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BGMC International Limited (1693) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what BGMC International Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG1R51A1070

BI Thin data Sep 13, 2026

BGMC International Limited

1693 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$1.29 · Strongly overvalued (−76%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$8.72 HK$1.04 Fair Value HK$1.29 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.04 – HK$8.72 · fair‑value band HK$1.12 – HK$1.51 · the HK$5.30 price screens above the HK$1.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

BGMC International Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction services in Malaysia. It operates through four segments: Building and Structures, Energy Infra-structure, Mechanical and Electrical, and Earthworks and Infrastructure.

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BGMC International Limited, an investment holding company, provides construction services in Malaysia. It operates through four segments: Building and Structures, Energy Infra-structure, Mechanical and Electrical, and Earthworks and Infrastructure. The company constructs low-rise and high-rise residential and commercial properties, factories, and government-led infrastructure and facility projects; designs and constructs medium and high voltage power substations; installs medium and high-voltage underground cabling systems; and develops and constructs utility scale solar power plants. It also undertakes installation work of mechanical and electrical components and equipment for buildings and infrastructure projects. In addition, the company invests in solar power infrastructure business; constructs buildings; supplies and installs elevators; and undertakes development and construction relating to the provision of renewable energy, as well as earthworks and infrastructure works. Further, it offers mechanical and electrical engineering services; and engages in the property investment activities. BGMC International Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

BGMC International Limited (1693) currently trades at HK$5.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.29, implying the stock looks roughly 310.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$2.12 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$5.30 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.7000, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.12 (bear) to HK$1.51 (bull), the price of HK$5.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

BGMC International Limited reported revenue of HK$362M in FY2025 versus HK$201M in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$38.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$561M (≈ $71.5M) · P/S ratio 1.69 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin −10.8% · Return on equity −66,931% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.3% · Operating margin −13.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$332M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 185% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −76%, 1693 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.12 Fair Value HK$1.29 Bull HK$1.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.7900 HK$1.02 82
Growth DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9600 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6100 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9700 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.7900 HK$1.02 82
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6100 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9700 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6000 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9500 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.29 HK$2.32 HK$3.20 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.29 HK$2.12 HK$2.48 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.6000 HK$0.7000 HK$0.8000 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6300 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9600 80

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+120.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−64.2% (2020) → −10.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+58.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

1693 screens 311% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 821 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 76% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 34.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $650.58 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.45 €185.62 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,691 $1,114 −34%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,915 ₹2,196 −44%
Ferrovial N.V FER €48.03 €19.17 −60%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €416.20 €203.87 −51%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −29%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €98.25 €75.04 −24%
EMCOR Group EME $780.66 $518.51 −34%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 ¥4.35 ¥17.35 +299%

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BGMC International Limited · Fair Value
HK$1.29 −311%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BGMC International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1693

Frequently asked questions

Is BGMC International Limited (1693) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.29 versus a price of HK$5.30, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1693?
Our model-based fair value for BGMC International Limited is HK$1.29 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$5.30.
What is the quality score of 1693?
BGMC International Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BGMC International Limited (1693)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.29 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.12, optimistic scenario HK$1.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BGMC International Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.29, about −76% upside versus a price of HK$5.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.12, optimistic scenario HK$1.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
BGMC International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$332M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does BGMC International Limited pay a dividend?
BGMC International Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into BGMC International Limited (1693)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BGMC International Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +58.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1693 use?
Our models discount BGMC International Limited at 15.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.59, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BGMC International Limited that is +58.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BGMC International Limited (1693) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BGMC International Limited grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +58.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BGMC International Limited (1693) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BGMC International Limited (+58.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.99 %: that much free cash flow BGMC International Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BGMC International Limited it is HK$1.29 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$5.30. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BGMC International Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1693 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$5.30, fair value HK$1.29, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1693?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$5.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.29). For BGMC International Limited the two are HK$4.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BGMC International Limited worth?
The market values BGMC International Limited at about HK$561M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$5.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1693?
Our models span a range for BGMC International Limited: cautious scenario HK$1.12, base HK$1.29, optimistic HK$1.51 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$5.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1693 from its 52-week high?
BGMC International Limited trades at HK$5.30, about 44% below its 52-week high of HK$9.48 and 185% above the low of HK$1.86 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BGMC International Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BGMC International Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$5.30, calculated fair value HK$1.29 (−76%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1693 calculated?
We run BGMC International Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. BGMC International Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with BGMC International Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of BGMC International Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The market capitalisation of BGMC International Limited is HK$561M (≈ $71.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BGMC International Limited is 1.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The dividend yield of BGMC International Limited is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The net margin of BGMC International Limited is −10.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BGMC International Limited is −66,931% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BGMC International Limited is −9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BGMC International Limited (1693)?
The operating margin of BGMC International Limited is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BGMC International Limited (1693)?
Revenue at BGMC International Limited is growing +76.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BGMC International Limited (1693)?
Earnings per share at BGMC International Limited are growing −41.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does BGMC International Limited (1693) carry?
The net debt of BGMC International Limited is HK$44.3M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 21.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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