M
FY25 −HK$236M

1370 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1370

Peer Group

Steel · 380 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 59 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 79 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd (1370) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0604 versus a price of HK$0.0920, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1370?
Our model-based fair value for Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd is HK$0.0604 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0920.
What is the quality score of 1370?
Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd (1370)?
Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$633M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1370?
The net profit margin of Hengshi Mining Invest Ltd is about -37.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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