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IVD Medical Holding Ltd (1931) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$1.0B

IM IVD Medical Holding Ltd 1931 · HK
PriceHK$0.5850
Fair ValueHK$0.6500
Upside+11.1%
Quality22/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.4200 – HK$0.8300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −8.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4200 to HK$0.8300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.4200 (bear) to HK$0.8300 (bull), base HK$0.6500. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 22/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$11.23 HK$0.5700 Fair Value HK$0.6500 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5700 – HK$11.23 · fair‑value band HK$0.4200 – HK$0.8300 · the HK$0.5850 price screens below the HK$0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

IVD Medical Holding Ltd (1931) currently trades at HK$0.5850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, IVD Medical Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4200 (bear case) to HK$0.8300 (bull case); at HK$0.5850, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 11%, 1931 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.20 HK$1.12 HK$0.7600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9200 HK$1.00 HK$1.07 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.4000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9900 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1500 HK$0.9200 HK$1.29 54
Lynch FV HK$0.2700 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4900 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4900 46
EPV HK$0.9200 HK$1.00 HK$1.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4000 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9900 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4000 HK$0.6600 HK$0.7700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.6000 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4600 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4600 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.67 HK$2.12 HK$2.56 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.80 HK$2.28 HK$2.77 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.29 HK$1.70 HK$2.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9200 HK$1.23 HK$1.84 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.20 HK$1.12 HK$0.7600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.9200 HK$1.00 HK$1.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.3900 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7200 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.23) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.3800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.3%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow −HK$1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 29.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -74.0%
Net debt HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ETHK Labs Inc., an investment holding company, distributes In vitro diagnostic (IVD) products in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Distribution Business, After-sales Services, and Self-branded Products Business.

Full company description

ETHK Labs Inc., an investment holding company, distributes In vitro diagnostic (IVD) products in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Distribution Business, After-sales Services, and Self-branded Products Business. It offers IVD analysers, reagents, and other consumables for various IVD testing categories, including hematology and body fluid, immunoassay, clinical chemistry, immunology, microbiology, and point-of-care testing. The company also provides haemostasis products; solution services to the clinical laboratories of hospitals; and maintenance and repair, installation, and end customer training services. In addition, it researches, develops, manufactures, and sells IVD analysers and reagents. The company offers its products to hospitals and healthcare institutions, logistics providers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as IVD Medical Holding Limited and change its name to ETHK Labs Inc. in December 2025. ETHK Labs Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IVD Medical Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$2.7B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$34.9M in FY2025, compounding −33.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.8B
Latest YoY
−10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.7%
Revenue +0.8%/yr
FY21 HK$2.7B
FY22 HK$2.7B
FY23 HK$3.1B
FY24 HK$3.2B
FY25 HK$2.8B
Net income −33.1%/yr
FY21 HK$175M
FY22 HK$210M
FY23 HK$238M
FY24 HK$260M
FY25 HK$34.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IVD Medical Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1931

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 48 · sector 31
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 4 · sector 22
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $878.73 $819.31 -7%
Cencora, Inc COR $314.17 $211.07 -33%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.16 $141.77 -39%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $90.74 $71.70 -21%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.56 ¥33.96 +105%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 -24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.49 ¥28.65 +33%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 80.00 kr 28.26 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IVD Medical Holding Ltd (1931) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6500 versus a price of HK$0.5850, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1931?
Our model-based fair value for IVD Medical Holding Ltd is HK$0.6500 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5850.
What is the quality score of 1931?
IVD Medical Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IVD Medical Holding Ltd (1931)?
IVD Medical Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1931?
The net profit margin of IVD Medical Holding Ltd is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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