Kinik Co (1560) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kinik Co TWD 126, price TWD 971, upside -87.0%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 125.99 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 61/100
✓Healthy Growth(revenue 5y +9.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers(6/14)
✓Wide moat66/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 53.13 TWD – 971.00 TWD · fair‑value band 74.88 TWD – 192.09 TWD · the 971.00 TWD price screens above the 125.99 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kinik Company produces and sells various abrasives, cutting tools, and reclaimed wafers in Taiwan and internationally.
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Kinik Company produces and sells various abrasives, cutting tools, and reclaimed wafers in Taiwan and internationally. It offers conventional grinding wheels, diamond/CBN grinding wheels, DLC coatings, reclaimed wafers, porous ceramic chuck tables, CMP diamond disks, ultra precision machining tools, dicing blades, diamond rollers, wafer grinding wheels, diamond and CBN honey comb wheels, and anti-slip type vacuum chucks. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Kinik Co (1560) currently trades at 971.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125.99 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 670.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 175.46 TWD per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 971.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 36.31 TWD, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 74.88 TWD (bear) to 192.09 TWD (bull), the price of 971.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Kinik Co reported revenue of 8.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +19.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 147B TWD (≈ $4.6B) · P/E ratio 106.6 · P/S ratio 17.8 · EPS (TTM) 9.11 TWD · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 16.7% · Return on equity 19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades at its 52-week high and 227% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −87%, 1560 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 74.88 TWDFair Value 125.99 TWDBull 192.09 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (6.66 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 16%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +54.5% a year for the price and +17.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)106.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B18.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)16.98× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF5.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA69.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)79· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kinik Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1560
Frequently asked questions
Is Kinik Co (1560) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 125.99 TWD versus a price of 971.00 TWD, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1560?
Our model-based fair value for Kinik Co is 125.99 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 971.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1560?
Kinik Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kinik Co (1560)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 125.99 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 74.88 TWD, optimistic scenario 192.09 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kinik Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 125.99 TWD, about −87% upside versus a price of 971.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 74.88 TWD, optimistic scenario 192.09 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kinik Co (1560)?
Kinik Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kinik Co pay a dividend?
Kinik Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kinik Co (1560)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kinik Co would have to grow free cash flow by +56.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1560 use?
Our models discount Kinik Co at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.20, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kinik Co that is +56.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kinik Co (1560) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kinik Co grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +56.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kinik Co (1560) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kinik Co (+56.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kinik Co (1560)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.58 %: that much free cash flow Kinik Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kinik Co (1560)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kinik Co it is 125.99 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 971.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kinik Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1560 trades above its calculated fair value: price 971.00 TWD, fair value 125.99 TWD, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1560?
No. The price is what the market pays today (971.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (125.99 TWD). For Kinik Co the two are 845.01 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kinik Co worth?
The market values Kinik Co at about 147B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 971.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 125.99 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1560?
Our models span a range for Kinik Co: cautious scenario 74.88 TWD, base 125.99 TWD, optimistic 192.09 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 971.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1560?
Kinik Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 106.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 125.99 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 18.1, P/S 17.0, EV/EBITDA 69.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kinik Co (1560)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kinik Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 19.6%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1560 from its 52-week high?
Kinik Co trades at 971.00 TWD, at its 52-week high of 971.00 TWD and 227% above the low of 297.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 125.99 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kinik Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kinik Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 971.00 TWD, calculated fair value 125.99 TWD (−87%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1560 calculated?
We run Kinik Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 125.99 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Kinik Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kinik Co (1560)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 971.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 125.99 TWD, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kinik Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (192.09 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (74.88 TWD to 192.09 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Kinik Co (1560) come from?
Earnings per share at Kinik Co grew +6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.7 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kinik Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Kinik Co (1560)?
The market capitalisation of Kinik Co is 147B TWD (≈ $4.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kinik Co (1560)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kinik Co is 17.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kinik Co (1560)?
Earnings per share at Kinik Co are 9.11 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 106.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kinik Co (1560)?
The dividend yield of Kinik Co is 0.5% (payout 55.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kinik Co (1560)?
The net margin of Kinik Co is 16.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kinik Co (1560)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kinik Co is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kinik Co (1560)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kinik Co is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kinik Co (1560)?
The operating margin of Kinik Co is 19.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kinik Co (1560)?
Revenue at Kinik Co is growing +29.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kinik Co (1560)?
Earnings per share at Kinik Co are growing +50.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kinik Co (1560) carry?
The net debt of Kinik Co is 845M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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