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Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co (1413) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.2B TWD

HC Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co 1413 · TW
Price9.40 TWD
Fair Value7.54 TWD
Upside-19.8%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range 5.78 TWD – 9.64 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +0.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 5.78 TWD (bear) to 9.64 TWD (bull), base 7.54 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

14.30 TWD 8.00 TWD Fair Value 7.54 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.00 TWD – 14.30 TWD · fair‑value band 5.78 TWD – 9.64 TWD · the 9.40 TWD price screens above the 7.54 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co (1413) currently trades at 9.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.54 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co generated revenue of 2.0B TWD at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 1.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.78 TWD (bear case) to 9.64 TWD (bull case); at 9.40 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -20%, 1413 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 6.17 TWD 6.05 TWD 5.36 TWD 76
Gordon GGM 0.0800 TWD 0.0900 TWD 0.1000 TWD 70
Growth-Adj P/E 5.28 TWD 7.54 TWD 9.80 TWD 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.4100 TWD 2.29 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.08 TWD 3.77 TWD 4.24 TWD 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0800 TWD 0.0900 TWD 0.1000 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0800 TWD 0.1000 TWD 0.1100 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.48 TWD 9.98 TWD 12.47 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 5.78 TWD 7.71 TWD 9.64 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 5.78 TWD 7.71 TWD 9.64 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 2.23 TWD 4.45 TWD 6.66 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 3.19 TWD 5.72 TWD 8.25 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 0.0700 TWD 1.99 TWD 3.91 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.29 TWD 5.74 TWD 8.57 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.17 TWD 6.05 TWD 5.36 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.28 TWD 7.54 TWD 9.80 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (7.54 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (0.0900 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.0%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow −68.2M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 20.7
More key figures
Operating margin -3.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.4500 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +31.8%
Net debt 1.0B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd manufactures and sells polyester filaments in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers polyester chips, polyester pre-oriented yarns, polyester fully drawn yarns, and polyester drawn textured yarns; biodegradable yarns under the BioPro brand; and polyester fibers.

Full company description

Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd manufactures and sells polyester filaments in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers polyester chips, polyester pre-oriented yarns, polyester fully drawn yarns, and polyester drawn textured yarns; biodegradable yarns under the BioPro brand; and polyester fibers. It also provides functional MB non-woven fabrics for medical nonwoven grade applications; 37.5 technology in apparel to enhance the body's natural cooling mechanism; antibacterial fibers with cupric nanoparticles for medical disposable, personal care, apparel, and filtration applications; and graphene dyeable fibers. In addition, the company engages in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of synthetic chemical fibers and plastic filaments, as well as engages in real estate leasing. The company was formerly known as Hung Chou Chemical Industries Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd in June 2015. Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co reported revenue of 2.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 59.9M TWD in FY2025, compounding −13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B TWD
Latest YoY
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Revenue −8.1%/yr
FY21 3.0B TWD
FY22 3.1B TWD
FY23 2.0B TWD
FY24 2.3B TWD
FY25 2.1B TWD
Net income −13.4%/yr
FY21 106M TWD
FY22 99.0M TWD
FY23 −133M TWD
FY24 −22.8M TWD
FY25 59.9M TWD

1413 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1413

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 21 · sector 15
HEALTH 72 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co (1413) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.54 TWD versus a price of 9.40 TWD, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1413?
Our model-based fair value for Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co is 7.54 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 9.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1413?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co (1413)?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1413?
The net profit margin of Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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