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Data-driven stock valuation

LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. stock ₹771, price ₹1,811, that is 57.4% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials IN · ISIN INE281B01032

LM LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. logo Broad data Nov 6, 2026

LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD.

LLOYDSME · NSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 57% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 21.5% net margin (TTM)
Broad data
Profit last quarter +169% vs. a year ago.
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +134.9 %/yr in INR)
Moderate debt
Wide moat 82/100 · thin data
Fair value ₹770.98 · Strongly overvalued (−57.4%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹2,101 ₹514.08 Fair Value ₹770.98 Jul 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ₹514.08 – ₹2,101 · fair‑value band ₹498.21 – ₹1,491 · the ₹1,811 price screens above the ₹770.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited manufactures and sells sponge iron and iron ore in India. The company operates through four segments: Mining, Steel and related value added products, Mine Developer and Operator (MDO), and Others.

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It offers wire rods, round and TMT bars, as well as flat steel products. The company is also involved in the generation of power; and trading of pellets. Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME) currently trades at ₹1,811, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹770.98, 57% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹2,816 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹1,811 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹131.94, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹498.21 (bear) to ₹1,491 (bull), the price of ₹1,811 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. reported revenue of ₹171B in FY2026 versus ₹6.8B in FY2022, a compound +123.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹36.8B in FY2026, compounding +148.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹960B (≈ $10.2B) Large · P/E ratio 19.2 · P/S ratio 4.34 · EPS (TTM) ₹94.33 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 21.5% · Return on equity 37.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 82 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −57%, LLOYDSME screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹498.21 Fair Value ₹770.98 Bull ₹1,491
Price ₹1,811 · Downside -57.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹56.25 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ₹419.46 ₹508.80 ₹584.24 74
ROIC Compounder ₹577.72 ₹893.16 ₹1,115 69
EV/EBITDA ₹498.21 ₹770.98 ₹1,044 66
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹444.76 ₹3,102 ₹4,353 61
Lynch FV ₹1,602 ₹2,289 ₹2,976 59
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,602 ₹2,289 ₹2,976 55
EPV ₹419.46 ₹508.80 ₹584.24 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹7.59 ₹14.21 ₹20.24 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹7.59 ₹12.72 ₹15.12 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹833.93 ₹1,112 ₹1,390 63
P/S Multiple ₹342.09 ₹456.12 ₹570.15 58
P/B Multiple ₹443.09 ₹590.79 ₹738.48 55
EV/EBIT ₹712.25 ₹1,056 ₹1,400 65
EV/EBITDA ₹498.21 ₹770.98 ₹1,044 66
EV/Revenue n/a ₹136.03 ₹272.87 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹98.46 ₹131.94 ₹196.93 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹385.69 ₹619.43 ₹1,491 66
ROIC Compounder ₹577.72 ₹893.16 ₹1,115 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,971 ₹2,816 ₹3,661 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 59
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 17
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 52
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 73
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 58
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+158.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+134.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +46.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+68.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+68.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 32%
2026 sits 175% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

LLOYDSME screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −57.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 37.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 21.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 34.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 208.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.00× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 19.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.92× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.34× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)50 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.08 ¥8.07 +33% vs LLOYDSME
POSCO Holdings PKX $51.60 $44.73 −13% vs LLOYDSME
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹182.00 ₹148.06 −19% vs LLOYDSME
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,356 ₹1,029 −24% vs LLOYDSME
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €54.50 €35.48 −35% vs LLOYDSME
Reliance, Inc RS $441.95 $211.54 −52% vs LLOYDSME
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,150 ₹516.03 −55% vs LLOYDSME
Nucor Corporation NUE $267.91 $116.49 −57% vs LLOYDSME
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $240.12 $89.54 −63% vs LLOYDSME
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.03 ¥0.5400 −73% vs LLOYDSME

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LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLOYDSME

Frequently asked questions

Is LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹770.98 versus a price of ₹1,811, about 57% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LLOYDSME?
Our model-based fair value for LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is ₹770.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,811.
What is the quality score of LLOYDSME?
LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹770.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹498.21, optimistic scenario ₹1,491. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹770.98, about 57% lower versus a price of ₹1,811 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹498.21, optimistic scenario ₹1,491. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹221B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. pay a dividend?
LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. it is ₹770.98 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ₹1,811. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, LLOYDSME trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,811, fair value ₹770.98, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LLOYDSME?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,811); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹770.98). For LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. the two are ₹1,040 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. worth?
The market values LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. at about ₹960B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,811; our models calculate a fair value of ₹770.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LLOYDSME?
Our models span a range for LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD.: cautious scenario ₹498.21, base ₹770.98, optimistic ₹1,491 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ₹1,811). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LLOYDSME?
LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹770.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Balance-sheet figures for LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 37.0%, debt of 1.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LLOYDSME from its 52-week high?
LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. trades at ₹1,811, about 14% below its 52-week high of ₹2,101 and 69% above the low of ₹1,073 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹770.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ₹1,811, calculated fair value ₹770.98 (−57%), Quality Score 43/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LLOYDSME calculated?
We run LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹770.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ₹1,811. Our model-based fair value is ₹770.98, about 57% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,491). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹498.21 to ₹1,491). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The market capitalisation of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is ₹960B (≈ $10.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 4.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Earnings per share at LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. are ₹94.33 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The dividend yield of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 0.1% (payout 1.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The net margin of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 21.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 37.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 27.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
The operating margin of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is 34.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Revenue at LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is growing +209% versus a year earlier (3y avg +72.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME)?
Earnings per share at LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. are growing +169% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME) generate?
The free cash flow of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is −₹74.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. (LLOYDSME) carry?
The net debt of LLOYDS METALS AND ENERGY LTD. is ₹180B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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