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Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co (1905) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$5.9B

HU Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co 1905 · HK
PriceHK$0.7750
Fair ValueHK$1.46
Upside+88.4%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 32.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
11.81% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.24 – HK$2.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from HK$1.44 to HK$1.46 (+1.4%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.8735 HK$0.2575 Fair Value HK$1.46 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2575 – HK$0.8735 · fair‑value band HK$1.24 – HK$2.06 · the HK$0.7750 price screens below the HK$1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co (1905) currently trades at HK$0.7750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co generated revenue of HK$4.1B at a net margin of 32.2%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at HK$74.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.24 (bear case) to HK$2.06 (bull case); at HK$0.7750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 88%, 1905 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.71 HK$7.48 HK$16.36 80
Residual Income HK$1.79 HK$1.90 HK$2.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1100 HK$2.08 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$1.86 HK$7.54 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.6700 HK$2.79 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.95 HK$5.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.15 HK$6.98 HK$9.73 54
Lynch FV HK$2.00 HK$2.85 HK$3.71 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.7200 HK$1.44 HK$2.17 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.7200 HK$1.24 HK$1.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.64 HK$2.19 HK$2.74 63
P/B Multiple HK$2.15 HK$2.87 HK$3.58 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.09 HK$1.46 HK$2.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.71 HK$7.48 HK$16.36 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1100 HK$2.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.79 HK$1.90 HK$2.07 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (HK$2.85) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$4.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.9%
Net margin 32.2%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow HK$3.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 4.0
More key figures
Operating margin 38.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0900
Dividend yield 11.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.0%
Net debt HK$74.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as a financial leasing company in the People's Republic of China. It offers operating leasing services, and commercial factoring business, as well as advisory services; commercial and vehicle financing services; and aircraft leasing services.

Full company description

Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as a financial leasing company in the People's Republic of China. It offers operating leasing services, and commercial factoring business, as well as advisory services; commercial and vehicle financing services; and aircraft leasing services. The company also engages in financing of aircraft-related business; and PPP project management businesses. In addition, it provides financial leasing and other services to enterprises engaging in cultural education, tourism, and hotel operations. Further, the company offers property management, logistics management, catering management, government outsourcing, and information consulting services. It serves various industries, such as advanced manufacturing, construction, energy and environmental protection, urban utilities, transportation and logistics, culture and tourism, healthcare, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Haitong UniTrust International Leasing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. in August 2020. Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Haitong UT Capital Group Co., Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co reported revenue of HK$6.9B in FY2025 versus HK$3.3B in FY2021, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.4B in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$6.9B
Latest YoY
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Revenue +20.0%/yr
FY21 HK$3.3B
FY22 HK$4.0B
FY23 HK$4.4B
FY24 HK$5.8B
FY25 HK$6.9B
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.5B
FY23 HK$1.6B
FY24 HK$1.5B
FY25 HK$1.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1905

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +88% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Above median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 27 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co (1905) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.46 versus a price of HK$0.7750, about +88% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1905?
Our model-based fair value for Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co is HK$1.46 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7750.
What is the quality score of 1905?
Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co (1905)?
Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1905?
The net profit margin of Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co is about 32.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co pay a dividend?
Haitong Unitrust International Financial Leasing Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 5, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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