Natural Food International Holding Ltd (1837) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Natural Food International Holding Ltd HK$2.48, price HK$1.38, upside +80.4%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Natural Food International Holding Ltd
1837 · HKStrongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3216 – HK$1.77 · fair‑value band HK$1.73 – HK$3.37 · the HK$1.38 price screens below the HK$2.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Natural Food International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells natural health food products in China. It sells its products through a network of offline channels, including supermarket counter business and offline shelf business, as well as online channels, including major e-commerce platforms and WeChat member stores.
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Natural Food International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells natural health food products in China. It sells its products through a network of offline channels, including supermarket counter business and offline shelf business, as well as online channels, including major e-commerce platforms and WeChat member stores. The company was formerly known as Roomy Development Holdings Limited and changed its name to Natural Food International Holding Limited in May 2018. Natural Food International Holding Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Natural Food International Holding Ltd (1837) currently trades at HK$1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.48, implying the stock looks roughly 44.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.72 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$1.38 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.5500, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.73 (bear) to HK$3.37 (bull), the price of HK$1.38 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Natural Food International Holding Ltd reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 266M CNY in FY2025, compounding +32.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$3.4B (≈ $430M) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 10.5% · Return on equity 16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 80%, 1837 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Natural Food International Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 644 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 77.17 | CHF 59.51 | −23% |
| Danone S.A BN | €59.56 | €50.65 | −15% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥33.93 | ¥37.32 | +10% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $23.45 | $29.20 | +25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,363 | ₹724.74 | −47% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.90 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥24.55 | ¥9.98 | −59% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $33.64 | $34.59 | +3% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.68 SGD | 5.14 SGD | +40% |
| Kerry Group KRZ | €85.55 | €59.96 | −30% |
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Key figures of Natural Food International Holding Ltd
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