Jiachen Holding Group Ltd (1937) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$130M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +7.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.1100 to HK$0.1200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1020 – HK$1.55 · fair‑value band HK$0.1100 – HK$0.1200 · the HK$0.1550 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jiachen Holding Group Ltd (1937) currently trades at HK$0.1550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiachen Holding Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$190M at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 27.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at HK$6.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1100 (bear case) to HK$0.1200 (bull case); at HK$0.1550, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -23%, 1937 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2600) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JiaChen Holding Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of access flooring products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United Arab Emirates, Uzbekistan, Taiwan, and Singapore. The company operates through two segments, Steel Access Flooring Plates and Calcium-Sulfate Access Flooring Plates.
Full company description
JiaChen Holding Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of access flooring products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United Arab Emirates, Uzbekistan, Taiwan, and Singapore. The company operates through two segments, Steel Access Flooring Plates and Calcium-Sulfate Access Flooring Plates. It offers steel and calcium sulfate access flooring plates for use in office buildings, industrial office buildings, data centers, classrooms, libraries, etc.; and provides related installation services. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Changzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiachen Holding Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$190M in FY2025 versus HK$275M in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.8M in FY2025, compounding −37.3%/yr from FY2021.
1937 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $483.96 | $208.50 | -57% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $152.79 | $44.75 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $63.08 | $16.85 | -73% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €84.24 | €97.97 | +16% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,405 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 38.91 | kr 25.37 | -35% |
| Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 | ¥18.73 | ¥31.73 | +69% |
| Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 | ¥42.22 | ¥11.94 | -72% |
| The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND | ₹3,460 | ₹1,376 | -60% |
| Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS | ₹3,899 | ₹763.08 | -80% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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