Vinci S.A. (DG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €65.4B · ISIN FR0000125486
What is Vinci S.A. really worth?
A solid business, trading 39% below our fair value of €185.62.
As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Vinci S.A. is €185.62 per share against a price of €113.95, so the fair value sits 63% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€125.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€125.37 to €237.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €68.34 – €138.24 · fair‑value band €125.37 – €237.08 · the €113.95 price screens below the €185.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
Analysis
Vinci S.A. (DG) currently trades at €113.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €185.62, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €214.40 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the €113.95 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €37.14, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vinci S.A. generated revenue of €75.7B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at €20.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €125.37 (bear case) to €237.08 (bull case); at €113.95, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 63%, DG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €2.46 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€214.40) versus Asset-Based (€37.14). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums.
Full company description
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums. Its Energy segment provides services to the manufacturing sector, infrastructure, building solutions and facilities management, and information and communication technology; and industrial and energy-related services, which includes development of renewable energy assets, as well as engineering, procurement, construction projects in the energy sector, and development of renewable energy production facilities of solar, and wind farms. The company's Construction segment engages in designing and undertaking projects, which includes general contractor; geotechnical, and structural engineering and related digital activities, as well as provision of services in nuclear engineering; undertaking building, civil engineering, roadworks, rail works, and water works; development of properties, including residential and commercial properties; and management of residences and property services. Vinci SA was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vinci S.A. reported revenue of €75.4B in FY2025 versus €50.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was €4.9B in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.1 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch DG: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- VINCI: Disclosure of transactions on shares from August 24, 2026, to August 28, 2026
- Vinci (ENXTPA:DG) Stock Looks Fairly Priced After Strong Results
- Vinci (ENXTPA:DG) Could Be 13% Undervalued On Dividend Growth And Confirmed Guidance
- What Is Vinci (ENXTPA:DG) Signaling With Its Higher 2026 Interim Dividend?
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Vinci S.A. deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: French Stocks
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $620.06 | $143.92 | −77% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,610 | $519.97 | −68% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,072 | ₹2,196 | −46% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | €57.28 | €19.17 | −67% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €426.00 | €203.87 | −52% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 373,000 KRW | 261,411 KRW | −30% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $754.16 | $549.47 | −27% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $241.00 | $100.00 | −59% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €46.65 | €65.67 | +41% |
| Sterling Infrastructure, Inc STRL | $460.03 | $198.57 | −57% |
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