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Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$712M (≈ $90.9M) · ISIN KYG5211W1069

What is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd really worth?

JA Justin Allen Holdings Ltd 1425 · HK
PriceHK$0.6150
Fair ValueHK$1.81
Upside+194.3%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 66% below our fair value of HK$1.81.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (13/14)
✓Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·7.80% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$1.30 – HK$2.47

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$1.30 to HK$2.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.6854 HK$0.2498 Fair Value HK$1.81 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2498 – HK$0.6854 · fair‑value band HK$1.30 – HK$2.47 · the HK$0.6150 price screens below the HK$1.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) currently trades at HK$0.6150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.49 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.6150 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.5000, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Justin Allen Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$206M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.30 (bear case) to HK$2.47 (bull case); at HK$0.6150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 194%, 1425 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.27 HK$1.70 HK$2.26 79
Growth DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.66 HK$2.13 78
Owner Earnings HK$1.32 HK$1.78 HK$2.37 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.27 HK$1.70 HK$2.26 79
Owner Earnings HK$1.32 HK$1.78 HK$2.37 75
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.04 HK$1.43 HK$1.90 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.43 HK$2.14 HK$2.95 73
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.78 HK$2.77 HK$3.79 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.11 HK$1.46 HK$1.89 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.35 HK$1.90 HK$2.61 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.55 HK$2.30 HK$3.18 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9100 HK$2.52 HK$3.31 63
Lynch FV HK$0.5000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9400 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9400 55
EPV HK$1.18 HK$1.32 HK$1.43 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4400 HK$0.7800 HK$1.08 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4400 HK$0.6500 HK$0.8400 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.20 HK$2.93 HK$3.67 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7900 HK$1.05 HK$1.32 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.70 HK$2.27 HK$2.83 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.27 HK$2.96 HK$3.65 66
EV/EBITDA HK$1.73 HK$2.24 HK$2.76 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.9300 HK$1.24 HK$1.56 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3700 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7500 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.66 HK$2.13 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.04 HK$1.44 HK$1.89 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.7600 HK$0.9800 HK$2.33 67
ROIC Compounder HK$1.23 HK$1.44 HK$1.66 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.74 HK$2.49 HK$3.24 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$2.49) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.5000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 4.4 as of Aug 24, 2026
P/S ratio 0.67 P/E × margin
Dividend yield 7.8%
Net margin 15.2% FY2025
Return on equity 18.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 23.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 21.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9% 3y avg −3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$147M FY2025
Net cash HK$206M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Justin Allen Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells sleepwear and loungewear products in the People's Republic of China, the United States of America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Spain, and Cambodia. It also provides greige fabrics and processing services.

Full company description

Justin Allen Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells sleepwear and loungewear products in the People's Republic of China, the United States of America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Spain, and Cambodia. It also provides greige fabrics and processing services. In addition, the company is involved in raw materials sourcing and greige fabric production; raw materials and fabric development; garment design; customer consultation on product design and fabric use; garment production processes; and carrying out quality control at various key production stages and on finished garment products. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. Justin Allen Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Strategic King Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Justin Allen Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$167M in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.1B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+17.4% (9.6 + 7.8)
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 HK$1.2B
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 HK$1.1B
FY24 HK$1.1B
FY25 HK$1.1B
Net income +1.3%/yr
FY21 HK$158M
FY22 HK$173M
FY23 HK$175M
FY24 HK$170M
FY25 HK$167M

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Justin Allen Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.81 +66%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Justin Allen Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1425

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +194% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 29
FUTURE40 · sector 2
PAST75 · sector 19
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND100 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 174.25 kr 165.47 −5%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $396.35 $220.38 −44%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €47.10 €50.69 +8%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL C$75.50 C$45.60 −40%
LPP SA LPP 22,220 PLN 17,754 PLN −20%
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI $21.05 $15.20 −28%
V.F. Corporation VFC $13.67 $10.44 −24%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.42 HK$5.92 +34%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.91 ¥5.59 −29%
Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB $82.01 $85.76 +5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.81 versus a price of HK$0.6150, about +194% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1425?
Our model-based fair value for Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is HK$1.81 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6150.
What is the quality score of 1425?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1425?
The net profit margin of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is about 15.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Justin Allen Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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