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Home Control International Ltd (1747) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Home Control International Ltd HK$1.63, price HK$3.86, upside -57.8%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · Based in Singapore · ISIN KYG4574A1085

HC Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Home Control International Ltd

1747 · HK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Quality 60/100

Low debt

Generates free cash flow

0.2% dividend yield · Well covered

Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)

Mixed vs. peers (6/14)

Fair value HK$1.63 · Strongly overvalued (−57.8%)

Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.0 %/yr in USD)

Narrow moat 43/100

Thin data

26 models, one by oneBear HK$1.21 to bull HK$1.90 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 60/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

Watch Home Control International Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2353 – HK$5.96 · fair‑value band HK$1.21 – HK$1.90 · the HK$3.86 price screens above the HK$1.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Home Control International Limited, an investment holding company, provides home control solutions in North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. It provides solutions for sensing and control technologies for the smart home automation, consumer electronics, and set-top-box segments. The company also provides its products for medical, automotive, and toys and education. In addition, it is involved in the technical sales support and sale of remote control products; and trading and distribution of home electronic products, as well as provision of research and development services. It offers its products under the Omni Devices brand for television operators and consumer electronics brands. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Home Control International Ltd (1747) currently trades at HK$3.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.63, 57.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$2.11 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$3.86 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.4400, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.21 (bear) to HK$1.90 (bull), the price of HK$3.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Home Control International Ltd reported revenue of $109M in FY2025 versus $126M in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $7.1M in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $263M) · P/E ratio 65.0 · P/S ratio 4.22 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin 8.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −58%, 1747 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.21 Fair Value HK$1.63 Bull HK$1.90

Price HK$3.86 · Upside -57.8%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$1.26 HK$1.46 HK$1.79 82

Growth DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.47 HK$1.75 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.34 HK$1.57 HK$1.93 78

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$1.26 HK$1.46 HK$1.79 82

Owner Earnings HK$1.34 HK$1.57 HK$1.93 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.40 HK$1.82 HK$2.44 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.45 HK$1.90 HK$2.51 76

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.62 HK$2.21 HK$2.91 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.31 HK$1.58 HK$1.87 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.35 HK$1.62 HK$1.90 70

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.44 HK$1.78 HK$2.11 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.7100 HK$0.8700 HK$0.9700 67

EPV HK$1.23 HK$1.32 HK$1.39 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$1.72 HK$2.29 HK$2.86 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.33 HK$1.77 HK$2.21 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.33 HK$1.77 HK$2.21 55

EV/EBIT HK$2.17 HK$2.73 HK$3.30 66

EV/EBITDA HK$1.80 HK$2.25 HK$2.69 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.62 HK$2.11 HK$2.60 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3300 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6600 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.47 HK$1.75 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.40 HK$1.85 HK$2.39 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.6100 HK$0.7000 HK$0.8500 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.23 HK$1.33 HK$1.42 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.21 HK$1.73 HK$2.25 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 66

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 44

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 52

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 89

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 67

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 17

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 29

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 20

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 47

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.0%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−2.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

+12.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+11.9%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.4% vs 2.0%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 8%

2025 sits 99% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+30.2%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +27.1% a year for the price.

1747 screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with Samsung Electronics Co →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 119 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −57.8% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 11.5% · Above median

Return on assets 4.1% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 4.3% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 8.5% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −20.2% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 65.0× · Priciest 25%

P/B 5.87× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 2.70× · Priciest 25%

P/FCF 36.7× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 39.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 28

PAST (return on equity)46 · sector 22

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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LG Electronics Inc 066570	216,000 KRW	91,357 KRW	−58%
Huaqin Co 603296	¥79.11	¥65.71	−17%
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Goertek Inc 002241	¥23.94	¥14.66	−39%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866	¥122.60	¥77.69	−37%
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Dixon Technologies (India) Limited DIXON	₹12,700	₹4,022	−68%

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Home Control International Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.63 −58%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1747" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Home Control International Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$1.63</b> <span style="color:var(--red);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−58%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Home Control International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1747

Frequently asked questions

Is Home Control International Ltd (1747) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.63 versus a price of HK$3.86, about −58% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 1747?

Our model-based fair value for Home Control International Ltd is HK$1.63 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.86.

What is the quality score of 1747?

Home Control International Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.63 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$1.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Home Control International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$1.63, about −58% upside versus a price of HK$3.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.21, optimistic scenario HK$1.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Home Control International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).

Does Home Control International Ltd pay a dividend?

Home Control International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).

What growth is priced into Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Home Control International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +30.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.0 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1747 use?

Our models discount Home Control International Ltd at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.36, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Home Control International Ltd that is +30.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Home Control International Ltd (1747) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Home Control International Ltd grew -4.0 % a year. The price currently implies +30.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Home Control International Ltd (1747) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Home Control International Ltd (+30.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.72 %: that much free cash flow Home Control International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Home Control International Ltd it is HK$1.63 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of HK$3.86. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Home Control International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Oct 1, 2026, 1747 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$3.86, fair value HK$1.63, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1747?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.63). For Home Control International Ltd the two are HK$2.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Home Control International Ltd worth?

The market values Home Control International Ltd at about HK$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.86; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.63 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1747?

Our models span a range for Home Control International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.21, base HK$1.63, optimistic HK$1.90 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price HK$3.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 1747?

Home Control International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.0 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.9, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 39.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Balance-sheet figures for Home Control International Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 11.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1747 from its 52-week high?

Home Control International Ltd trades at HK$3.86, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$5.96 and 7% above the low of HK$3.60 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.63 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Home Control International Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Home Control International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price HK$3.86, calculated fair value HK$1.63 (−58%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1747 calculated?

We run Home Control International Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Home Control International Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$3.86. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.63, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Home Control International Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Home Control International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The market capitalisation of Home Control International Ltd is HK$2.1B (≈ $263M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Home Control International Ltd is 4.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the dividend yield of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The dividend yield of Home Control International Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The net margin of Home Control International Ltd is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Home Control International Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Home Control International Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

The operating margin of Home Control International Ltd is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Revenue at Home Control International Ltd is growing −20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Home Control International Ltd (1747)?

Earnings per share at Home Control International Ltd are growing −60.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Home Control International Ltd (1747) hold?

Home Control International Ltd holds more cash than debt, $32.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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