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Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd HK$1.65, price HK$0.55, upside +200.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG5211W1069

JA Justin Allen Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 28, 2026

Justin Allen Holdings Ltd

1425 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$1.65 · Strongly undervalued (+200.0%)
Quality 67/100
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
8.7% dividend yield · Well covered
Ranks above peers (14/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr in HKD)
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.6854 HK$0.2498 Fair Value HK$1.65 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2498 – HK$0.6854 · fair‑value band HK$1.21 – HK$2.21 · the HK$0.5500 price screens below the HK$1.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Justin Allen Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells sleepwear and loungewear products in the People's Republic of China, the United States of America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Spain, and Cambodia. It also provides greige fabrics and processing services.

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In addition, the company is involved in raw materials sourcing and greige fabric production; raw materials and fabric development; garment design; customer consultation on product design and fabric use; garment production processes; and carrying out quality control at various key production stages and on finished garment products.

The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. Justin Allen Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Strategic King Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) currently trades at HK$0.5500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.49 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.5500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.5000, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.21 (bear) to HK$2.21 (bull), the price of HK$0.5500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Justin Allen Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$167M in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$688M (≈ $87.6M) · P/E ratio 4.5 · P/S ratio 0.68 · Dividend yield 8.7% · Net margin 15.2% · Return on equity 19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.7% · Operating margin 10.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 200%, 1425 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.21 Fair Value HK$1.65 Bull HK$2.21
Price HK$0.5500 · Upside +200.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$1.24 HK$1.61 HK$2.05 80
Growth DCF HK$1.25 HK$1.57 HK$1.94 78
Owner Earnings HK$1.29 HK$1.67 HK$2.14 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.24 HK$1.61 HK$2.05 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.29 HK$1.67 HK$2.14 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.04 HK$1.41 HK$1.85 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.41 HK$2.07 HK$2.83 73
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.73 HK$2.66 HK$3.62 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.10 HK$1.42 HK$1.81 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.32 HK$1.81 HK$2.44 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.49 HK$2.16 HK$2.94 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9100 HK$2.52 HK$3.31 63
Lynch FV HK$0.5000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9400 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9400 55
EPV HK$1.08 HK$1.18 HK$1.27 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3900 HK$0.6500 HK$0.8500 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3900 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7000 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.20 HK$2.93 HK$3.67 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7900 HK$1.05 HK$1.32 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.24 HK$2.99 HK$3.74 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.27 HK$2.96 HK$3.65 66
EV/EBITDA HK$1.73 HK$2.24 HK$2.76 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.9300 HK$1.24 HK$1.56 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3700 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7500 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.25 HK$1.57 HK$1.94 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.04 HK$1.42 HK$1.85 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.7200 HK$0.8800 HK$1.17 74
ROIC Compounder HK$1.11 HK$1.27 HK$1.43 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.74 HK$2.49 HK$3.24 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 68
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 60
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 88
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 55
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 85
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 31
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.6% vs 13.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 218 stocks

Beats the industry median on 13/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 19.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 14.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 10.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 8.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 4.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 4.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)76 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 64

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hla Group 600398 ¥5.66 ¥11.97 +111% vs 1425
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.30 HK$7.46 +74% vs 1425
Moncler S.p.A MONC €43.52 €50.69 +16% vs 1425
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL $41.90 $46.09 +10% vs 1425
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI $19.24 $16.26 −15% vs 1425
LPP SA LPP 25,260 PLN 20,032 PLN −21% vs 1425
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹37,100 ₹28,533 −23% vs 1425
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥8.57 ¥5.59 −35% vs 1425
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $371.28 $225.10 −39% vs 1425
V.F. Corporation VFC $15.00 $8.68 −42% vs 1425

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Frequently asked questions

Is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.65 versus a price of HK$0.5500, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1425?
Our model-based fair value for Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is HK$1.65 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5500.
What is the quality score of 1425?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.65 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$2.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Justin Allen Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.65, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.5500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$2.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Justin Allen Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Justin Allen Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1425 use?
Our models discount Justin Allen Holdings Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Justin Allen Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Justin Allen Holdings Ltd grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.43 %: that much free cash flow Justin Allen Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Justin Allen Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.65 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5500. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 1425 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5500, fair value HK$1.65, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1425?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.65). For Justin Allen Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Justin Allen Holdings Ltd at about HK$688M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1425?
Our models span a range for Justin Allen Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.21, base HK$1.65, optimistic HK$2.21 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.5500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1425?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.5 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 2.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Balance-sheet figures for Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 19.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1425 from its 52-week high?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.5500, about 18% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6668 and 1% above the low of HK$0.5450 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Justin Allen Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Justin Allen Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.5500, calculated fair value HK$1.65 (+200%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1425 calculated?
We run Justin Allen Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Justin Allen Holdings Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was HK$0.5500. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.65, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Justin Allen Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.21 to HK$2.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The market capitalisation of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is HK$688M (≈ $87.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The dividend yield of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 8.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The net margin of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 15.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 23.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
The operating margin of Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Revenue at Justin Allen Holdings Ltd is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425)?
Earnings per share at Justin Allen Holdings Ltd are growing +7.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Justin Allen Holdings Ltd (1425) hold?
Justin Allen Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$206M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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