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Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG0R8151046

AE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Able Engineering Holdings Ltd

1627 · HK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value HK$0.3078 · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 57/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·6.45% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.7700 HK$0.2149 Fair Value HK$0.3078 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2149 – HK$0.7700 · fair‑value band HK$0.2159 – HK$0.4006 · the HK$0.4650 price screens above the HK$0.3078 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Able Engineering Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the building construction business in Hong Kong. The company provides repair, maintenance, alteration, and addition works; and building conversion, design and build, and fitting out and interior works.

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Able Engineering Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the building construction business in Hong Kong. The company provides repair, maintenance, alteration, and addition works; and building conversion, design and build, and fitting out and interior works. It also engages in property holding activities; manufacturing, processing, and selling of pre-fabrication construction units; building maintenance; and piling works. The company serves various clients, including architectural services department; Hong Kong housing, hospital, and urban renewal authorities; Hong Kong housing society; non-profit organizations; private sectors; and education bureau. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong. Able Engineering Holdings operates as a subsidiary of Golden Lux Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) currently trades at HK$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3078, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$3.02 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.4650 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.6400, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2159 (bear) to HK$0.4006 (bull), the price of HK$0.4650 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Able Engineering Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$9.2B in FY2026 versus HK$5.6B in FY2022, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$288M in FY2026, compounding +23.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.0B (≈ $130M) · P/E ratio 3.6 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1100 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −34%, 1627 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2159 Fair Value HK$0.3078 Bull HK$0.4006
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$3.22 HK$4.35 HK$7.14 79
Owner Earnings HK$1.76 HK$2.15 HK$2.84 78
Growth DCF HK$3.14 HK$4.54 HK$6.85 78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.22 HK$4.35 HK$7.14 79
Owner Earnings HK$1.76 HK$2.15 HK$2.84 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.03 HK$4.43 HK$6.79 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.43 HK$5.31 HK$8.28 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.43 HK$5.48 HK$8.05 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.03 HK$4.50 HK$6.51 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.33 HK$5.16 HK$8.36 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.33 HK$5.15 HK$8.16 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9800 HK$6.44 HK$9.01 63
Lynch FV HK$1.88 HK$2.68 HK$3.49 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.88 HK$2.68 HK$3.49 57
EPV HK$2.45 HK$2.59 HK$2.71 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3900 HK$0.7000 HK$0.9600 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3900 HK$0.6400 HK$0.7500 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.26 HK$3.02 HK$3.77 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.83 HK$2.44 HK$3.06 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.83 HK$2.44 HK$3.06 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.52 HK$4.24 HK$4.95 66
EV/EBITDA HK$3.65 HK$4.40 HK$5.16 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.91 HK$3.57 HK$4.22 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4800 HK$0.6400 HK$0.9600 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.14 HK$4.54 HK$6.85 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.03 HK$4.50 HK$6.62 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.9000 HK$1.10 HK$2.31 71
ROIC Compounder HK$2.45 HK$2.59 HK$2.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.63 HK$3.75 HK$4.88 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Revenue growth 12 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

1627 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 821 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)63 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $650.58 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.45 €185.62 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,691 $1,114 −34%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,915 ₹2,196 −44%
Ferrovial N.V FER €48.03 €19.17 −60%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €416.20 €203.87 −51%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −29%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €98.25 €75.04 −24%
EMCOR Group EME $780.66 $518.51 −34%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 ¥4.35 ¥17.35 +299%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Able Engineering Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1627

Frequently asked questions

Is Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3078 versus a price of HK$0.4650, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1627?
Our model-based fair value for Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3078 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4650.
What is the quality score of 1627?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3078 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2159, optimistic scenario HK$0.4006. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Able Engineering Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3078, about −34% upside versus a price of HK$0.4650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2159, optimistic scenario HK$0.4006. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Able Engineering Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Able Engineering Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.9 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1627 use?
Our models discount Able Engineering Holdings Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.13, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Able Engineering Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd grew +19.9 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.13 %: that much free cash flow Able Engineering Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Able Engineering Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3078 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4650. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Able Engineering Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1627 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4650, fair value HK$0.3078, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1627?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3078). For Able Engineering Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1572 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Able Engineering Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Able Engineering Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3078 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1627?
Our models span a range for Able Engineering Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2159, base HK$0.3078, optimistic HK$0.4006 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.4650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1627?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.6 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3078 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Balance-sheet figures for Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 15.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1627 from its 52-week high?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4650, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7900 and 1% above the low of HK$0.4600 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3078 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Able Engineering Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Able Engineering Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.4650, calculated fair value HK$0.3078 (−34%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1627 calculated?
We run Able Engineering Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3078, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Able Engineering Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Able Engineering Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4006). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2159 to HK$0.4006) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) come from?
Earnings per share at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd grew +6.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.1 %, EBIT margin −4.1 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The market capitalisation of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is HK$1.0B (≈ $130M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Earnings per share at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd are HK$0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The dividend yield of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 6.5% (payout 27.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The net margin of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 3.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
The operating margin of Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Revenue at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd is growing +25.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627)?
Earnings per share at Able Engineering Holdings Ltd are growing +39.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Able Engineering Holdings Ltd (1627) hold?
Able Engineering Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$2.8B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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