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Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited (LLOYDSME) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹1.0T

LM Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME · NSE
Price₹2,072
Fair Value₹1,098
Upside-47.0%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 21.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 86/100
Evidence: High Range ₹743.82 – ₹2,976 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +18.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹743.82 to ₹2,976). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

₹2,087 ₹514.08 Fair Value ₹1,098 Jul 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ₹514.08 – ₹2,087 · fair‑value band ₹743.82 – ₹2,976 · the ₹2,072 price screens above the ₹1,098 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited (LLOYDSME) currently trades at ₹2,072, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,098, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited generated revenue of ₹171B at a net margin of 21.5%. It earns a return on equity of 37.0%. Net debt stands at ₹180B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹743.82 (bear case) to ₹2,976 (bull case); at ₹2,072, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -47%, LLOYDSME screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹528.65 ₹810.86 ₹8,919 76
ROIC Compounder ₹826.52 ₹1,375 ₹1,807 72
Gordon GGM ₹8.94 ₹19.53 ₹32.85 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹444.83 ₹3,102 ₹4,353 54
Lynch FV ₹1,603 ₹2,290 ₹2,976 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,603 ₹2,290 ₹2,976 46
EPV ₹534.95 ₹664.31 ₹779.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹8.94 ₹19.53 ₹32.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹8.94 ₹16.00 ₹20.35 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹981.25 ₹1,308 ₹1,635 63
P/S Multiple ₹570.24 ₹760.32 ₹950.40 58
P/B Multiple ₹554.66 ₹739.55 ₹924.43 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,129 ₹1,572 ₹2,014 53
EV/EBITDA ₹865.86 ₹1,221 ₹1,575 54
EV/Revenue ₹334.13 ₹562.23 ₹790.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹123.26 ₹165.17 ₹246.52 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹528.65 ₹810.86 ₹8,919 76
ROIC Compounder ₹826.52 ₹1,375 ₹1,807 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2,065 ₹2,950 ₹3,835 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹2,950) versus Dividend Discount (₹16.00). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹171B
Revenue growth (YoY) +406%
Net margin 21.5%
Return on equity 37.0%
Free cash flow −₹74.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 26.6
More key figures
Operating margin 38.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹66.88
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +605%
Net debt ₹180B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited manufactures and sells sponge iron and iron ore in India. The company operates through four segments: Mining, Steel and related value added products, Mine Developer and Operator (MDO), and Others. It offers wire rods, round and TMT bars, as well as flat steel products.

Full company description

Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited manufactures and sells sponge iron and iron ore in India. The company operates through four segments: Mining, Steel and related value added products, Mine Developer and Operator (MDO), and Others. It offers wire rods, round and TMT bars, as well as flat steel products. The company is also involved in the generation of power; and trading of pellets. Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited reported revenue of ₹171B in FY2026 versus ₹6.8B in FY2022, a compound +123.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹36.8B in FY2026, compounding +148.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹171B
Latest YoY
+158.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+72.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+134.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+23.4%
Revenue +123.9%/yr
FY22 ₹6.8B
FY23 ₹33.4B
FY24 ₹64.8B
FY25 ₹66.3B
FY26 ₹171B
Net income +148.0%/yr
FY22 ₹974M
FY23 −₹2.9B
FY24 ₹12.4B
FY25 ₹14.5B
FY26 ₹36.8B

LLOYDSME screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLOYDSME

Peer Group

Steel · 381 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 406% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 100 · sector 14
HEALTH 50 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited (LLOYDSME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,098 versus a price of ₹2,072, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LLOYDSME?
Our model-based fair value for Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited is ₹1,098 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹2,072.
What is the quality score of LLOYDSME?
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited (LLOYDSME)?
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹171B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LLOYDSME?
The net profit margin of Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited is about 21.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited pay a dividend?
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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