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CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd (1883) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$9.2B

CT CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd 1883 · HK
PriceHK$2.44
Fair ValueHK$4.86
Upside+99.6%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range HK$3.54 – HK$6.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.81 HK$1.64 Fair Value HK$4.86 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.64 – HK$2.81 · fair‑value band HK$3.54 – HK$6.19 · the HK$2.44 price screens below the HK$4.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd (1883) currently trades at HK$2.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.86, implying the stock looks roughly 99.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$9.6B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.54 (bear case) to HK$6.19 (bull case); at HK$2.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1883 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$5.42 HK$7.64 HK$10.59 80
Residual Income HK$2.49 HK$2.68 HK$2.98 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.74 HK$5.47 HK$7.39 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$5.31 HK$7.76 HK$11.20 38
Owner Earnings HK$3.45 HK$5.04 HK$7.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.74 HK$5.39 HK$7.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.52 HK$6.82 HK$9.39 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$4.22 HK$6.27 HK$8.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.21 HK$5.80 HK$7.77 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.77 HK$6.75 HK$9.20 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.59 HK$6.39 HK$8.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.69 HK$4.50 HK$5.88 54
Lynch FV HK$0.8700 HK$1.24 HK$1.62 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.8700 HK$1.24 HK$1.62 46
EPV HK$2.51 HK$2.91 HK$3.26 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.65 HK$3.29 HK$4.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.65 HK$2.52 HK$3.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.10 HK$5.47 HK$6.84 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.17 HK$4.23 HK$5.28 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.17 HK$4.23 HK$5.28 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.95 HK$5.27 HK$6.60 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.61 HK$6.16 HK$7.71 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.99 HK$4.28 HK$5.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.49 HK$2.00 HK$2.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$5.42 HK$7.64 HK$10.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.74 HK$5.47 HK$7.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.49 HK$2.68 HK$2.98 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.51 HK$2.91 HK$3.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.21 HK$4.58 HK$5.96 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$6.27) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$9.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow HK$1.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 9.9 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 13.0%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1200
Dividend yield 7.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.9%
Net debt HK$1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of international telecommunications services in Hong Kong, China, Macau, Singapore, and internationally.

Full company description

CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of international telecommunications services in Hong Kong, China, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. It provides international voice services; SMS services, such as A2P, P2P, and inter operator SMS; mobile value-added services that include mobile roaming signalling, SIMN, prepaid roaming SIM, MVNE, GMVNO, USSD, IPX, and SMS firewall services; datamall; internet; internet of the things; global mobile number smart authentication services; and cross border 5G SD WAN services. The company also offers TrueCONNECT private network solutions, TrustCSI information security services, SmartCLOUD cloud computing solutions, DataHOUSE cloud data center, ICT-MiiND intelligent solutions, internet services, and managed services; cloud exchange solutions; and technology support services. Additionally, it provides CloudSMS, enterprise cloud communication solutions, commercial broadband, corporate designated email services; private network solutions, EPL, SD-WAN, internet access, cloud computing, information security, cloud data centre and a series of value-added services, mobile roaming, voice, messaging, data, and value-added telecommunications services to mobile, fixed line, virtual network, and over-the-top operators. Further, the company offer property and equipment holding services. CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited was formerly known as CITIC 1616 Holdings Limited and changed its name to CITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited in November 2010. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$9.6B in FY2025 versus HK$9.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$920M in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$9.6B
Latest YoY
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +0.2%/yr
FY21 HK$9.5B
FY22 HK$10.1B
FY23 HK$10.0B
FY24 HK$9.6B
FY25 HK$9.6B
Net income −3.8%/yr
FY21 HK$1.1B
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 HK$1.2B
FY24 HK$910M
FY25 HK$920M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.1 pp

of which total revenue +2.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin −1.3 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$4.86 +100%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1883

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.77× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 8 · sector 15
PAST 34 · sector 27
HEALTH 91 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 76

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,945 ₹941.55 -52%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 494.99 MXN +91%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 374.00 THB 286.77 THB -23%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 136.00 TWD 100.00 TWD -26%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 108.96 MXN +44%
TLKM TLKM 2,590 IDR 3,898 IDR +50%
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET 9,500 IDR 1,503 IDR -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd (1883) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.86 versus a price of HK$2.44, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1883?
Our model-based fair value for CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd is HK$4.86 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.44.
What is the quality score of 1883?
CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd (1883)?
CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1883?
The net profit margin of CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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