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Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd TWD 5.96, price TWD 9.19, upside -35.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · TW · ISIN TW0001413003

HC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd

1413 · TW

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 5.96 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−35%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

14.30 TWD 8.00 TWD Fair Value 5.96 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.00 TWD – 14.30 TWD · fair‑value band 5.78 TWD – 7.45 TWD · the 9.19 TWD price screens above the 5.96 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd manufactures and sells polyester filaments in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers polyester chips, polyester pre-oriented yarns, polyester fully drawn yarns, and polyester drawn textured yarns; biodegradable yarns under the BioPro brand; and polyester fibers.

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Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd manufactures and sells polyester filaments in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers polyester chips, polyester pre-oriented yarns, polyester fully drawn yarns, and polyester drawn textured yarns; biodegradable yarns under the BioPro brand; and polyester fibers. It also provides functional MB non-woven fabrics for medical nonwoven grade applications; 37.5 technology in apparel to enhance the body's natural cooling mechanism; antibacterial fibers with cupric nanoparticles for medical disposable, personal care, apparel, and filtration applications; and graphene dyeable fibers. In addition, the company engages in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of synthetic chemical fibers and plastic filaments, as well as engages in real estate leasing. The company was formerly known as Hung Chou Chemical Industries Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd in June 2015. Hung Chou Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413) currently trades at 9.19 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.96 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 7.54 TWD per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the 9.19 TWD price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 3.02 TWD, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5.78 TWD (bear) to 7.45 TWD (bull), the price of 9.19 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 59.9M TWD in FY2025, compounding −13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.2B TWD (≈ $38.1M) · P/E ratio 20.4 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) 0.4500 TWD · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −35%, 1413 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.78 TWD Fair Value 5.96 TWD Bull 7.45 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3304 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 6.52 TWD 6.59 TWD 6.29 TWD 71
Owner Earnings 1.03 TWD 3.02 TWD 6.58 TWD 70
EPV n/a n/a 0.3600 TWD 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.03 TWD 3.02 TWD 6.58 TWD 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.08 TWD 3.77 TWD 4.24 TWD 67
EPV n/a n/a 0.3600 TWD 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.48 TWD 9.98 TWD 12.47 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 5.78 TWD 7.71 TWD 9.64 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 5.78 TWD 7.71 TWD 9.64 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 2.23 TWD 4.45 TWD 6.66 TWD 63
EV/EBITDA 3.19 TWD 5.72 TWD 8.25 TWD 65
EV/Revenue 0.0700 TWD 1.99 TWD 3.91 TWD 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.29 TWD 5.74 TWD 8.57 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.52 TWD 6.59 TWD 6.29 TWD 71
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a 0.3600 TWD 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.28 TWD 7.54 TWD 9.80 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs 31%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

1413 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 343 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$34.74 HK$71.90 +107%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥24.08 ¥14.53 −40%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.84 ¥14.35 +12%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,137 ₹901.34 −21%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.70 ¥2.40 −49%
Albany International Corp AIN $60.22 $24.73 −59%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹561.45 ₹267.33 −52%
Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 ¥7.20 ¥7.87 +9%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 60.00 TWD 106.63 TWD +78%
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co 000949 ¥6.93 ¥2.00 −71%

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Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd · Fair Value
5.96 TWD −54%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1413

Frequently asked questions

Is Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.96 TWD versus a price of 9.19 TWD, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1413?
Our model-based fair value for Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 5.96 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.19 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1413?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.96 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.78 TWD, optimistic scenario 7.45 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.96 TWD, about −35% upside versus a price of 9.19 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.78 TWD, optimistic scenario 7.45 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd it is 5.96 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 9.19 TWD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1413 trades above its calculated fair value: price 9.19 TWD, fair value 5.96 TWD, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1413?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.19 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.96 TWD). For Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd the two are 3.23 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd at about 1.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 9.19 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 5.96 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1413?
Our models span a range for Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd: cautious scenario 5.78 TWD, base 5.96 TWD, optimistic 7.45 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 9.19 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1413?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.96 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1413 from its 52-week high?
Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd trades at 9.19 TWD, about 15% below its 52-week high of 10.80 TWD and 1% above the low of 9.08 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.96 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 9.19 TWD, calculated fair value 5.96 TWD (−35%), Quality Score 47/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1413 calculated?
We run Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.96 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 9.19 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 5.96 TWD, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.45 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The market capitalisation of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 1.2B TWD (≈ $38.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Earnings per share at Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd are 0.4500 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The net margin of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
The operating margin of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Revenue at Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is growing −27.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413)?
Earnings per share at Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd are growing +31.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413) generate?
The free cash flow of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is −68.2M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd (1413) carry?
The net debt of Hung Chou Fiber Ind Co Ltd is 1.0B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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