Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd (1738) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$58.0M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0950 to HK$0.1148 (+20.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +34.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 64% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0818). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0818 to HK$0.1676) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0370 – HK$1.63 · fair‑value band HK$0.0818 – HK$0.1676 · the HK$0.0700 price screens below the HK$0.1148 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd (1738) currently trades at HK$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1148, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$357M. Revenue grew 42.3% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$1.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0818 (bear case) to HK$0.1676 (bull case); at HK$0.0700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 64%, 1738 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1400) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Feishang Anthracite Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction, sale, and trade of anthracite coal in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the acquisition, construction, development, and operation of anthracite coal mines. The company also owns and operates four coal mines in Guizhou province.
Full company description
Feishang Anthracite Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction, sale, and trade of anthracite coal in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the acquisition, construction, development, and operation of anthracite coal mines. The company also owns and operates four coal mines in Guizhou province. In addition, it involved in coal washing activities; and purchasing construction equipment services and consulting. The company was formerly known as Wealthy Year Limited. Feishang Anthracite Resources Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Fo Tan, Hong Kong. Feishang Anthracite Resources Limited is a subsidiary of Feishang Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd reported revenue of HK$357M in FY2025 versus HK$1.1B in FY2021, a compound −24.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$626M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹409.30 | ₹464.01 | +13% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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